Larvesta #196, Illustration Rare, Surging Sparks
- Card number: #196/191
- ·Finish: Holo
A PSA 9 Larvesta #196 Illustration Rare from Surging Sparks has a TCGBerg fair value of $17 as of Nov 14, 2026. TCGBerg has recorded 7 PSA 9 sales of this card, the latest on Sep 8, 2026. PSA has graded 3 copies at PSA 9.
TCGBerg Algorithm (estimated from recorded sales).
- Population · PSA 9
- 3
- Market cap
- $52
- Volatility
- 1.3%
- YTD
- -
- Sales evidence
- Moderate
TCGBerg fair value · PSA 9
$17
Price history
Weekly fair value over time, plus a confidence band around it: how precisely we can pin the value, which tightens as more sales confirm it. Dots mark individual sales, snapped to their week: red when above fair value (a premium), green when below (a deal), hollow when flagged as an outlier. Switch the active grade with the selector above.Weekly fair value for PSA 9. Shaded area is the confidence band: how precisely we can pin the value; it tightens as more sales confirm it. Dots are individual sales. Confidence band: how precisely we can pin the fair value. It widens when sales scatter and narrows as more sales back the value up. The dots show the actual sale prices.
What the evidence says
The last PSA 9 sale, $25 on Sep 8, 2026, sits 43.9% above the $17 fair value. The value weighs 7 PSA 9 sales from the past year, not the latest one alone. The latest sale ran above the recent run: the last 5 PSA 9 sales averaged $17, within 0.4% of the value. Its confidence band runs from $16 to $19. Over the past 30 days the PSA 9 value has risen 2.3%.
TCGBerg fair value by grade
Side-by-side comparison of value across every grade and ungraded condition we track for this printing. The bar chart uses a log scale so raw and gem-mint fit on one axis. Solid bars are the TCGBerg fair value, modelled from recorded sales. Hatched bars are the latest market price instead, shown for ungraded conditions that trade too rarely for us to price one honestly.Value at each grade and ungraded condition. Log scale. Tap a row to switch the whole page.
- Raw NM$2.50Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value
- Raw LP$2.17Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value
- Raw Damaged$1.81Ungraded · market price
- Raw HP$1.80Ungraded · market price
- Raw MP$1.59Ungraded · market price
Behind the scenes
How the published fair value for this grade was produced: the sales it rests on, how they were put together, and every recorded change afterwards. It describes one saved calculation, not a live recomputation.What goes into this price, and how much we know.
Recent sales
20 trackedEach sale against the grade's fair value on the day it sold.
| Date | Grade | Venue | Price | vs fair value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $2.71 | above fair value by +8.4% |
| Nov 11, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $2.44 | below fair value by -2.4% |
| Nov 10, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $2.50 | at fair value by 0.0% |
| Nov 10, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $2.99 | above fair value by +19.6% |
| Nov 4, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $2.44 | below fair value by -3.2% |
- $2.71Nov 11, 2026 · via tcgplayerRaw↑above fair value by 8.4%
- $2.44Nov 11, 2026 · via tcgplayerRaw↓below fair value by 2.4%
- $2.50Nov 10, 2026 · via tcgplayerRaw·at fair value by 0.0%
- $2.99Nov 10, 2026 · via tcgplayerRaw↑above fair value by 19.6%
- $2.44Nov 4, 2026 · via tcgplayerRaw↓below fair value by 3.2%
| Nov 4, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $2.75 | above fair value by +9.1% |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $2.37 | below fair value by -6.0% |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $2.37 | below fair value by -6.0% |
- $2.75Raw↑above fair value by 9.1%
- $2.37Raw↓below fair value by 6.0%
- $2.37Raw↓below fair value by 6.0%
15 more sales with Pro
Up to 20 recent sales, each with its venue and its gap to fair value.
↓Includes a sale 46.0% below fair value
All grades matrix
Every grade we track for this printing. Click any column header to sort; the rightmost column jumps you to listings for that grade.
- PSA9$171d ·0.0%7d ↓0.9%30d ↑2.3%
- Pop
- 3
- Mcap
- $52
- Evidence
- Moderate
- Last
- $25
- Raw$2.501d -7d ↓0.8%30d ↓6.7%
- Pop
- -
- Mcap
- -
- Evidence
- Very strong
- Last
- $2.71
| Listings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA9 | $17 | 3 | $52 | 0.0% | ↓down 0.9% | ↑up 2.3% | - | Moderate | $252mo ago | |
| Raw | $2.50 | - | - | - | ↓down 0.8% | ↓down 6.7% | - | Very strong | $2.713d ago |
PSA population report
How Larvesta's graded copies are spread across grades. Each bar is the number of copies graded at that grade; the percentage is that grade's share of the total graded population. These are recorded graded copies, not the total print run. A smaller population alone does not establish a price premium.3 graded copies of Larvesta Illustration Rare across 1 grades. The selected grade is highlighted.
PSA 9 makes up 100% of graded copies: 3 of 3. It’s the most common grade for this card.
Analysis
Larvesta - Illustration Rare at PSA 9 carries a TCGBerg fair value of $17 as of 2026-11-13. A graded population of 3 copies sits behind the PSA 9 grade. The PSA 9 valuation rests on moderate sales evidence. Over the past 30 days, the PSA 9 TCGBerg fair value has risen 2.3%.
