Mega Heracross ex #4, Double Rare, Phantasmal Flames
- Card number: #4/94
- ·Finish: Holo
A PSA 10 Mega Heracross ex #4 Double Rare from Phantasmal Flames has a TCGBerg fair value of $30 as of Nov 15, 2026. TCGBerg has recorded 49 PSA 10 sales of this card, the latest on Nov 8, 2026. PSA has graded 313 copies at PSA 10.
TCGBerg Algorithm (estimated from recorded sales).
- Population · PSA 10
- 313
- Market cap
- $9.3K
- Volatility
- 6.8%
- YTD
- -
- Sales evidence
- Very strong
TCGBerg fair value · PSA 10
$30
Price history
Weekly fair value over time, plus a confidence band around it: how precisely we can pin the value, which tightens as more sales confirm it. Dots mark individual sales, snapped to their week: red when above fair value (a premium), green when below (a deal), hollow when flagged as an outlier. Switch the active grade with the selector above.Weekly fair value for PSA 10. Shaded area is the confidence band: how precisely we can pin the value; it tightens as more sales confirm it. Dots are individual sales. Confidence band: how precisely we can pin the fair value. It widens when sales scatter and narrows as more sales back the value up. The dots show the actual sale prices.
What the evidence says
The last PSA 10 sale, $22 on Nov 8, 2026, sits 25.9% below the $30 fair value. The value weighs 29 PSA 10 sales from the past year, not the latest one alone. The latest sale ran below the recent run: the last 5 PSA 10 sales averaged $26, within 11.4% of the value. Its confidence band runs from $28 to $31. A PSA 10 ($30) is worth 1.7 times a PSA 9 ($17). Over the past 30 days the PSA 10 value has fallen 16.2%.
TCGBerg fair value by grade
Side-by-side comparison of value across every grade and ungraded condition we track for this printing. The bar chart uses a log scale so raw and gem-mint fit on one axis. Solid bars are the TCGBerg fair value, modelled from recorded sales. Hatched bars are the latest market price instead, shown for ungraded conditions that trade too rarely for us to price one honestly.Value at each grade and ungraded condition. Log scale. Tap a row to switch the whole page.
- Raw LP$0.61Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value
- Raw NM$0.53Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value
- Raw MP$0.51Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value
- Raw HP$0.49Ungraded · market price
- Raw Damaged$0.47Ungraded · market price
Behind the scenes
How the published fair value for this grade was produced: the sales it rests on, how they were put together, and every recorded change afterwards. It describes one saved calculation, not a live recomputation.What goes into this price, and how much we know.
Recent sales
20 trackedEach sale against the grade's fair value on the day it sold.
| Date | Grade | Venue | Price | vs fair value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | PSA10 | eBay | $22 | below fair value by -25.5% |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $0.60 | above fair value by +13.2% |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $0.45 | below fair value by -15.1% |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $0.20 | below fair value by -62.3% |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $0.54 | above fair value by +1.9% |
- $22Nov 8, 2026 · via eBayPSA10↓below fair value by 25.5%
- $0.60Nov 7, 2026 · via tcgplayerRaw↑above fair value by 13.2%
- $0.45Nov 7, 2026 · via tcgplayerRaw↓below fair value by 15.1%
- $0.20Nov 7, 2026 · via tcgplayerRaw↓below fair value by 62.3%
- $0.54Nov 7, 2026 · via tcgplayerRaw↑above fair value by 1.9%
| Nov 5, 2026 | CGC Gem Mint 10 | Fanatics Collect | $11 | below fair value by -11.9% |
| Nov 5, 2026 | CGC Gem Mint 10 | Fanatics Collect | $11 | below fair value by -11.9% |
| Nov 3, 2026 | CGC Gem Mint 10 | Fanatics Collect | $13 | above fair value by +4.2% |
- $11CGC Gem Mint 10↓below fair value by 11.9%
- $11CGC Gem Mint 10↓below fair value by 11.9%
- $13CGC Gem Mint 10↑above fair value by 4.2%
15 more sales with Pro
Up to 20 recent sales, each with its venue and its gap to fair value.
↓Includes a sale 64.3% below fair value
All grades matrix
Every grade we track for this printing. Click any column header to sort; the rightmost column jumps you to listings for that grade.
- CGC6-1d -7d -30d -
- Pop
- 1
- Mcap
- -
- Evidence
- Sparse
- Last
- -
- CGC7-1d -7d -30d -
- Pop
- 2
- Mcap
- -
- Evidence
- Sparse
- Last
- -
- CGC Pristine 10$191d -7d -30d -
- Pop
- 116
- Mcap
- $2.2K
- Evidence
- Strong
- Last
- $14
| Listings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CGC6 | - | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | Sparse | - | |
| CGC7 | - | 2 | - | - | - | - | - | Sparse | - | |
| CGC Pristine 10 | $19 | 116 | $2.2K | - | - | - | - | Strong | $142mo ago | |
| CGC Gem Mint 10 | $12 | 273 | $3.4K | - | - | - | - | Very strong | $111w ago | |
| CGC9.5 | $8.14 | 40 | $326 | - | - | - | - | Moderate | $8.408mo ago | |
| BGS9.5 | $18 | 7 | $127 | - | - | - | - | Sparse | $182mo ago | |
| PSA10 | $30 | 313 | $9.3K | ↑up 0.2% | ↓down 6.6% | ↓down 16.2% | ↓down 16.5% | Very strong | $221w ago | |
| PSA9 | $17 | 346 | $6.0K | ↑up 0.3% | ↑up 0.8% | ↑up 28.0% | ↑up 40.5% | Strong | $202w ago | |
| PSA8 | $9.12 | 80 | $730 | ↓down 0.5% | ↓down 0.5% | ↓down 30.2% | ↓down 22.4% | Strong | $5.502w ago | |
| PSA7 | $8.57 | 17 | $146 | ↓down 0.5% | ↓down 0.9% | ↓down 22.9% | ↓down 9.3% | Sparse | - | |
| PSA6 | $7.65 | 4 | $31 | ↓down 1.8% | ↓down 0.1% | ↓down 29.0% | ↓down 14.8% | Sparse | - | |
| Raw | $0.53 | - | - | - | ↓down 3.6% | ↑up 1.9% | - | Very strong | $0.601w ago |
Graded population report
How Mega Heracross ex's graded copies are spread across grades. Each bar is the number of copies graded at that grade; the percentage is that grade's share of the total graded population. These are recorded graded copies, not the total print run. A smaller population alone does not establish a price premium.1,446 graded copies of Mega Heracross ex Double Rare across 23 grades. The selected grade is highlighted.
PSA 10 makes up 22% of graded copies: 313 of 1,446. PSA 9 is the most common grade (24%).
Analysis
Mega Heracross ex - Double Rare at PSA 10 carries a TCGBerg fair value of $30 as of 2026-11-14. We track a TCGBerg fair value across 9 grades from Phantasmal Flames, from PSA 6 up to PSA 10. A graded population of 313 copies sits behind the PSA 10 grade. The PSA 10 valuation rests on very strong sales evidence. Over the past 30 days, the PSA 10 TCGBerg fair value has fallen 16.2%.