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Lillie's Determination #169, Ultra Rare, Mega Evolution

  • Card number: #169/132
  • Finish: Holo

A PSA 10 Lillie's Determination #169 Ultra Rare from Mega Evolution has a TCGBerg fair value of $53 as of Nov 14, 2026. TCGBerg has recorded 592 PSA 10 sales of this card, the latest on Nov 12, 2026. PSA has graded 3,994 copies at PSA 10.

TCGBerg fair valuePSA 10
As of Nov 14, 2026
$53down 2.0%30-day change

TCGBerg Algorithm (estimated from recorded sales).

Fair value3 months
Last sale$60Nov 12, 202613.0% above fair
5-sale avg$54Nov 8Nov 12
Population · PSA 10
3,994
Market cap
$212.0K
Volatility
3.2%
YTD
↓ 52.3%
Sales evidence
Very strong

TCGBerg fair value · PSA 10

$53

30D2.0%YTD52.3%
Sales evidenceVery strong
Market cap
$212.0K
fair value x population
Population
3,994
graded copies
Last sale
$60
+13.0% vs fair
5-sale avg
$54
recent sales
Grading

Price history

Open terminalPro

Weekly fair value for PSA 10.

Open in TerminalCandles, every grade, full historyPro

What the evidence says

The last PSA 10 sale, $60 on Nov 12, 2026, sits 13.0% above the $53 fair value. The value weighs 30 PSA 10 sales from the past year, not the latest one alone. The latest sale ran above the recent run: the last 5 PSA 10 sales averaged $54, within 1.5% of the value. Its confidence band runs from $50 to $56. A PSA 10 ($53) is worth 2.4 times a PSA 9 ($22). Over the past 30 days the PSA 10 value has fallen 2.0%.

TCGBerg fair value by grade

Value at each grade and ungraded condition. Log scale. Tap a row to switch the whole page.

  • Raw NM$20Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value
  • Raw LP$20Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value
  • Raw MP$19Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value
  • Raw HP$14Ungraded · market price
  • Raw Damaged$10Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value
hatched = market price, not a TCGBerg fair value

Behind the scenes

What goes into this price, and how much we know.

Recent sales

20 tracked

Each sale against the grade's fair value on the day it sold.

  • $26
    Nov 12, 2026 · via eBay
    PSA9above fair value by 17.1%
  • $30
    Nov 12, 2026 · via eBay
    PSA9above fair value by 35.4%
  • $60
    Nov 12, 2026 · via eBay
    PSA10above fair value by 13.0%
  • $21
    Nov 12, 2026 · via tcgplayer
    Rawabove fair value by 3.6%
  • $21
    Nov 12, 2026 · via tcgplayer
    Rawabove fair value by 4.6%

15 more sales with Pro

Up to 20 recent sales, each with its venue and its gap to fair value.

Includes a sale 25.5% below fair value

All grades matrix

Every grade we track for this printing.

  • CGC Pristine 10$51
    1d -7d -30d -
    Pop
    194
    Mcap
    $9.9K
    Evidence
    Strong
    Last
    $82
  • CGC Gem Mint 10$22
    1d -7d -30d -
    Pop
    404
    Mcap
    $8.8K
    Evidence
    Very strong
    Last
    $25
  • CGC9.5$15
    1d -7d -30d -
    Pop
    42
    Mcap
    $632
    Evidence
    Limited
    Last
    $16
Listings
CGC Pristine 10$51194$9.9K---Strong$822mo ago
CGC Gem Mint 10$22404$8.8K---Very strong$251w ago
CGC9.5$1542$632---Limited$167mo ago
BGS9.5$27-----Sparse$322mo ago
PSA10$533,994$212.0Kup 9.4%down 2.0%down 4.8%Very strong$602d ago
PSA9$223,164$70.1Kup 2.8%up 11.0%down 6.0%Very strong$262d ago
PSA8$20734$14.9Kup 3.1%up 5.4%down 2.5%Strong$252w ago
PSA7$17148$2.5K0.0%down 0.2%down 13.7%Moderate$162mo ago
PSA6$1173$829down 16.1%0.0%0.0%Moderate$106mo ago
Raw$20--up 0.9%up 3.8%-Very strong$212d ago

Graded population report

9,013 graded copies of Lillie's Determination Ultra Rare across 19 grades.

PSA 10
3,994 · 44%
PSA 9
3,164 · 35%
PSA 8
734 · 8.1%
PSA 7
148 · 1.6%
PSA 6
73 · 0.8%
CGC Pristine 10
194 · 2.2%
CGC Gem Mint 10
404 · 4.5%
CGC 9.5
42 · 0.5%
CGC 9
138 · 1.5%
CGC 8.5
43 · 0.5%
CGC 8
25 · 0.3%
CGC 7.5
14 · 0.2%
CGC 7
1 · 0.0%
CGC 5.5
3 · 0.0%
CGC Authentic
12 · 0.1%
PSA 5
17 · 0.2%
PSA 4
5 · 0.1%
PSA 3
1 · 0.0%
PSA 2
1 · 0.0%

PSA 10 makes up 44% of graded copies: 3,994 of 9,013. It’s the most common grade for this card.

Analysis

Lillie's Determination - Ultra Rare at PSA 10 carries a TCGBerg fair value of $53 as of 2026-11-14. We track a TCGBerg fair value across 9 grades from Mega Evolution, from PSA 6 up to PSA 10. A graded population of 3,994 copies sits behind the PSA 10 grade. The PSA 10 valuation rests on very strong sales evidence. Over the past 30 days, the PSA 10 TCGBerg fair value has fallen 2.0%.

PSA 10 - frequently asked

How much is a PSA 10 Lillie's Determination - Ultra Rare from Mega Evolution worth?
$53 as of 2026-11-14, the model-derived TCGBerg fair value for a PSA 10 Lillie's Determination - Ultra Rare from Mega Evolution. It rests on very strong sales evidence. This estimate is not a guaranteed sale price.
What is the graded population of a PSA 10 Lillie's Determination - Ultra Rare from Mega Evolution?
3,994 copies have been graded at PSA 10, the recorded graded population, not the number of copies printed.
How has the PSA 10 Lillie's Determination - Ultra Rare from Mega Evolution price moved recently?
Its TCGBerg fair value has fallen 2.0% over the past 30 days.
What did a PSA 10 Lillie's Determination - Ultra Rare from Mega Evolution last sell for?
The most recent recorded sale was $60 on 2026-11-12. This recorded sale is separate from the model-derived fair value.