XY - Ancient Origins · Ultra Rare

M Sceptile EX #85, Ultra Rare, XY - Ancient Origins

Card number: #85/98
Finish: Holo

XY - Ancient Origins Ultra RareAOR85:EN

TKRAOR85:EN-P10

Grading toolPro

TCGBerg fair value· PSA 10

$1,450

Our estimate of this card's fair value, calculated from recorded sales.

Sales evidenceVery strong

30D performance8.6%

30D: ↑ 8.6%
YTD: ↑ 21.6%
Market cap: $475.6K
Volatility: 2.5%

Last sale (Sep 21, 2026)Last sale

$1,230

PSA 10 · Sep 21, 2026

15.2% below TCGBerg fair value

5-sale avg

$1,390

last 5 sales

Population · PSA 10

328

graded copies

TCGBerg fair value · PSA 10

$1,450

30D8.6%YTD21.6%

Sales evidenceVery strong

Market cap

$475.6K

fair value x population

Population

328

graded copies

Last sale

$1,230

-15.2% vs fair

5-sale avg

$1,390

recent sales

GradingPro

Price history

Open terminalPro

Weekly fair value for PSA 10. Shaded area is the confidence band: how precisely we can pin the value; it tightens as more sales confirm it. Dots are individual sales.

TCGBerg fair value · PSA 10Sale below fairSale above fairOutlier

Oct 12, 202552 weekly points · 48 salesSep 28, 2026

Active listings on eBay

PSA 10 · eBay

Affiliate links: TCGBerg may earn a commission on purchases made through these listings.

Behind the scenes

What goes into this price, and how much we know.

Recent sales10 tracked

Most recent transactions. From public auction comps and dealer reporting. Showing 10 of 10; delta vs fair value is the difference between the sale price and the grade's quoted fair value on that date.

Date	Grade	Price	Source	vs TCGBerg FV
Sep 25, 2026	PSA8	$175	ebay	24.4%
Sep 24, 2026	PSA9	$230	ebay	16.5%
Sep 21, 2026	PSA10	$1,230	fanatics_collect	15.2%
Sep 19, 2026	PSA8	$180	ebay	25.4%
Sep 18, 2026	PSA10	$1,525	ebay	4.6%
Sep 16, 2026	Raw	$117	tcgplayer	2.6%
Sep 15, 2026	PSA9	$225	ebay	16.0%
Sep 14, 2026	PSA6	$81	ebay	6.7%
Sep 14, 2026	PSA9	$128	ebay	34.3%
Sep 12, 2026	PSA10	$1,350	ebay	2.9%

$175
Sep 25, 2026 · via ebay
PSA8versus fair value, up 24.4%
$230
Sep 24, 2026 · via ebay
PSA9versus fair value, up 16.5%
$1,230
Sep 21, 2026 · via fanatics_collect
PSA10versus fair value, down 15.2%
$180
Sep 19, 2026 · via ebay
PSA8versus fair value, up 25.4%
$1,525
Sep 18, 2026 · via ebay
PSA10versus fair value, up 4.6%
$117
Sep 16, 2026 · via tcgplayer
Rawversus fair value, down 2.6%
$225
Sep 15, 2026 · via ebay
PSA9versus fair value, up 16.0%
$81
Sep 14, 2026 · via ebay
PSA6versus fair value, down 6.7%
$128
Sep 14, 2026 · via ebay
PSA9versus fair value, down 34.3%
$1,350
Sep 12, 2026 · via ebay
PSA10versus fair value, down 2.9%

All grades matrix

Every grade we track for this printing. Click any column header to sort; the rightmost column jumps you to listings for that grade.

PSA10$1,450
1d 0.0%7d 4.9%30d 8.6%
Pop
328
Mcap
$475.6K
Evidence
Very strong
Last
$1,230
PSA9$198
1d 0.2%7d 2.2%30d 5.2%
Pop
499
Mcap
$98.7K
Evidence
Very strong
Last
$230
PSA8$139
1d 0.9%7d 2.9%30d 2.5%
Pop
251
Mcap
$35.0K
Evidence
Very strong
Last
$175


PSA10	$1,450	328	$475.6K	0.0%	4.9%	8.6%	4.4%	14.1%	Very strong	$1,2301w ago
PSA9	$198	499	$98.7K	0.2%	2.2%	5.2%	3.0%	59.7%	Very strong	$2304d ago
PSA8	$139	251	$35.0K	0.9%	2.9%	2.5%	13.2%	4.4%	Very strong	$1753d ago
PSA7	$106	198	$21.0K	1.8%	0.8%	0.6%	1.7%	23.4%	Strong	$1101mo ago
PSA6	$87	141	$12.3K	0.0%	0.4%	6.7%	10.6%	30.0%	Strong	$812w ago
Raw	$121	-	-	-	0.0%	2.1%	-	-	Very strong	$1172w ago

Price spectrum

Where the current price sits relative to recent sales and active listings, and how each reference point compares to TCGBerg fair value. The bar spans $831 to $2.1K; it shades green below fair value to red above, saturating at ±25%.

TCGBerg fair value

$1.5K

−43%

$831

−25%

$1.1K

$1.5K

+25%

$1.8K

+44%

$2.1K

$831$1.5K$2.1K

LowFairHigh

Lowest ask
$918
36.7% below fairlowest active ask
Last sale
$1.2K
15.2% below fairSep 21, 2026
Median ask
$1.7K
17.6% above fairmedian active ask
Highest ask
$2.0K
38.3% above fairhighest active ask

Last sale was 15.2% below TCGBerg fair value, the best listing right now sits 36.7% below fair.

TCGBerg fair value by grade

Value at each grade and ungraded condition, on a log scale that spans the full range from raw (Damaged) at $32 up to gem-mint at $1.5K. Log scale. Tap a row to switch the whole page.

Raw NM$121Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value
Raw LP$88Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value
Raw MP$60Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value
Raw HP$41Ungraded · market price
Raw Damaged$32Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value

hatched = market price, not a TCGBerg fair value

Population & rarity

1,417 graded copies of M Sceptile EX Ultra Rare across 5 grades. The selected grade is highlighted.

PSA 10

328 · 23%

PSA 9

499 · 35%

PSA 8

251 · 18%

PSA 7

198 · 14%

PSA 6

141 · 10.0%

PSA 10 makes up 23% of graded copies: 328 of 1,417. PSA 9 is the most common grade (35%).

Relative valuation vs. index

How PSA 10 has moved relative to XY - Ancient Origins · Ultra Rare · Composite since May 17, 2026. Both indexed to 100 at the index’s inception. Card underperformed by 22.6 pp.

About XY - Ancient OriginsParent set

This printing in the context of its parent set: total set cap and this printing's share of it.

Browse all sets →

Set total cap

$32.49M

across all printings

This printing's share

2.0%

of total set cap

Implied printing cap

$642.4K

share × set cap

Browse all sets →

M Sceptile EX - Ultra Rare at PSA 10 carries a TCGBerg fair value of $1,450 as of 2026-09-28. We track a TCGBerg fair value across 5 grades from XY - Ancient Origins, from PSA 6 up to PSA 10. A graded population of 328 copies sits behind the PSA 10 grade. The PSA 10 valuation rests on very strong sales evidence. Over the past 30 days, the PSA 10 TCGBerg fair value has risen 8.6%.

Show more analysisAnalysis, commentary & FAQ

PSA 10 commentary

The TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 10 M Sceptile EX - Ultra Rare is $1,450 as of 2026-09-28. 328 copies have been graded at this level. This valuation rests on very strong sales evidence. Over the past 30 days the TCGBerg fair value has risen 8.6%. The most recent recorded sale was $1,230 on 2026-09-21.

PSA 10 - frequently asked

What is the TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 10 M Sceptile EX - Ultra Rare?

$1,450 as of 2026-09-28, our model-derived fair value for a PSA 10 M Sceptile EX - Ultra Rare based on recent graded sales.

How rare is a PSA 10 M Sceptile EX - Ultra Rare?

328 copies have been graded at PSA 10, the graded population behind this atom.

How has the PSA 10 M Sceptile EX - Ultra Rare price moved recently?

Its TCGBerg fair value has risen 8.6% over the past 30 days.

Frequently asked

What is the TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 10 M Sceptile EX - Ultra Rare?: $1,450 as of 2026-09-28, our model-derived fair value for a PSA 10 M Sceptile EX - Ultra Rare based on recent graded sales.
How rare is a PSA 10 M Sceptile EX - Ultra Rare?: 328 copies have been graded at PSA 10, the graded population behind this atom.
How has the PSA 10 M Sceptile EX - Ultra Rare price moved recently?: Its TCGBerg fair value has risen 8.6% over the past 30 days.

PSA 9 commentary

The TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 9 M Sceptile EX - Ultra Rare is $198 as of 2026-09-28. 499 copies have been graded at this level. This valuation rests on very strong sales evidence. Over the past 30 days the TCGBerg fair value has risen 5.2%. The most recent recorded sale was $230 on 2026-09-24.

PSA 9 - frequently asked

What is the TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 9 M Sceptile EX - Ultra Rare?

$198 as of 2026-09-28, our model-derived fair value for a PSA 9 M Sceptile EX - Ultra Rare based on recent graded sales.

How rare is a PSA 9 M Sceptile EX - Ultra Rare?

499 copies have been graded at PSA 9, the graded population behind this atom.

How has the PSA 9 M Sceptile EX - Ultra Rare price moved recently?

Its TCGBerg fair value has risen 5.2% over the past 30 days.

Frequently asked

What is the TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 9 M Sceptile EX - Ultra Rare?: $198 as of 2026-09-28, our model-derived fair value for a PSA 9 M Sceptile EX - Ultra Rare based on recent graded sales.
How rare is a PSA 9 M Sceptile EX - Ultra Rare?: 499 copies have been graded at PSA 9, the graded population behind this atom.
How has the PSA 9 M Sceptile EX - Ultra Rare price moved recently?: Its TCGBerg fair value has risen 5.2% over the past 30 days.

PSA 8 commentary

The TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 8 M Sceptile EX - Ultra Rare is $139 as of 2026-09-28. 251 copies have been graded at this level. This valuation rests on very strong sales evidence. Over the past 30 days the TCGBerg fair value has risen 2.5%. The most recent recorded sale was $175 on 2026-09-25.

PSA 8 - frequently asked

What is the TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 8 M Sceptile EX - Ultra Rare?

$139 as of 2026-09-28, our model-derived fair value for a PSA 8 M Sceptile EX - Ultra Rare based on recent graded sales.

How rare is a PSA 8 M Sceptile EX - Ultra Rare?

251 copies have been graded at PSA 8, the graded population behind this atom.

How has the PSA 8 M Sceptile EX - Ultra Rare price moved recently?

Its TCGBerg fair value has risen 2.5% over the past 30 days.

Frequently asked

What is the TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 8 M Sceptile EX - Ultra Rare?: $139 as of 2026-09-28, our model-derived fair value for a PSA 8 M Sceptile EX - Ultra Rare based on recent graded sales.
How rare is a PSA 8 M Sceptile EX - Ultra Rare?: 251 copies have been graded at PSA 8, the graded population behind this atom.
How has the PSA 8 M Sceptile EX - Ultra Rare price moved recently?: Its TCGBerg fair value has risen 2.5% over the past 30 days.

PSA 7 commentary

The TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 7 M Sceptile EX - Ultra Rare is $106 as of 2026-09-28. 198 copies have been graded at this level. This valuation rests on strong sales evidence. Over the past 30 days the TCGBerg fair value has risen 0.6%. The most recent recorded sale was $110 on 2026-08-27.

PSA 7 - frequently asked

What is the TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 7 M Sceptile EX - Ultra Rare?

$106 as of 2026-09-28, our model-derived fair value for a PSA 7 M Sceptile EX - Ultra Rare based on recent graded sales.

How rare is a PSA 7 M Sceptile EX - Ultra Rare?

198 copies have been graded at PSA 7, the graded population behind this atom.

How has the PSA 7 M Sceptile EX - Ultra Rare price moved recently?

Its TCGBerg fair value has risen 0.6% over the past 30 days.

Frequently asked

What is the TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 7 M Sceptile EX - Ultra Rare?: $106 as of 2026-09-28, our model-derived fair value for a PSA 7 M Sceptile EX - Ultra Rare based on recent graded sales.
How rare is a PSA 7 M Sceptile EX - Ultra Rare?: 198 copies have been graded at PSA 7, the graded population behind this atom.
How has the PSA 7 M Sceptile EX - Ultra Rare price moved recently?: Its TCGBerg fair value has risen 0.6% over the past 30 days.

PSA 6 commentary

The TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 6 M Sceptile EX - Ultra Rare is $87 as of 2026-09-28. 141 copies have been graded at this level. This valuation rests on strong sales evidence. Over the past 30 days the TCGBerg fair value has fallen 6.7%. The most recent recorded sale was $81 on 2026-09-14.

PSA 6 - frequently asked

What is the TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 6 M Sceptile EX - Ultra Rare?

$87 as of 2026-09-28, our model-derived fair value for a PSA 6 M Sceptile EX - Ultra Rare based on recent graded sales.

How rare is a PSA 6 M Sceptile EX - Ultra Rare?

141 copies have been graded at PSA 6, the graded population behind this atom.

How has the PSA 6 M Sceptile EX - Ultra Rare price moved recently?

Its TCGBerg fair value has fallen 6.7% over the past 30 days.

Frequently asked

What is the TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 6 M Sceptile EX - Ultra Rare?: $87 as of 2026-09-28, our model-derived fair value for a PSA 6 M Sceptile EX - Ultra Rare based on recent graded sales.
How rare is a PSA 6 M Sceptile EX - Ultra Rare?: 141 copies have been graded at PSA 6, the graded population behind this atom.
How has the PSA 6 M Sceptile EX - Ultra Rare price moved recently?: Its TCGBerg fair value has fallen 6.7% over the past 30 days.

Every printing of M Sceptile EX and the indices that include this card in their constituent basket.

Indices containing this card

Parent set

XY - Ancient Origins

Set total cap

$31.92M

M Sceptile EX #85, Ultra Rare, XY - Ancient Origins

Active listings on eBayLive asking prices from eBay sellers. The delta shows how each ask compares to TCGBerg's quoted fair value for that grade. Verified deals are marked from the published analytics feed.

Behind the scenesHow the published fair value for this grade was produced: the estimates that fed it, their share of the starting mix, and every recorded change afterwards. It describes one saved calculation, not a live recomputation.

Recent sales10 tracked

All grades matrix

Price spectrum

Population & rarityHow M Sceptile EX's graded copies are spread across grades. Each bar is the number of copies graded at that grade; the percentage is that grade's share of the total graded population. Fewer copies at a grade = scarcer = a scarcity premium.

Relative valuation vs. indexBoth series are indexed to 100 at May 17, 2026, the index’s inception date, not the start of the selected range. A divergence means the card has outperformed or underperformed the index since then, by exactly the percentage-point gap.

About XY - Ancient OriginsParent set

Analysis

PSA 10 commentary

PSA 10 - frequently asked

PSA 9 commentary

PSA 9 - frequently asked

PSA 8 commentary

PSA 8 - frequently asked

PSA 7 commentary

PSA 7 - frequently asked

PSA 6 commentary

PSA 6 - frequently asked

Related

Indices containing this card

Parent set

Active listings on eBayLive asking prices from eBay sellers. The delta shows how each ask compares to TCGBerg's quoted fair value for that grade. Verified deals are marked from the published analytics feed.

Behind the scenesHow the published fair value for this grade was produced: the estimates that fed it, their share of the starting mix, and every recorded change afterwards. It describes one saved calculation, not a live recomputation.

Recent sales10 tracked

All grades matrix

Price spectrum

Population & rarityHow M Sceptile EX's graded copies are spread across grades. Each bar is the number of copies graded at that grade; the percentage is that grade's share of the total graded population. Fewer copies at a grade = scarcer = a scarcity premium.

Relative valuation vs. indexBoth series are indexed to 100 at May 17, 2026, the index’s inception date, not the start of the selected range. A divergence means the card has outperformed or underperformed the index since then, by exactly the percentage-point gap.

About XY - Ancient OriginsParent set

Analysis

PSA 10 commentary

PSA 10 - frequently asked

PSA 9 commentary

PSA 9 - frequently asked

PSA 8 commentary

PSA 8 - frequently asked

PSA 7 commentary

PSA 7 - frequently asked

PSA 6 commentary

PSA 6 - frequently asked

Related

Indices containing this card

Parent set

Active listings on eBay

Behind the scenes

Population & rarity

Relative valuation vs. index

Active listings on eBay

Behind the scenes

Population & rarity

Relative valuation vs. index