Chien-Pao ex #261, Special Illustration Rare, Paldea Evolved
- PE

- ·Card number: #261/193
- ·Finish: Holo
A PSA 10 Chien-Pao ex #261 Special Illustration Rare from Paldea Evolved has a TCGBerg fair value of $105 as of Nov 15, 2026. TCGBerg has recorded 255 PSA 10 sales of this card, the latest on Nov 12, 2026. PSA has graded 2,496 copies at PSA 10.
TCGBerg Algorithm (estimated from recorded sales).
- Population · PSA 10
- 2,496
- Market cap
- $261.7K
- Volatility
- 1.3%
- YTD
- ↑ 31.0%
- Sales evidence
- Very strong
TCGBerg fair value · PSA 10
$105
Price history
Weekly fair value over time, plus a confidence band around it: how precisely we can pin the value, which tightens as more sales confirm it. Dots mark individual sales, snapped to their week: red when above fair value (a premium), green when below (a deal), hollow when flagged as an outlier. Switch the active grade with the selector above.Weekly fair value for PSA 10. Shaded area is the confidence band: how precisely we can pin the value; it tightens as more sales confirm it. Dots are individual sales. Confidence band: how precisely we can pin the fair value. It widens when sales scatter and narrows as more sales back the value up. The dots show the actual sale prices.
What the evidence says
The last PSA 10 sale, $81 on Nov 12, 2026, sits 22.8% below the $105 fair value. The value weighs 30 PSA 10 sales from the past year, not the latest one alone. The latest sale ran below the recent run: the last 5 PSA 10 sales averaged $98, within 6.2% of the value. Its confidence band runs from $103 to $107. A PSA 10 ($105) is worth 3.0 times a PSA 9 ($35). Over the past 30 days the PSA 10 value has fallen 2.9%.
TCGBerg fair value by grade
Side-by-side comparison of value across every grade and ungraded condition we track for this printing. The bar chart uses a log scale so raw and gem-mint fit on one axis. Solid bars are the TCGBerg fair value, modelled from recorded sales. Hatched bars are the latest market price instead, shown for ungraded conditions that trade too rarely for us to price one honestly.Value at each grade and ungraded condition. Log scale. Tap a row to switch the whole page.
- Raw HP$27Ungraded · market price
- Raw LP$26Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value
- Raw NM$25Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value
- Raw MP$21Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value
- Raw Damaged$15Ungraded · market price
Behind the scenes
How the published fair value for this grade was produced: the sales it rests on, how they were put together, and every recorded change afterwards. It describes one saved calculation, not a live recomputation.What goes into this price, and how much we know.
Recent sales
20 trackedEach sale against the grade's fair value on the day it sold.
| Date | Grade | Venue | Price | vs fair value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2026 | PSA10 | eBay | $81 | below fair value by -22.8% |
| Nov 12, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $1.00 | below fair value by -96.1% |
| Nov 12, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $26 | above fair value by +2.1% |
| Nov 12, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $28 | above fair value by +9.8% |
| Nov 11, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $22 | below fair value by -11.7% |
- $81Nov 12, 2026 · via eBayPSA10↓below fair value by 22.8%
- $1.00Nov 12, 2026 · via tcgplayerRaw↓below fair value by 96.1%
- $26Nov 12, 2026 · via tcgplayerRaw↑above fair value by 2.1%
- $28Nov 12, 2026 · via tcgplayerRaw↑above fair value by 9.8%
- $22Nov 11, 2026 · via tcgplayerRaw↓below fair value by 11.7%
| Nov 10, 2026 | PSA10 | eBay | $98 | below fair value by -6.5% |
| Nov 10, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $25 | below fair value by -3.4% |
| Nov 8, 2026 | PSA10 | eBay | $100 | below fair value by -6.6% |
- $98PSA10↓below fair value by 6.5%
- $25Raw↓below fair value by 3.4%
- $100PSA10↓below fair value by 6.6%
15 more sales with Pro
Up to 20 recent sales, each with its venue and its gap to fair value.
↓Includes a sale 31.7% below fair value
All grades matrix
Every grade we track for this printing. Click any column header to sort; the rightmost column jumps you to listings for that grade.
- CGC6-1d -7d -30d -
- Pop
- -
- Mcap
- -
- Evidence
- Sparse
- Last
- -
- CGC Pristine 10$1151d -7d -30d -
- Pop
- -
- Mcap
- -
- Evidence
- Sparse
- Last
- $84
- CGC Gem Mint 10$301d -7d -30d -
- Pop
- -
- Mcap
- -
- Evidence
- Limited
- Last
- $37
| Listings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CGC6 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | Sparse | - | |
| CGC Pristine 10 | $115 | - | - | - | - | - | - | Sparse | $846mo ago | |
| CGC Gem Mint 10 | $30 | - | - | - | - | - | - | Limited | $373mo ago | |
| CGC9.5 | $24 | - | - | - | - | - | - | Limited | $345mo ago | |
| BGS9.5 | $62 | - | - | - | - | - | - | Sparse | $456mo ago | |
| PSA10 | $105 | 2,496 | $261.7K | ↓down 0.6% | ↓down 1.8% | ↓down 2.9% | ↓down 5.5% | Very strong | $813d ago | |
| PSA9 | $35 | 2,072 | $71.7K | ↑up 0.4% | ↓down 5.4% | ↑up 3.0% | ↑up 12.2% | Very strong | $251w ago | |
| PSA8 | $31 | 237 | $7.3K | ↑up 0.9% | ↓down 0.3% | ↑up 10.7% | ↑up 15.0% | Moderate | $283mo ago | |
| PSA7 | $14 | 30 | $425 | ↓down 0.2% | ↑up 6.8% | ↑up 8.3% | ↑up 3.4% | Limited | $9.9910mo ago | |
| PSA6 | $13 | 16 | $203 | ↓down 0.1% | ↑up 8.9% | ↑up 10.5% | ↓down 3.2% | Sparse | - | |
| Raw | $25 | - | - | - | ↓down 0.2% | ↓down 6.5% | - | Very strong | $1.003d ago |
Graded population report
How Chien-Pao ex's graded copies are spread across grades. Each bar is the number of copies graded at that grade; the percentage is that grade's share of the total graded population. These are recorded graded copies, not the total print run. A smaller population alone does not establish a price premium.4,861 graded copies of Chien-Pao ex Special Illustration Rare across 8 grades. The selected grade is highlighted.
PSA 10 makes up 51% of graded copies: 2,496 of 4,861. It’s the most common grade for this card.
Analysis
Chien-Pao ex - Special Illustration Rare at CGC Pristine 10 carries a TCGBerg fair value of $115 as of 2026-11-14. We track a TCGBerg fair value across 9 grades from Paldea Evolved, from PSA 6 up to CGC Pristine 10. The CGC Pristine 10 valuation rests on sparse sales evidence.
