Dawn #118, Ultra Rare, Phantasmal Flames
- Card number: #118/94
- ·Finish: Holo
A PSA 10 Dawn #118 Ultra Rare from Phantasmal Flames has a TCGBerg fair value of $39 as of Nov 15, 2026. TCGBerg has recorded 431 PSA 10 sales of this card, the latest on Nov 12, 2026. PSA has graded 3,041 copies at PSA 10.
TCGBerg Algorithm (estimated from recorded sales).
- Population · PSA 10
- 3,041
- Market cap
- $118.3K
- Volatility
- 2.5%
- YTD
- -
- Sales evidence
- Very strong
TCGBerg fair value · PSA 10
$39
Price history
Weekly fair value over time, plus a confidence band around it: how precisely we can pin the value, which tightens as more sales confirm it. Dots mark individual sales, snapped to their week: red when above fair value (a premium), green when below (a deal), hollow when flagged as an outlier. Switch the active grade with the selector above.Weekly fair value for PSA 10. Shaded area is the confidence band: how precisely we can pin the value; it tightens as more sales confirm it. Dots are individual sales. Confidence band: how precisely we can pin the fair value. It widens when sales scatter and narrows as more sales back the value up. The dots show the actual sale prices.
What the evidence says
The last PSA 10 sale, $33 on Nov 12, 2026, sits 15.1% below the $39 fair value. The value weighs 30 PSA 10 sales from the past year, not the latest one alone. Its confidence band runs from $37 to $41. A PSA 10 ($39) is worth 2.3 times a PSA 9 ($17). Over the past 30 days the PSA 10 value has fallen 8.1%.
TCGBerg fair value by grade
Side-by-side comparison of value across every grade and ungraded condition we track for this printing. The bar chart uses a log scale so raw and gem-mint fit on one axis. Solid bars are the TCGBerg fair value, modelled from recorded sales. Hatched bars are the latest market price instead, shown for ungraded conditions that trade too rarely for us to price one honestly.Value at each grade and ungraded condition. Log scale. Tap a row to switch the whole page.
- Raw MP$7.12Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value
- Raw Damaged$5.44Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value
- Raw NM$5.28Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value
- Raw LP$4.98Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value
- Raw HP$3.09Ungraded · market price
Behind the scenes
How the published fair value for this grade was produced: the sales it rests on, how they were put together, and every recorded change afterwards. It describes one saved calculation, not a live recomputation.What goes into this price, and how much we know.
Recent sales
20 trackedEach sale against the grade's fair value on the day it sold.
| Date | Grade | Venue | Price | vs fair value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2026 | PSA10 | eBay | $33 | below fair value by -15.1% |
| Nov 12, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $5.50 | above fair value by +4.2% |
| Nov 12, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $5.17 | below fair value by -2.1% |
| Nov 12, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $3.99 | below fair value by -24.4% |
| Nov 12, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $6.81 | above fair value by +29.0% |
- $33Nov 12, 2026 · via eBayPSA10↓below fair value by 15.1%
- $5.50Nov 12, 2026 · via tcgplayerRaw↑above fair value by 4.2%
- $5.17Nov 12, 2026 · via tcgplayerRaw↓below fair value by 2.1%
- $3.99Nov 12, 2026 · via tcgplayerRaw↓below fair value by 24.4%
- $6.81Nov 12, 2026 · via tcgplayerRaw↑above fair value by 29.0%
| Nov 12, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $6.69 | above fair value by +26.7% |
| Nov 10, 2026 | PSA8 | eBay | $21 | above fair value by +24.2% |
| Nov 9, 2026 | CGC Gem Mint 10 | Fanatics Collect | $12 | below fair value by -31.6% |
- $6.69Raw↑above fair value by 26.7%
- $21PSA8↑above fair value by 24.2%
- $12CGC Gem Mint 10↓below fair value by 31.6%
15 more sales with Pro
Up to 20 recent sales, each with its venue and its gap to fair value.
↓Includes a sale 31.6% below fair value
All grades matrix
Every grade we track for this printing. Click any column header to sort; the rightmost column jumps you to listings for that grade.
- CGC6-1d -7d -30d -
- Pop
- 1
- Mcap
- -
- Evidence
- Sparse
- Last
- -
- CGC Pristine 10$421d -7d -30d -
- Pop
- 191
- Mcap
- $7.9K
- Evidence
- Limited
- Last
- $30
- CGC Gem Mint 10$181d -7d -30d -
- Pop
- 302
- Mcap
- $5.3K
- Evidence
- Strong
- Last
- $12
| Listings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CGC6 | - | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | Sparse | - | |
| CGC Pristine 10 | $42 | 191 | $7.9K | - | - | - | - | Limited | $301mo ago | |
| CGC Gem Mint 10 | $18 | 302 | $5.3K | - | - | - | - | Strong | $126d ago | |
| CGC9.5 | $16 | 19 | $296 | - | - | - | - | Sparse | $128mo ago | |
| BGS9.5 | $21 | 73 | $1.5K | - | - | - | - | Sparse | $203mo ago | |
| PSA10 | $39 | 3,041 | $118.3K | ↓down 1.5% | ↑up 1.0% | ↓down 8.1% | ↓down 3.5% | Very strong | $333d ago | |
| PSA9 | $17 | 1,468 | $25.1K | ↓down 3.6% | ↓down 6.6% | ↓down 9.6% | ↓down 15.8% | Very strong | $151w ago | |
| PSA8 | $17 | 291 | $4.9K | ↑up 5.6% | ↑up 21.4% | ↑up 12.1% | ↑up 19.5% | Very strong | $215d ago | |
| PSA7 | $11 | 57 | $630 | ↑up 0.3% | ↓down 0.9% | ↑up 13.4% | ↑up 29.5% | Moderate | $9.503mo ago | |
| PSA6 | $9.86 | 22 | $217 | ↓down 1.1% | ↓down 0.3% | ↑up 4.4% | ↑up 21.6% | Sparse | $161mo ago | |
| Raw | $5.28 | - | - | - | ↑up 3.5% | ↑up 15.0% | - | Very strong | $5.503d ago |
Graded population report
How Dawn's graded copies are spread across grades. Each bar is the number of copies graded at that grade; the percentage is that grade's share of the total graded population. These are recorded graded copies, not the total print run. A smaller population alone does not establish a price premium.5,671 graded copies of Dawn Ultra Rare across 25 grades. The selected grade is highlighted.
PSA 10 makes up 54% of graded copies: 3,041 of 5,671. It’s the most common grade for this card.
Analysis
Dawn - Ultra Rare at CGC Pristine 10 carries a TCGBerg fair value of $42 as of 2026-11-14. We track a TCGBerg fair value across 9 grades from Phantasmal Flames, from PSA 6 up to CGC Pristine 10. A graded population of 191 copies sits behind the CGC Pristine 10 grade. The CGC Pristine 10 valuation rests on limited sales evidence.
