Colress's Experiment #190, Ultra Rare, Sword & Shield - Lost Origin
- LO

- ·Card number: #190
- ·Finish: Holo
A CGC Gem Mint 10 Colress's Experiment #190 Ultra Rare from Sword & Shield - Lost Origin has a TCGBerg fair value of $17 as of Nov 15, 2026. It rests on 2 recorded sales, the latest on Jun 3, 2026. CGC has graded 74 copies at CGC Gem Mint 10. Sales evidence is sparse, so treat this value as a rough estimate.
TCGBerg Algorithm (estimated from recorded sales).
2 sales · latest Jun 3, 2026
- Population · CGC Gem Mint 10
- 74
- Market cap
- $1.3K
- Volatility
- -
- YTD
- -
- Sales evidence
- Sparse
TCGBerg fair value · CGC Gem Mint 10
$17
Based on 2 recorded sales. Latest sale: Jun 3, 2026.
Price history
Weekly fair value over time, plus a confidence band around it: how precisely we can pin the value, which tightens as more sales confirm it. Dots mark individual sales, snapped to their week: red when above fair value (a premium), green when below (a deal), hollow when flagged as an outlier. Switch the active grade with the selector above.Weekly fair value for CGC Gem Mint 10. Shaded area is the confidence band: how precisely we can pin the value; it tightens as more sales confirm it. Dots are individual sales. Confidence band: how precisely we can pin the fair value. It widens when sales scatter and narrows as more sales back the value up. The dots show the actual sale prices.
What the evidence says
The last CGC Gem Mint 10 sale, $13 on Jun 3, 2026, sits 25.2% below the $17 fair value. The value rests on 2 recorded CGC Gem Mint 10 sales. With so few CGC Gem Mint 10 sales on record, a single sale can sit far from the value. Its confidence band runs from $17 to $18. With sparse sales evidence, read the gap and the band as rough guides.
TCGBerg fair value by grade
Side-by-side comparison of value across every grade and ungraded condition we track for this printing. The bar chart uses a log scale so raw and gem-mint fit on one axis. Solid bars are the TCGBerg fair value, modelled from recorded sales. Hatched bars are the latest market price instead, shown for ungraded conditions that trade too rarely for us to price one honestly.Value at each grade and ungraded condition. Log scale. Tap a row to switch the whole page.
- Raw MP$1.80Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value
- Raw NM$1.57Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value
- Raw LP$1.36Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value
- Raw HP$1.25Ungraded · market price
- Raw Damaged$1.24Ungraded · market price
Behind the scenes
How the published fair value for this grade was produced: the sales it rests on, how they were put together, and every recorded change afterwards. It describes one saved calculation, not a live recomputation.What goes into this price, and how much we know.
Recent sales
20 trackedEach sale against the grade's fair value on the day it sold.
| Date | Grade | Venue | Price | vs fair value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $1.57 | at fair value by 0.0% |
| Nov 11, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $1.27 | below fair value by -19.1% |
| Nov 11, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $1.62 | above fair value by +3.2% |
| Nov 10, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $1.50 | below fair value by -4.5% |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $1.64 | above fair value by +0.6% |
- $1.57Nov 11, 2026 · via tcgplayerRaw·at fair value by 0.0%
- $1.27Nov 11, 2026 · via tcgplayerRaw↓below fair value by 19.1%
- $1.62Nov 11, 2026 · via tcgplayerRaw↑above fair value by 3.2%
- $1.50Nov 10, 2026 · via tcgplayerRaw↓below fair value by 4.5%
- $1.64Nov 3, 2026 · via tcgplayerRaw↑above fair value by 0.6%
| Oct 31, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $0.85 | below fair value by -47.9% |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $1.66 | above fair value by +1.8% |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $1.65 | above fair value by +1.2% |
- $0.85Raw↓below fair value by 47.9%
- $1.66Raw↑above fair value by 1.8%
- $1.65Raw↑above fair value by 1.2%
15 more sales with Pro
Up to 20 recent sales, each with its venue and its gap to fair value.
↓Includes a sale 47.9% below fair value
All grades matrix
Every grade we track for this printing. Click any column header to sort; the rightmost column jumps you to listings for that grade.
- CGC Gem Mint 10$171d -7d -30d -
- Pop
- 74
- Mcap
- $1.3K
- Evidence
- Sparse
- Last
- $13
- CGC9.5$6.351d -7d -30d -
- Pop
- 9
- Mcap
- $57
- Evidence
- Sparse
- Last
- $7.20
- Raw$1.571d -7d ↓3.7%30d ↑0.6%
- Pop
- -
- Mcap
- -
- Evidence
- Very strong
- Last
- $1.57
| Listings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CGC Gem Mint 10 | $17 | 74 | $1.3K | - | - | - | - | Sparse | $136mo ago | |
| CGC9.5 | $6.35 | 9 | $57 | - | - | - | - | Sparse | $7.204mo ago | |
| Raw | $1.57 | - | - | - | ↓down 3.7% | ↑up 0.6% | - | Very strong | $1.574d ago |
Graded population report
How Colress's Experiment's graded copies are spread across grades. Each bar is the number of copies graded at that grade; the percentage is that grade's share of the total graded population. These are recorded graded copies, not the total print run. A smaller population alone does not establish a price premium.514 graded copies of Colress's Experiment Ultra Rare across 22 grades. The selected grade is highlighted.
CGC Gem Mint 10 makes up 14% of graded copies: 74 of 514. PSA 10 is the most common grade (28%).
Analysis
Colress's Experiment - Ultra Rare at CGC Gem Mint 10 carries a TCGBerg fair value of $17 as of 2026-11-14. We track a TCGBerg fair value across 2 grades from Sword & Shield - Lost Origin, from CGC 9.5 up to CGC Gem Mint 10. A graded population of 74 copies sits behind the CGC Gem Mint 10 grade. The CGC Gem Mint 10 valuation rests on sparse sales evidence.