Lugia #XY156, Break Evolution Box, XY Black Star Promos
- BSP

- ·Card number: #XY156
- ·Rarity: Promo
- ·Finish: Holo
A PSA 7 Lugia #XY156 Break Evolution Box from XY Black Star Promos has a TCGBerg fair value of $192 as of Nov 15, 2026. TCGBerg has recorded 17 PSA 7 sales of this card, the latest on Nov 7, 2026. PSA has graded 137 copies at PSA 7.
TCGBerg Algorithm (estimated from recorded sales).
- Population · PSA 7
- 137
- Market cap
- $26.3K
- Volatility
- 11.2%
- YTD
- ↑ 371.5%
- Sales evidence
- Strong
TCGBerg fair value · PSA 7
$192
Price history
Weekly fair value over time, plus a confidence band around it: how precisely we can pin the value, which tightens as more sales confirm it. Dots mark individual sales, snapped to their week: red when above fair value (a premium), green when below (a deal), hollow when flagged as an outlier. Switch the active grade with the selector above.Weekly fair value for PSA 7. Shaded area is the confidence band: how precisely we can pin the value; it tightens as more sales confirm it. Dots are individual sales. Confidence band: how precisely we can pin the fair value. It widens when sales scatter and narrows as more sales back the value up. The dots show the actual sale prices.
What the evidence says
The last PSA 7 sale, $203 on Nov 7, 2026, sits 5.7% above the $192 fair value. The value weighs 17 PSA 7 sales from the past year, not the latest one alone. Its confidence band runs from $170 to $214. A PSA 10 ($90,073) is worth 51.1 times a PSA 9 ($1,762). Over the past 30 days the PSA 7 value has risen 43.6%.
TCGBerg fair value by grade
Side-by-side comparison of value across every grade and ungraded condition we track for this printing. The bar chart uses a log scale so raw and gem-mint fit on one axis. Solid bars are the TCGBerg fair value, modelled from recorded sales. Hatched bars are the latest market price instead, shown for ungraded conditions that trade too rarely for us to price one honestly.Value at each grade and ungraded condition. Log scale. Tap a row to switch the whole page.
Behind the scenes
How the published fair value for this grade was produced: the sales it rests on, how they were put together, and every recorded change afterwards. It describes one saved calculation, not a live recomputation.What goes into this price, and how much we know.
Recent sales
20 trackedEach sale against the grade's fair value on the day it sold.
| Date | Grade | Venue | Price | vs fair value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2026 | PSA9 | Fanatics Collect | $1,230 | below fair value by -30.2% |
| Nov 8, 2026 | PSA8 | eBay | $700 | above fair value by +66.0% |
| Nov 7, 2026 | PSA7 | eBay | $203 | above fair value by +5.3% |
| Oct 28, 2026 | PSA7 | eBay | $313 | above fair value by +71.8% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | PSA8 | eBay | $700 | above fair value by +144.5% |
- $1,230Nov 9, 2026 · via Fanatics CollectPSA9↓below fair value by 30.2%
- $700Nov 8, 2026 · via eBayPSA8↑above fair value by 66.0%
- $203Nov 7, 2026 · via eBayPSA7↑above fair value by 5.3%
- $313Oct 28, 2026 · via eBayPSA7↑above fair value by 71.8%
- $700Oct 24, 2026 · via eBayPSA8↑above fair value by 144.5%
| Oct 20, 2026 | PSA7 | eBay | $290 | above fair value by +76.6% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | PSA9 | eBay | $3,931 | above fair value by +149.3% |
| Oct 12, 2026 | PSA10 | Fanatics Collect | $114,000 | above fair value by +792.9% |
- $290PSA7↑above fair value by 76.6%
- $3,931PSA9↑above fair value by 149.3%
- $114,000PSA10↑above fair value by 792.9%
15 more sales with Pro
Up to 20 recent sales, each with its venue and its gap to fair value.
↓Includes a sale 32.6% below fair value
All grades matrix
Every grade we track for this printing. Click any column header to sort; the rightmost column jumps you to listings for that grade.
- PSA10$90,0731d ·0.0%7d ↑2.9%30d ↑628.8%
- Pop
- 6
- Mcap
- $540.4K
- Evidence
- Sparse
- Last
- $114,000
- PSA9$1,7621d ·0.0%7d ↑11.9%30d ↑154.2%
- Pop
- 55
- Mcap
- $96.9K
- Evidence
- Limited
- Last
- $1,230
- PSA8$4251d ↑0.4%7d ↑52.6%30d ↑86.1%
- Pop
- 190
- Mcap
- $80.8K
- Evidence
- Limited
- Last
- $700
| PSA10 | $90,073 | 6 | $540.4K | 0.0% | ↑up 2.9% | ↑up 628.8% | ↑up 1232.4% | Sparse | $114,0001mo ago |
| PSA9 | $1,762 | 55 | $96.9K | 0.0% | ↑up 11.9% | ↑up 154.2% | ↑up 286.2% | Limited | $1,2306d ago |
| PSA8 | $425 | 190 | $80.8K | ↑up 0.4% | ↑up 52.6% | ↑up 86.1% | ↑up 195.1% | Limited | $7001w ago |
| PSA7 | $192 | 137 | $26.3K | ↑up 0.6% | ↓down 0.2% | ↑up 43.6% | ↑up 148.1% | Strong | $2031w ago |
| PSA6 | $111 | 66 | $7.3K | 0.0% | ↓down 0.1% | ↑up 20.5% | ↑up 59.8% | Limited | $1132mo ago |
| PSA5 | $59 | 30 | - | 0.0% | ↑up 0.3% | - | - | Sparse | $1510mo ago |
PSA population report
How Lugia's graded copies are spread across grades. Each bar is the number of copies graded at that grade; the percentage is that grade's share of the total graded population. These are recorded graded copies, not the total print run. A smaller population alone does not establish a price premium.484 graded copies of Lugia Break Evolution Box across 6 grades. The selected grade is highlighted.
PSA 7 makes up 28% of graded copies: 137 of 484. PSA 8 is the most common grade (39%).
Analysis
Lugia-Holo Break Evolution Box - Break Evolution Box at PSA 10 carries a TCGBerg fair value of $90,073 as of 2026-11-14. We track a TCGBerg fair value across 6 grades from XY Black Star Promos, from PSA 5 up to PSA 10. A graded population of 6 copies sits behind the PSA 10 grade. The PSA 10 valuation rests on sparse sales evidence. Over the past 30 days, the PSA 10 TCGBerg fair value has risen 628.8%.