Gouging Fire #38, Holo, Surging Sparks
- Card number: #38/191
- ·Rarity: Rare
A CGC Gem Mint 10 Gouging Fire #38 Holo from Surging Sparks has a TCGBerg fair value of $9.97 as of Nov 15, 2026. TCGBerg has recorded 2 CGC Gem Mint 10 sales of this card, the latest on Aug 10, 2026.
TCGBerg Algorithm (estimated from recorded sales).
- Population · CGC Gem Mint 10
- -
- Market cap
- -
- Volatility
- -
- YTD
- -
- Sales evidence
- Moderate
TCGBerg fair value · CGC Gem Mint 10
$9.97
Price history
Weekly fair value over time, plus a confidence band around it: how precisely we can pin the value, which tightens as more sales confirm it. Dots mark individual sales, snapped to their week: red when above fair value (a premium), green when below (a deal), hollow when flagged as an outlier. Switch the active grade with the selector above.Weekly fair value for CGC Gem Mint 10. Shaded area is the confidence band: how precisely we can pin the value; it tightens as more sales confirm it. Dots are individual sales. Confidence band: how precisely we can pin the fair value. It widens when sales scatter and narrows as more sales back the value up. The dots show the actual sale prices.
What the evidence says
The last CGC Gem Mint 10 sale, $6.00 on Aug 10, 2026, sits 39.8% below the $9.97 fair value. The value weighs 2 CGC Gem Mint 10 sales from the past year, not the latest one alone. The latest sale ran below the recent run: the last 2 CGC Gem Mint 10 sales averaged $11, within 10.7% of the value. Its confidence band runs from $9.01 to $11.
TCGBerg fair value by grade
Side-by-side comparison of value across every grade and ungraded condition we track for this printing. The bar chart uses a log scale so raw and gem-mint fit on one axis. Solid bars are the TCGBerg fair value, modelled from recorded sales. Hatched bars are the latest market price instead, shown for ungraded conditions that trade too rarely for us to price one honestly.Value at each grade and ungraded condition. Log scale. Tap a row to switch the whole page.
- Raw HP$0.35Ungraded · market price
- Raw Damaged$0.28Ungraded · market price
- Raw LP$0.21Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value
- Raw MP$0.19Ungraded · market price
- Raw NM$0.18Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value
Behind the scenes
How the published fair value for this grade was produced: the sales it rests on, how they were put together, and every recorded change afterwards. It describes one saved calculation, not a live recomputation.What goes into this price, and how much we know.
Recent sales
20 trackedEach sale against the grade's fair value on the day it sold.
| Date | Grade | Venue | Price | vs fair value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $0.25 | above fair value by +38.9% |
| Nov 12, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $0.10 | below fair value by -44.4% |
| Nov 12, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $0.20 | above fair value by +11.1% |
| Nov 12, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $0.02 | below fair value by -88.9% |
| Nov 4, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $0.20 | above fair value by +5.3% |
- $0.25Nov 12, 2026 · via tcgplayerRaw↑above fair value by 38.9%
- $0.10Nov 12, 2026 · via tcgplayerRaw↓below fair value by 44.4%
- $0.20Nov 12, 2026 · via tcgplayerRaw↑above fair value by 11.1%
- $0.02Nov 12, 2026 · via tcgplayerRaw↓below fair value by 88.9%
- $0.20Nov 4, 2026 · via tcgplayerRaw↑above fair value by 5.3%
| Nov 4, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $0.25 | above fair value by +31.6% |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $0.10 | below fair value by -47.4% |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $0.04 | below fair value by -78.9% |
- $0.25Raw↑above fair value by 31.6%
- $0.10Raw↓below fair value by 47.4%
- $0.04Raw↓below fair value by 78.9%
15 more sales with Pro
Up to 20 recent sales, each with its venue and its gap to fair value.
↓Includes a sale 78.9% below fair value
All grades matrix
Every grade we track for this printing. Click any column header to sort; the rightmost column jumps you to listings for that grade.
- CGC Pristine 10$201d -7d -30d -
- Pop
- -
- Mcap
- -
- Evidence
- Sparse
- Last
- $19
- CGC Gem Mint 10$9.971d -7d -30d -
- Pop
- -
- Mcap
- -
- Evidence
- Moderate
- Last
- $6.00
- CGC9.5$6.001d -7d -30d -
- Pop
- -
- Mcap
- -
- Evidence
- Sparse
- Last
- $6.00
| Listings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CGC Pristine 10 | $20 | - | - | - | - | - | - | Sparse | $192y ago | |
| CGC Gem Mint 10 | $9.97 | - | - | - | - | - | - | Moderate | $6.003mo ago | |
| CGC9.5 | $6.00 | - | - | - | - | - | - | Sparse | $6.001y ago | |
| Raw | $0.18 | - | - | - | ↓down 5.3% | ↓down 5.3% | - | Strong | $0.253d ago |
Analysis
Gouging Fire - Holo at CGC Pristine 10 carries a TCGBerg fair value of $20 as of 2026-11-14. We track a TCGBerg fair value across 3 grades from Surging Sparks, from CGC 9.5 up to CGC Pristine 10. The CGC Pristine 10 valuation rests on sparse sales evidence.