Charizard #4, Black Dot Error, Base Set
- Card number: #4/102
- ·Rarity: Rare
- ·Finish: Holo
A PSA 7 Charizard #4 Black Dot Error from Base Set has a TCGBerg fair value of $1,513 as of Nov 14, 2026. TCGBerg has recorded 11 PSA 7 sales of this card, the latest on Oct 31, 2026. PSA has graded 70 copies at PSA 7.
TCGBerg Algorithm (estimated from recorded sales).
- Population · PSA 7
- 70
- Market cap
- $105.9K
- Volatility
- 13.5%
- YTD
- ↑ 85.7%
- Sales evidence
- Strong
TCGBerg fair value · PSA 7
$1,513
Price history
Weekly fair value over time, plus a confidence band around it: how precisely we can pin the value, which tightens as more sales confirm it. Dots mark individual sales, snapped to their week: red when above fair value (a premium), green when below (a deal), hollow when flagged as an outlier. Switch the active grade with the selector above.Weekly fair value for PSA 7. Shaded area is the confidence band: how precisely we can pin the value; it tightens as more sales confirm it. Dots are individual sales. Confidence band: how precisely we can pin the fair value. It widens when sales scatter and narrows as more sales back the value up. The dots show the actual sale prices.
What the evidence says
The last PSA 7 sale, $1,390 on Oct 31, 2026, sits 8.1% below the $1,513 fair value. The value weighs 11 PSA 7 sales from the past year, not the latest one alone. The latest sale ran below the recent run: the last 5 PSA 7 sales averaged $1,483, within 2.0% of the value. Its confidence band runs from $1,351 to $1,676. A PSA 10 ($8,818) is worth 2.2 times a PSA 9 ($4,090). Over the past 30 days the PSA 7 value has risen 58.7%.
TCGBerg fair value by grade
Side-by-side comparison of value across every grade and ungraded condition we track for this printing. The bar chart uses a log scale so raw and gem-mint fit on one axis. Solid bars are the TCGBerg fair value, modelled from recorded sales. Hatched bars are the latest market price instead, shown for ungraded conditions that trade too rarely for us to price one honestly.Value at each grade and ungraded condition. Log scale. Tap a row to switch the whole page.
Behind the scenes
How the published fair value for this grade was produced: the sales it rests on, how they were put together, and every recorded change afterwards. It describes one saved calculation, not a live recomputation.What goes into this price, and how much we know.
Recent sales
20 trackedEach sale against the grade's fair value on the day it sold.
| Date | Grade | Venue | Price | vs fair value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | PSA5 | eBay | $500 | below fair value by -26.5% |
| Nov 2, 2026 | PSA1 | eBay | $1,200 | above fair value by +119.4% |
| Oct 31, 2026 | PSA7 | eBay | $1,390 | below fair value by -8.6% |
| Oct 26, 2026 | PSA8 | Fanatics Collect | $3,063 | above fair value by +46.0% |
| Oct 25, 2026 | PSA5 | eBay | $518 | below fair value by -19.5% |
- $500Nov 8, 2026 · via eBayPSA5↓below fair value by 26.5%
- $1,200Nov 2, 2026 · via eBayPSA1↑above fair value by 119.4%
- $1,390Oct 31, 2026 · via eBayPSA7↓below fair value by 8.6%
- $3,063Oct 26, 2026 · via Fanatics CollectPSA8↑above fair value by 46.0%
- $518Oct 25, 2026 · via eBayPSA5↓below fair value by 19.5%
| Oct 25, 2026 | PSA7 | eBay | $1,800 | above fair value by +12.7% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | PSA5 | eBay | $510 | below fair value by -20.7% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | PSA7 | eBay | $1,700 | above fair value by +6.4% |
- $1,800PSA7↑above fair value by 12.7%
- $510PSA5↓below fair value by 20.7%
- $1,700PSA7↑above fair value by 6.4%
15 more sales with Pro
Up to 20 recent sales, each with its venue and its gap to fair value.
↓Includes a sale 22.8% below fair value
All grades matrix
Every grade we track for this printing. Click any column header to sort; the rightmost column jumps you to listings for that grade.
- PSA10$8,8181d ↓11.6%7d ↓4.8%30d ↑8.6%
- Pop
- 0
- Mcap
- -
- Evidence
- Sparse
- Last
- -
- PSA9$4,0901d ↓0.2%7d ↓0.1%30d ↓0.5%
- Pop
- 9
- Mcap
- $36.8K
- Evidence
- Sparse
- Last
- $3,660
- PSA8$2,0981d ·0.0%7d ↓0.1%30d ↑28.0%
- Pop
- 40
- Mcap
- $83.9K
- Evidence
- Moderate
- Last
- $3,063
| PSA10 | $8,818 | 0 | - | ↓down 11.6% | ↓down 4.8% | ↑up 8.6% | ↓down 15.7% | Sparse | - |
| PSA9 | $4,090 | 9 | $36.8K | ↓down 0.2% | ↓down 0.1% | ↓down 0.5% | ↑up 6.2% | Sparse | $3,6603mo ago |
| PSA8 | $2,098 | 40 | $83.9K | 0.0% | ↓down 0.1% | ↑up 28.0% | ↑up 66.1% | Moderate | $3,0633w ago |
| PSA7 | $1,513 | 70 | $105.9K | 0.0% | ↓down 1.0% | ↑up 58.7% | ↑up 74.8% | Strong | $1,3902w ago |
| PSA6 | $726 | 94 | $68.2K | ↑up 0.3% | ↓down 12.8% | ↑up 5.4% | ↓down 6.5% | Moderate | $8723mo ago |
| PSA5 | $613 | 109 | - | 0.0% | ↓down 9.9% | ↓down 4.6% | ↓down 18.8% | Limited | $5006d ago |
| PSA4 | $554 | 60 | - | 0.0% | ↓down 1.0% | ↑up 12.5% | ↑up 5.2% | Limited | $4001mo ago |
| PSA3 | $548 | 40 | - | 0.0% | ↓down 1.0% | ↑up 12.5% | ↑up 5.2% | Limited | $6734w ago |
| PSA2 | $543 | 25 | - | 0.0% | ↓down 1.0% | - | - | Sparse | $5824w ago |
| PSA1 | $538 | 26 | - | 0.0% | ↓down 1.0% | ↑up 11.3% | ↑up 4.2% | Moderate | $1,2002w ago |
PSA population report
How Charizard's graded copies are spread across grades. Each bar is the number of copies graded at that grade; the percentage is that grade's share of the total graded population. These are recorded graded copies, not the total print run. A smaller population alone does not establish a price premium.473 graded copies of Charizard Black Dot Error across 9 grades. The selected grade is highlighted.
PSA 7 makes up 15% of graded copies: 70 of 473. PSA 5 is the most common grade (23%).
Analysis
Charizard-Holo Black Dot Error - Black Dot Error at PSA 10 carries a TCGBerg fair value of $8,818 as of 2026-11-13. We track a TCGBerg fair value across 10 grades from Base Set, from PSA 1 up to PSA 10. The PSA 10 valuation rests on sparse sales evidence. Over the past 30 days, the PSA 10 TCGBerg fair value has risen 8.6%.