Arceus-Holo Arceus Deck Case #040, Holo, Japanese Promos 2009
Japanese edition
- Card number: #040
- ·Rarity: Holo Rare
A PSA 10 Arceus-Holo Arceus Deck Case #040 Holo from Japanese Promos 2009 has a TCGBerg fair value of $1,376 as of Nov 15, 2026. It rests on 13 recorded sales, the latest on Aug 21, 2026. PSA has graded 105 copies at PSA 10. Sales evidence is limited, so treat this value as a rough estimate.
TCGBerg Algorithm (estimated from recorded sales).
13 sales · latest Aug 21, 2026
- Population · PSA 10
- 105
- Market cap
- $144.5K
- Volatility
- 4.7%
- YTD
- ↑ 159.8%
- Sales evidence
- Limited
TCGBerg fair value · PSA 10
$1,376
Based on 13 recorded sales. Latest sale: Aug 21, 2026.
Price history
Weekly fair value over time, plus a confidence band around it: how precisely we can pin the value, which tightens as more sales confirm it. Dots mark individual sales, snapped to their week: red when above fair value (a premium), green when below (a deal), hollow when flagged as an outlier. Switch the active grade with the selector above.Weekly fair value for PSA 10. Shaded area is the confidence band: how precisely we can pin the value; it tightens as more sales confirm it. Dots are individual sales. Confidence band: how precisely we can pin the fair value. It widens when sales scatter and narrows as more sales back the value up. The dots show the actual sale prices.
What the evidence says
The last PSA 10 sale, $996 on Aug 21, 2026, sits 27.6% below the $1,376 fair value. The value rests on 13 recorded PSA 10 sales. Its confidence band runs from $1,159 to $1,592. A PSA 10 ($1,376) is worth 3.1 times a PSA 9 ($443). Over the past 30 days the PSA 10 value has fallen 7.9%. With limited sales evidence, read the gap and the band as rough guides.
TCGBerg fair value by grade
Side-by-side comparison of value across every grade and ungraded condition we track for this printing. The bar chart uses a log scale so raw and gem-mint fit on one axis. Solid bars are the TCGBerg fair value, modelled from recorded sales. Hatched bars are the latest market price instead, shown for ungraded conditions that trade too rarely for us to price one honestly.Value at each grade and ungraded condition. Log scale. Tap a row to switch the whole page.
Behind the scenes
How the published fair value for this grade was produced: the sales it rests on, how they were put together, and every recorded change afterwards. It describes one saved calculation, not a live recomputation.What goes into this price, and how much we know.
Recent sales
14 trackedEach sale against the grade's fair value on the day it sold.
| Date | Grade | Venue | Price | vs fair value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | PSA10 | eBay | $996 | below fair value by -21.2% |
| Jul 28, 2026 | PSA10 | eBay | $1,600 | above fair value by +26.0% |
| Jul 3, 2026 | PSA10 | eBay | $1,563 | above fair value by +44.4% |
| Jun 26, 2026 | PSA10 | eBay | $1,250 | above fair value by +31.5% |
| Jun 13, 2026 | PSA10 | eBay | $400 | below fair value by -46.7% |
- $996Aug 21, 2026 · via eBayPSA10↓below fair value by 21.2%
- $1,600Jul 28, 2026 · via eBayPSA10↑above fair value by 26.0%
- $1,563Jul 3, 2026 · via eBayPSA10↑above fair value by 44.4%
- $1,250Jun 26, 2026 · via eBayPSA10↑above fair value by 31.5%
- $400Jun 13, 2026 · via eBayPSA10↓below fair value by 46.7%
| May 28, 2026 | PSA10 | Fanatics Collect | $1,000 | above fair value by +27.2% |
| Apr 26, 2026 | PSA10 | eBay | $495 | below fair value by -22.9% |
| Apr 19, 2026 | PSA10 | eBay | $623 | above fair value by +6.5% |
- $1,000PSA10↑above fair value by 27.2%
- $495PSA10↓below fair value by 22.9%
- $623PSA10↑above fair value by 6.5%
9 more sales with Pro
Up to 20 recent sales, each with its venue and its gap to fair value.
↓Includes a sale 55.1% below fair value
All grades matrix
Every grade we track for this printing. Click any column header to sort; the rightmost column jumps you to listings for that grade.
- PSA10$1,3761d ·0.0%7d ↓12.8%30d ↓7.9%
- Pop
- 105
- Mcap
- $144.5K
- Evidence
- Limited
- Last
- $996
- PSA9$4431d ·0.0%7d ↑2.7%30d ↓59.9%
- Pop
- 52
- Mcap
- $23.0K
- Evidence
- Sparse
- Last
- -
- PSA8$4431d ·0.0%7d ↑2.7%30d ↓45.7%
- Pop
- 16
- Mcap
- $7.1K
- Evidence
- Sparse
- Last
- $750
| PSA10 | $1,376 | 105 | $144.5K | 0.0% | ↓down 12.8% | ↓down 7.9% | ↑up 8.5% | Limited | $9963mo ago |
| PSA9 | $443 | 52 | $23.0K | 0.0% | ↑up 2.7% | ↓down 59.9% | ↓down 53.1% | Sparse | - |
| PSA8 | $443 | 16 | $7.1K | 0.0% | ↑up 2.7% | ↓down 45.7% | ↓down 37.0% | Sparse | $75010mo ago |
| PSA7 | $406 | 7 | $2.8K | 0.0% | 0.0% | ↑up 298.8% | ↑up 329.9% | Sparse | - |
| PSA6 | $105 | 6 | $628 | 0.0% | 0.0% | ↑up 722.4% | ↑up 722.4% | Sparse | $131y ago |
| PSA5 | $49 | 2 | - | 0.0% | 0.0% | - | - | Sparse | - |
PSA population report
How Arceus-Holo Arceus Deck Case's graded copies are spread across grades. Each bar is the number of copies graded at that grade; the percentage is that grade's share of the total graded population. These are recorded graded copies, not the total print run. A smaller population alone does not establish a price premium.188 graded copies of Arceus-Holo Arceus Deck Case Holo across 6 grades. The selected grade is highlighted.
PSA 10 makes up 56% of graded copies: 105 of 188. It’s the most common grade for this card.
Analysis
Arceus-Holo Arceus Deck Case - ARCEUS DECK CASE at PSA 10 carries a TCGBerg fair value of $1,376 as of 2026-11-15. We track a TCGBerg fair value across 6 grades from Japanese Promos 2009, from PSA 5 up to PSA 10. A graded population of 105 copies sits behind the PSA 10 grade. The PSA 10 valuation rests on limited sales evidence. Over the past 30 days, the PSA 10 TCGBerg fair value has fallen 7.9%.