Charizard #017, 1st Edition, Advent of Arceus
Japanese edition
- Card number: #017
- ·Rarity: Holo Rare
- ·Finish: Holo
A PSA 10 Charizard #017 1st Edition from Advent of Arceus has a TCGBerg fair value of $1,295 as of Nov 15, 2026. TCGBerg has recorded 82 PSA 10 sales of this card, the latest on Nov 2, 2026. PSA has graded 721 copies at PSA 10.
TCGBerg Algorithm (estimated from recorded sales).
- Population · PSA 10
- 721
- Market cap
- $933.6K
- Volatility
- 1.5%
- YTD
- ↑ 233.1%
- Sales evidence
- Very strong
TCGBerg fair value · PSA 10
$1,295
Price history
Weekly fair value over time, plus a confidence band around it: how precisely we can pin the value, which tightens as more sales confirm it. Dots mark individual sales, snapped to their week: red when above fair value (a premium), green when below (a deal), hollow when flagged as an outlier. Switch the active grade with the selector above.Weekly fair value for PSA 10. Shaded area is the confidence band: how precisely we can pin the value; it tightens as more sales confirm it. Dots are individual sales. Confidence band: how precisely we can pin the fair value. It widens when sales scatter and narrows as more sales back the value up. The dots show the actual sale prices.
What the evidence says
The last PSA 10 sale, $1,050 on Nov 2, 2026, sits 18.9% below the $1,295 fair value. The value weighs 30 PSA 10 sales from the past year, not the latest one alone. The latest sale ran below the recent run: the last 5 PSA 10 sales averaged $1,223, within 5.5% of the value. Its confidence band runs from $1,263 to $1,327. A PSA 10 ($1,295) is worth 3.5 times a PSA 9 ($375). Over the past 30 days the PSA 10 value has risen 1.6%.
TCGBerg fair value by grade
Side-by-side comparison of value across every grade and ungraded condition we track for this printing. The bar chart uses a log scale so raw and gem-mint fit on one axis. Solid bars are the TCGBerg fair value, modelled from recorded sales. Hatched bars are the latest market price instead, shown for ungraded conditions that trade too rarely for us to price one honestly.Value at each grade and ungraded condition. Log scale. Tap a row to switch the whole page.
- Raw NM$100Ungraded · market price
- Raw LP$85Ungraded · market price
- Raw MP$60Ungraded · market price
- Raw Damaged$30Ungraded · market price
- Raw HP$25Ungraded · market price
Behind the scenes
How the published fair value for this grade was produced: the sales it rests on, how they were put together, and every recorded change afterwards. It describes one saved calculation, not a live recomputation.What goes into this price, and how much we know.
Recent sales
20 trackedEach sale against the grade's fair value on the day it sold.
| Date | Grade | Venue | Price | vs fair value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | PSA7 | eBay | $147 | above fair value by +21.1% |
| Nov 6, 2026 | PSA6 | eBay | $88 | above fair value by +46.7% |
| Nov 2, 2026 | PSA10 | eBay | $1,050 | below fair value by -18.6% |
| Oct 28, 2026 | PSA5 | eBay | $58 | below fair value by -2.7% |
| Oct 27, 2026 | PSA10 | eBay | $1,231 | below fair value by -4.8% |
- $147Nov 7, 2026 · via eBayPSA7↑above fair value by 21.1%
- $88Nov 6, 2026 · via eBayPSA6↑above fair value by 46.7%
- $1,050Nov 2, 2026 · via eBayPSA10↓below fair value by 18.6%
- $58Oct 28, 2026 · via eBayPSA5↓below fair value by 2.7%
- $1,231Oct 27, 2026 · via eBayPSA10↓below fair value by 4.8%
| Oct 26, 2026 | PSA10 | Fanatics Collect | $1,170 | below fair value by -9.6% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | PSA10 | eBay | $1,315 | below fair value by -0.3% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | PSA9 | eBay | $349 | below fair value by -1.1% |
- $1,170PSA10↓below fair value by 9.6%
- $1,315PSA10↓below fair value by 0.3%
- $349PSA9↓below fair value by 1.1%
15 more sales with Pro
Up to 20 recent sales, each with its venue and its gap to fair value.
↓Includes a sale 15.0% below fair value
All grades matrix
Every grade we track for this printing. Click any column header to sort; the rightmost column jumps you to listings for that grade.
- PSA10$1,2951d ·0.0%7d ↑0.4%30d ↑1.6%
- Pop
- 721
- Mcap
- $933.6K
- Evidence
- Very strong
- Last
- $1,050
- PSA9$3751d ↑1.1%7d ↑7.9%30d ↑11.4%
- Pop
- 605
- Mcap
- $226.9K
- Evidence
- Strong
- Last
- $349
- PSA8$1681d ↓0.5%7d ↑2.0%30d ↑4.3%
- Pop
- 239
- Mcap
- $40.2K
- Evidence
- Moderate
- Last
- $180
| PSA10 | $1,295 | 721 | $933.6K | 0.0% | ↑up 0.4% | ↑up 1.6% | ↓down 11.3% | Very strong | $1,0502w ago |
| PSA9 | $375 | 605 | $226.9K | ↑up 1.1% | ↑up 7.9% | ↑up 11.4% | ↑up 60.3% | Strong | $3493w ago |
| PSA8 | $168 | 239 | $40.2K | ↓down 0.5% | ↑up 2.0% | ↑up 4.3% | ↑up 50.9% | Moderate | $1804w ago |
| PSA7 | $124 | 112 | $13.9K | ↑up 2.2% | ↑up 2.2% | ↑up 33.7% | ↑up 93.6% | Strong | $1471w ago |
| PSA6 | $60 | 66 | $3.9K | 0.0% | 0.0% | ↓down 0.9% | ↑up 25.6% | Limited | $881w ago |
| PSA5 | $60 | 33 | - | 0.0% | 0.0% | ↓down 0.9% | ↑up 25.6% | Strong | $583w ago |
| Raw | $100 | - | - | 0.0% | 0.0% | ↑up 1.0% | ↑up 2.0% | - | $1001mo ago |
PSA population report
How Charizard's graded copies are spread across grades. Each bar is the number of copies graded at that grade; the percentage is that grade's share of the total graded population. These are recorded graded copies, not the total print run. A smaller population alone does not establish a price premium.1,776 graded copies of Charizard 1st Edition across 6 grades. The selected grade is highlighted.
PSA 10 makes up 41% of graded copies: 721 of 1,776. It’s the most common grade for this card.
Analysis
Charizard - 1st Edition at PSA 10 carries a TCGBerg fair value of $1,295 as of 2026-11-15. We track a TCGBerg fair value across 6 grades from Advent of Arceus, from PSA 6 up to PSA 10. A graded population of 721 copies sits behind the PSA 10 grade. The PSA 10 valuation rests on very strong sales evidence. Over the past 30 days, the PSA 10 TCGBerg fair value has risen 1.6%.