Ho-Oh GX #21, Ultra Rare, Sun & Moon - Burning Shadows
- BS

- ·Card number: #21/147
- ·Finish: Holo
A PSA 10 Ho-Oh GX #21 Ultra Rare from Sun & Moon - Burning Shadows has a TCGBerg fair value of $517 as of Nov 15, 2026. It rests on 30 recorded sales, the latest on Oct 27, 2026. PSA has graded 284 copies at PSA 10. Sales evidence is limited, so treat this value as a rough estimate.
TCGBerg Algorithm (estimated from recorded sales).
30 sales · latest Oct 27, 2026
- Population · PSA 10
- 284
- Market cap
- $146.9K
- Volatility
- 26.3%
- YTD
- ↑ 475.8%
- Sales evidence
- Limited
TCGBerg fair value · PSA 10
$517
Based on 30 recorded sales. Latest sale: Oct 27, 2026.
Price history
Weekly fair value over time, plus a confidence band around it: how precisely we can pin the value, which tightens as more sales confirm it. Dots mark individual sales, snapped to their week: red when above fair value (a premium), green when below (a deal), hollow when flagged as an outlier. Switch the active grade with the selector above.Weekly fair value for PSA 10. Shaded area is the confidence band: how precisely we can pin the value; it tightens as more sales confirm it. Dots are individual sales. Confidence band: how precisely we can pin the fair value. It widens when sales scatter and narrows as more sales back the value up. The dots show the actual sale prices.
What the evidence says
The latest recorded PSA 10 sale ($894 on Oct 27, 2026) sits 72.7% above the $517 fair value, too far off to read as this grade's price. The value rests on 30 recorded PSA 10 sales. The latest sale ran above the recent run: the last 5 PSA 10 sales averaged $678, within 31.0% of the value. Its confidence band runs from $449 to $585. A PSA 10 ($517) is worth 11.3 times a PSA 9 ($46). With limited sales evidence, read the gap and the band as rough guides.
TCGBerg fair value by grade
Side-by-side comparison of value across every grade and ungraded condition we track for this printing. The bar chart uses a log scale so raw and gem-mint fit on one axis. Solid bars are the TCGBerg fair value, modelled from recorded sales. Hatched bars are the latest market price instead, shown for ungraded conditions that trade too rarely for us to price one honestly.Value at each grade and ungraded condition. Log scale. Tap a row to switch the whole page.
- Raw NM$6.46Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value
- Raw LP$4.21Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value
- Raw MP$3.59Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value
- Raw HP$2.50Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value
- Raw Damaged$1.92Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value
Behind the scenes
How the published fair value for this grade was produced: the sales it rests on, how they were put together, and every recorded change afterwards. It describes one saved calculation, not a live recomputation.What goes into this price, and how much we know.
Recent sales
20 trackedEach sale against the grade's fair value on the day it sold.
| Date | Grade | Venue | Price | vs fair value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $6.07 | below fair value by -6.0% |
| Nov 14, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $4.00 | below fair value by -38.1% |
| Nov 12, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $5.99 | below fair value by -7.3% |
| Nov 12, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $6.12 | below fair value by -5.3% |
| Nov 12, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $6.30 | below fair value by -2.5% |
- $6.07Nov 14, 2026 · via tcgplayerRaw↓below fair value by 6.0%
- $4.00Nov 14, 2026 · via tcgplayerRaw↓below fair value by 38.1%
- $5.99Nov 12, 2026 · via tcgplayerRaw↓below fair value by 7.3%
- $6.12Nov 12, 2026 · via tcgplayerRaw↓below fair value by 5.3%
- $6.30Nov 12, 2026 · via tcgplayerRaw↓below fair value by 2.5%
| Nov 12, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $6.05 | below fair value by -6.3% |
| Nov 3, 2026 | PSA6 | eBay | $17 | above fair value by +42.9% |
| Nov 3, 2026 | PSA8 | eBay | $18 | below fair value by -19.2% |
- $6.05Raw↓below fair value by 6.3%
- $17PSA6↑above fair value by 42.9%
- $18PSA8↓below fair value by 19.2%
15 more sales with Pro
Up to 20 recent sales, each with its venue and its gap to fair value.
↓Includes a sale 45.4% below fair value
All grades matrix
Every grade we track for this printing. Click any column header to sort; the rightmost column jumps you to listings for that grade.
- CGC Pristine 10$721d ·0.0%7d ·0.0%30d ·0.0%
- Pop
- -
- Mcap
- -
- Evidence
- Sparse
- Last
- $72
- CGC9.5$161d ·0.0%7d ·0.0%30d ·0.0%
- Pop
- -
- Mcap
- -
- Evidence
- Sparse
- Last
- $16
- PSA10$5171d ·0.0%7d ↓12.9%30d ↑91.0%
- Pop
- 284
- Mcap
- $146.9K
- Evidence
- Limited
- Last
- $894
| CGC Pristine 10 | $72 | - | - | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | Sparse | $7212mo ago |
| CGC9.5 | $16 | - | - | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | Sparse | $161y ago |
| PSA10 | $517 | 284 | $146.9K | 0.0% | ↓down 12.9% | ↑up 91.0% | ↑up 167.8% | Limited | $8943w ago |
| PSA9 | $46 | 409 | $18.8K | ↓down 0.1% | ↑up 0.9% | ↑up 74.7% | ↑up 91.2% | Strong | $862w ago |
| PSA8 | $22 | 195 | $4.3K | 0.0% | ↓down 0.2% | ↑up 16.3% | ↑up 1.7% | Strong | $182w ago |
| PSA7 | $13 | 60 | $809 | 0.0% | ↓down 0.8% | ↑up 3.5% | ↓down 20.7% | Moderate | $5.502mo ago |
| PSA6 | $12 | 32 | $376 | 0.0% | ↓down 0.2% | ↑up 15.2% | ↓down 30.2% | Moderate | $172w ago |
| PSA5 | $12 | 10 | - | 0.0% | 0.0% | ↑up 13.4% | ↓down 19.2% | Sparse | $7.509mo ago |
| Raw | $6.46 | - | - | - | ↓down 1.8% | - | - | Very strong | $6.07yesterday |
Graded population report
How Ho-Oh GX's graded copies are spread across grades. Each bar is the number of copies graded at that grade; the percentage is that grade's share of the total graded population. These are recorded graded copies, not the total print run. A smaller population alone does not establish a price premium.996 graded copies of Ho-Oh GX Ultra Rare across 9 grades. The selected grade is highlighted.
PSA 10 makes up 29% of graded copies: 284 of 996. PSA 9 is the most common grade (41%).
Analysis
Ho-Oh GX - Ultra Rare at PSA 10 carries a TCGBerg fair value of $517 as of 2026-11-14. We track a TCGBerg fair value across 8 grades from Sun & Moon - Burning Shadows, from PSA 5 up to PSA 10. A graded population of 284 copies sits behind the PSA 10 grade. The PSA 10 valuation rests on limited sales evidence. Over the past 30 days, the PSA 10 TCGBerg fair value has risen 91.0%.