Mega Charizard X ex #125, Special Illustration Rare, Phantasmal Flames
- Card number: #125/94
- ·Finish: Holo
A PSA 10 Mega Charizard X ex #125 Special Illustration Rare from Phantasmal Flames has a TCGBerg fair value of $1,222 as of Nov 14, 2026. TCGBerg has recorded 5,612 PSA 10 sales of this card, the latest on Nov 13, 2026. PSA has graded 35,872 copies at PSA 10.
TCGBerg Algorithm (estimated from recorded sales).
- Population · PSA 10
- 35,872
- Market cap
- $43.85M
- Volatility
- 5.0%
- YTD
- ↓ 30.1%
- Sales evidence
- Very strong
TCGBerg fair value · PSA 10
$1,222
Price history
Weekly fair value over time, plus a confidence band around it: how precisely we can pin the value, which tightens as more sales confirm it. Dots mark individual sales, snapped to their week: red when above fair value (a premium), green when below (a deal), hollow when flagged as an outlier. Switch the active grade with the selector above.Weekly fair value for PSA 10. Shaded area is the confidence band: how precisely we can pin the value; it tightens as more sales confirm it. Dots are individual sales. Confidence band: how precisely we can pin the fair value. It widens when sales scatter and narrows as more sales back the value up. The dots show the actual sale prices.
What the evidence says
The last PSA 10 sale, $1,225 on Nov 13, 2026, is in line with the $1,222 fair value (0.2% above). The value weighs 30 PSA 10 sales from the past year, not the latest one alone. Its confidence band runs from $1,207 to $1,238. A PSA 10 ($1,222) is worth 2.1 times a PSA 9 ($592). Over the past 30 days the PSA 10 value has fallen 14.7%.
TCGBerg fair value by grade
Side-by-side comparison of value across every grade and ungraded condition we track for this printing. The bar chart uses a log scale so raw and gem-mint fit on one axis. Solid bars are the TCGBerg fair value, modelled from recorded sales. Hatched bars are the latest market price instead, shown for ungraded conditions that trade too rarely for us to price one honestly.Value at each grade and ungraded condition. Log scale. Tap a row to switch the whole page.
- Raw MP$630Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value
- Raw NM$555Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value
- Raw LP$549Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value
- Raw HP$442Ungraded · market price
- Raw Damaged$430Ungraded · market price
Behind the scenes
How the published fair value for this grade was produced: the sales it rests on, how they were put together, and every recorded change afterwards. It describes one saved calculation, not a live recomputation.What goes into this price, and how much we know.
Recent sales
20 trackedEach sale against the grade's fair value on the day it sold.
| Date | Grade | Venue | Price | vs fair value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2026 | PSA10 | Fanatics Collect | $1,225 | above fair value by +0.2% |
| Nov 13, 2026 | PSA10 | Fanatics Collect | $1,450 | above fair value by +18.6% |
| Nov 12, 2026 | CGC Pristine 10 | eBay | $1,475 | below fair value by -9.2% |
| Nov 12, 2026 | PSA8 | eBay | $454 | below fair value by -15.9% |
| Nov 12, 2026 | PSA9 | eBay | $560 | below fair value by -5.5% |
- $1,225Nov 13, 2026 · via Fanatics CollectPSA10↑above fair value by 0.2%
- $1,450Nov 13, 2026 · via Fanatics CollectPSA10↑above fair value by 18.6%
- $1,475Nov 12, 2026 · via eBayCGC Pristine 10↓below fair value by 9.2%
- $454Nov 12, 2026 · via eBayPSA8↓below fair value by 15.9%
- $560Nov 12, 2026 · via eBayPSA9↓below fair value by 5.5%
| Nov 12, 2026 | PSA9 | eBay | $470 | below fair value by -20.7% |
| Nov 12, 2026 | PSA9 | eBay | $530 | below fair value by -10.5% |
| Nov 12, 2026 | PSA9 | eBay | $590 | below fair value by -0.4% |
- $470PSA9↓below fair value by 20.7%
- $530PSA9↓below fair value by 10.5%
- $590PSA9↓below fair value by 0.4%
15 more sales with Pro
Up to 20 recent sales, each with its venue and its gap to fair value.
↓Includes a sale 22.5% below fair value
All grades matrix
Every grade we track for this printing. Click any column header to sort; the rightmost column jumps you to listings for that grade.
- CGC Pristine 10$1,6251d -7d -30d -
- Pop
- 393
- Mcap
- $638.6K
- Evidence
- Very strong
- Last
- $1,475
- CGC Gem Mint 10$7581d -7d -30d -
- Pop
- 1,244
- Mcap
- $943.0K
- Evidence
- Limited
- Last
- $770
- CGC9.5$8011d -7d -30d -
- Pop
- 189
- Mcap
- $151.3K
- Evidence
- Very strong
- Last
- $552
| Listings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CGC Pristine 10 | $1,625 | 393 | $638.6K | - | - | - | - | Very strong | $1,4752d ago | |
| CGC Gem Mint 10 | $758 | 1,244 | $943.0K | - | - | - | - | Limited | $7705d ago | |
| CGC9.5 | $801 | 189 | $151.3K | - | - | - | - | Very strong | $5525d ago | |
| BGS 10 Black Label | $33,741 | 44 | $1.48M | - | - | - | - | Strong | $25,8003mo ago | |
| BGS 10 Pristine | $2,297 | 939 | $2.16M | - | - | - | - | Very strong | $1,9502d ago | |
| BGS9.5 | $759 | 2,921 | $2.22M | - | - | - | - | Very strong | $5991w ago | |
| PSA10 | $1,222 | 35,872 | $43.85M | ↓down 2.4% | ↓down 3.8% | ↓down 14.7% | ↓down 46.0% | Very strong | $1,225yesterday | |
| PSA9 | $592 | 20,510 | $12.15M | ↓down 0.6% | ↑up 4.8% | ↓down 11.1% | ↓down 20.7% | Very strong | $5602d ago | |
| PSA8 | $539 | 2,738 | $1.48M | ↓down 0.6% | ↓down 3.3% | ↓down 13.4% | ↓down 24.5% | Very strong | $4542d ago | |
| PSA7 | $509 | 446 | $226.8K | ↓down 0.5% | ↓down 7.7% | ↓down 11.5% | ↓down 26.3% | Very strong | $5301w ago | |
| PSA6 | $454 | 241 | $109.3K | ↓down 2.0% | ↓down 16.4% | ↓down 18.5% | ↓down 23.7% | Limited | $5753mo ago | |
| Raw | $555 | - | - | - | ↓down 1.7% | ↓down 14.3% | - | Very strong | $5402d ago |
Graded population report
How Mega Charizard X ex's graded copies are spread across grades. Each bar is the number of copies graded at that grade; the percentage is that grade's share of the total graded population. These are recorded graded copies, not the total print run. A smaller population alone does not establish a price premium.68,402 graded copies of Mega Charizard X ex Special Illustration Rare across 38 grades. The selected grade is highlighted.
PSA 10 makes up 52% of graded copies: 35,872 of 68,402. It’s the most common grade for this card.
Analysis
Mega Charizard X ex - Special Illustration Rare at BGS 10 Black Label carries a TCGBerg fair value of $33,741 as of 2026-11-14. We track a TCGBerg fair value across 11 grades from Phantasmal Flames, from PSA 6 up to BGS 10 Black Label. A graded population of 44 copies sits behind the BGS 10 Black Label grade. The BGS 10 Black Label valuation rests on strong sales evidence.
