Lugia-EX #BW83, Holo, BW Black Star Promos
- BBS

- ·Card number: #BW83
- ·Rarity: Rare
A PSA 7 Lugia-EX #BW83 Holo from BW Black Star Promos has a TCGBerg fair value of $363 as of Nov 15, 2026. TCGBerg has recorded 16 PSA 7 sales of this card, the latest on Nov 6, 2026. PSA has graded 117 copies at PSA 7.
TCGBerg Algorithm (estimated from recorded sales).
- Population · PSA 7
- 117
- Market cap
- $42.5K
- Volatility
- 7.4%
- YTD
- ↑ 784.4%
- Sales evidence
- Strong
TCGBerg fair value · PSA 7
$363
Price history
Weekly fair value over time, plus a confidence band around it: how precisely we can pin the value, which tightens as more sales confirm it. Dots mark individual sales, snapped to their week: red when above fair value (a premium), green when below (a deal), hollow when flagged as an outlier. Switch the active grade with the selector above.Weekly fair value for PSA 7. Shaded area is the confidence band: how precisely we can pin the value; it tightens as more sales confirm it. Dots are individual sales. Confidence band: how precisely we can pin the fair value. It widens when sales scatter and narrows as more sales back the value up. The dots show the actual sale prices.
What the evidence says
The last PSA 7 sale, $229 on Nov 6, 2026, sits 37.1% below the $363 fair value. The value weighs 16 PSA 7 sales from the past year, not the latest one alone. The latest sale ran below the recent run: the last 5 PSA 7 sales averaged $376, within 3.5% of the value. Its confidence band runs from $321 to $405. A PSA 10 ($47,752) is worth 13.0 times a PSA 9 ($3,660). Over the past 30 days the PSA 7 value has risen 18.3%.
TCGBerg fair value by grade
Side-by-side comparison of value across every grade and ungraded condition we track for this printing. The bar chart uses a log scale so raw and gem-mint fit on one axis. Solid bars are the TCGBerg fair value, modelled from recorded sales. Hatched bars are the latest market price instead, shown for ungraded conditions that trade too rarely for us to price one honestly.Value at each grade and ungraded condition. Log scale. Tap a row to switch the whole page.
- Raw NM$74Ungraded · market price
- Raw LP$34Ungraded · market price
- Raw MP$24Ungraded · market price
- Raw HP$9.24Ungraded · market price
- Raw Damaged$8.01Ungraded · market price
Behind the scenes
How the published fair value for this grade was produced: the sales it rests on, how they were put together, and every recorded change afterwards. It describes one saved calculation, not a live recomputation.What goes into this price, and how much we know.
Recent sales
20 trackedEach sale against the grade's fair value on the day it sold.
| Date | Grade | Venue | Price | vs fair value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2026 | PSA1 | Fanatics Collect | $49 | - |
| Nov 6, 2026 | PSA7 | eBay | $229 | below fair value by -40.7% |
| Nov 1, 2026 | PSA7 | eBay | $350 | below fair value by -8.7% |
| Oct 27, 2026 | PSA9 | Fanatics Collect | $4,000 | above fair value by +0.3% |
| Oct 26, 2026 | PSA8 | Fanatics Collect | $408 | below fair value by -64.4% |
- $49Nov 9, 2026 · via Fanatics CollectPSA1-
- $229Nov 6, 2026 · via eBayPSA7↓below fair value by 40.7%
- $350Nov 1, 2026 · via eBayPSA7↓below fair value by 8.7%
- $4,000Oct 27, 2026 · via Fanatics CollectPSA9↑above fair value by 0.3%
- $408Oct 26, 2026 · via Fanatics CollectPSA8↓below fair value by 64.4%
| Oct 25, 2026 | PSA1 | eBay | $130 | - |
| Oct 21, 2026 | PSA7 | Fanatics Collect | $465 | above fair value by +19.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | PSA7 | Fanatics Collect | $336 | below fair value by -13.7% |
- $130PSA1-
- $465PSA7↑above fair value by 19.5%
- $336PSA7↓below fair value by 13.7%
15 more sales with Pro
Up to 20 recent sales, each with its venue and its gap to fair value.
↓Includes a sale 18.0% below fair value
All grades matrix
Every grade we track for this printing. Click any column header to sort; the rightmost column jumps you to listings for that grade.
- PSA10$47,7521d ·0.0%7d ·0.0%30d ↑766.7%
- Pop
- 4
- Mcap
- $191.0K
- Evidence
- Sparse
- Last
- -
- PSA9$3,6601d ·0.0%7d ↓0.4%30d ↑146.3%
- Pop
- 35
- Mcap
- $128.1K
- Evidence
- Moderate
- Last
- $4,000
- PSA8$1,0631d ↓0.1%7d ↓6.9%30d ↓14.2%
- Pop
- 119
- Mcap
- $126.5K
- Evidence
- Strong
- Last
- $408
| Listings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA10 | $47,752 | 4 | $191.0K | 0.0% | 0.0% | ↑up 766.7% | ↑up 917.5% | Sparse | - | |
| PSA9 | $3,660 | 35 | $128.1K | 0.0% | ↓down 0.4% | ↑up 146.3% | ↑up 510.4% | Moderate | $4,0003w ago | |
| PSA8 | $1,063 | 119 | $126.5K | ↓down 0.1% | ↓down 6.9% | ↓down 14.2% | ↑up 715.4% | Strong | $4083w ago | |
| PSA7 | $363 | 117 | $42.5K | ↑up 0.4% | ↓down 4.8% | ↑up 18.3% | ↑up 198.6% | Strong | $2291w ago | |
| PSA6 | $233 | 77 | $17.9K | ↑up 0.3% | ↑up 0.6% | ↑up 18.3% | ↑up 169.5% | Moderate | $3751mo ago | |
| PSA5 | $158 | 34 | - | 0.0% | ↑up 0.1% | ↑up 5.3% | ↑up 83.0% | Sparse | $1451mo ago | |
| Raw | $74 | - | - | 0.0% | ↓down 4.4% | ↑up 11.8% | ↑up 79.0% | - | - |
PSA population report
How Lugia-EX's graded copies are spread across grades. Each bar is the number of copies graded at that grade; the percentage is that grade's share of the total graded population. These are recorded graded copies, not the total print run. A smaller population alone does not establish a price premium.386 graded copies of Lugia-EX Holo across 6 grades. The selected grade is highlighted.
PSA 7 makes up 30% of graded copies: 117 of 386. PSA 8 is the most common grade (31%).
Analysis
Lugia-EX - Holo at PSA 10 carries a TCGBerg fair value of $47,752 as of 2026-11-14. We track a TCGBerg fair value across 6 grades from BW Black Star Promos, from PSA 5 up to PSA 10. A graded population of 4 copies sits behind the PSA 10 grade. The PSA 10 valuation rests on sparse sales evidence. Over the past 30 days, the PSA 10 TCGBerg fair value has risen 766.7%.
