Ariados #H3, Holo, Aquapolis
- AQU

- ·Card number: #H3/147
- ·Rarity: Rare
A PSA 9 Ariados #H3 Holo from Aquapolis has a TCGBerg fair value of $525 as of Nov 15, 2026. TCGBerg has recorded 24 PSA 9 sales of this card, the latest on Nov 12, 2026. PSA has graded 152 copies at PSA 9.
TCGBerg Algorithm (estimated from recorded sales).
- Population · PSA 9
- 152
- Market cap
- $79.8K
- Volatility
- 9.3%
- YTD
- ↑ 180.5%
- Sales evidence
- Strong
TCGBerg fair value · PSA 9
$525
Price history
Weekly fair value over time, plus a confidence band around it: how precisely we can pin the value, which tightens as more sales confirm it. Dots mark individual sales, snapped to their week: red when above fair value (a premium), green when below (a deal), hollow when flagged as an outlier. Switch the active grade with the selector above.Weekly fair value for PSA 9. Shaded area is the confidence band: how precisely we can pin the value; it tightens as more sales confirm it. Dots are individual sales. Confidence band: how precisely we can pin the fair value. It widens when sales scatter and narrows as more sales back the value up. The dots show the actual sale prices.
What the evidence says
The last PSA 9 sale, $294 on Nov 12, 2026, sits 44.1% below the $525 fair value. The value weighs 24 PSA 9 sales from the past year, not the latest one alone. The latest sale ran below the recent run: the last 5 PSA 9 sales averaged $496, within 5.5% of the value. Its confidence band runs from $498 to $552. A PSA 10 ($2,347) is worth 4.5 times a PSA 9 ($525). Over the past 30 days the PSA 9 value has risen 7.8%.
TCGBerg fair value by grade
Side-by-side comparison of value across every grade and ungraded condition we track for this printing. The bar chart uses a log scale so raw and gem-mint fit on one axis. Solid bars are the TCGBerg fair value, modelled from recorded sales. Hatched bars are the latest market price instead, shown for ungraded conditions that trade too rarely for us to price one honestly.Value at each grade and ungraded condition. Log scale. Tap a row to switch the whole page.
- Raw NM$83Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value
- Raw LP$75Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value
- Raw MP$51Ungraded · market price
- Raw HP$39Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value
- Raw Damaged$26Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value
Behind the scenes
How the published fair value for this grade was produced: the sales it rests on, how they were put together, and every recorded change afterwards. It describes one saved calculation, not a live recomputation.What goes into this price, and how much we know.
Recent sales
20 trackedEach sale against the grade's fair value on the day it sold.
| Date | Grade | Venue | Price | vs fair value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2026 | PSA9 | eBay | $294 | below fair value by -44.1% |
| Nov 12, 2026 | PSA10 | eBay | $1,400 | below fair value by -40.4% |
| Nov 9, 2026 | PSA9 | eBay | $405 | below fair value by -22.9% |
| Nov 9, 2026 | PSA10 | Fanatics Collect | $1,650 | below fair value by -29.7% |
| Nov 9, 2026 | PSA10 | Fanatics Collect | $1,500 | below fair value by -36.1% |
- $294Nov 12, 2026 · via eBayPSA9↓below fair value by 44.1%
- $1,400Nov 12, 2026 · via eBayPSA10↓below fair value by 40.4%
- $405Nov 9, 2026 · via eBayPSA9↓below fair value by 22.9%
- $1,650Nov 9, 2026 · via Fanatics CollectPSA10↓below fair value by 29.7%
- $1,500Nov 9, 2026 · via Fanatics CollectPSA10↓below fair value by 36.1%
| Nov 2, 2026 | PSA10 | Fanatics Collect | $2,100 | below fair value by -24.4% |
| Nov 1, 2026 | PSA9 | eBay | $550 | above fair value by +0.1% |
| Oct 26, 2026 | PSA9 | Fanatics Collect | $660 | above fair value by +20.2% |
- $2,100PSA10↓below fair value by 24.4%
- $550PSA9↑above fair value by 0.1%
- $660PSA9↑above fair value by 20.2%
15 more sales with Pro
Up to 20 recent sales, each with its venue and its gap to fair value.
↓Includes a sale 32.4% below fair value
All grades matrix
Every grade we track for this printing. Click any column header to sort; the rightmost column jumps you to listings for that grade.
- CGC Gem Mint 10$3031d -7d -30d -
- Pop
- 15
- Mcap
- $4.5K
- Evidence
- Limited
- Last
- -
- BGS9.5$2961d -7d -30d -
- Pop
- 3
- Mcap
- $887
- Evidence
- Sparse
- Last
- $230
- PSA10$2,3471d ↓8.5%7d ↓15.5%30d ↓31.0%
- Pop
- 77
- Mcap
- $180.7K
- Evidence
- Limited
- Last
- $1,400
| Listings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CGC Gem Mint 10 | $303 | 15 | $4.5K | - | - | - | - | Limited | - | |
| BGS9.5 | $296 | 3 | $887 | - | - | - | - | Sparse | $2307mo ago | |
| PSA10 | $2,347 | 77 | $180.7K | ↓down 8.5% | ↓down 15.5% | ↓down 31.0% | ↑up 59.4% | Limited | $1,4003d ago | |
| PSA9 | $525 | 152 | $79.8K | ↓down 5.4% | ↓down 9.8% | ↑up 7.8% | ↑up 123.4% | Strong | $2943d ago | |
| PSA8 | $269 | 126 | $33.8K | ↑up 2.2% | ↑up 6.3% | ↑up 29.5% | ↑up 81.5% | Limited | $2913w ago | |
| PSA7 | $145 | 58 | $8.4K | ↑up 0.3% | ↑up 1.6% | ↑up 2.2% | ↑up 12.1% | Moderate | $1264w ago | |
| PSA6 | $96 | 33 | $3.2K | ↑up 0.2% | ↑up 0.2% | ↓down 4.5% | ↑up 4.9% | Moderate | $1002mo ago | |
| PSA5 | $70 | 15 | - | ↓down 0.1% | ↓down 0.2% | ↓down 17.8% | ↑up 3.5% | Sparse | $583w ago | |
| PSA4 | $28 | 7 | - | 0.0% | ↑up 1.3% | ↑up 15.6% | ↑up 143.1% | Limited | $333mo ago | |
| Raw | $83 | - | - | - | 0.0% | ↑up 2.3% | - | Strong | $843w ago |
Graded population report
How Ariados's graded copies are spread across grades. Each bar is the number of copies graded at that grade; the percentage is that grade's share of the total graded population. These are recorded graded copies, not the total print run. A smaller population alone does not establish a price premium.626 graded copies of Ariados Holo across 33 grades. The selected grade is highlighted.
PSA 9 makes up 24% of graded copies: 152 of 626. It’s the most common grade for this card.
Analysis
Ariados - Holo at PSA 10 carries a TCGBerg fair value of $2,347 as of 2026-11-14. We track a TCGBerg fair value across 9 grades from Aquapolis, from PSA 4 up to PSA 10. A graded population of 77 copies sits behind the PSA 10 grade. The PSA 10 valuation rests on limited sales evidence. Over the past 30 days, the PSA 10 TCGBerg fair value has fallen 31.0%.
