Mega Evolution · Ultra Rare

Mega Lucario ex #160, Ultra Rare, Mega Evolution

Card number: #160/132
Finish: Holo

Mega Evolution Ultra RareMEV160:EN

TKRMEV160:EN-P10

Grading toolPro

TCGBerg fair value· PSA 10

$75

Our estimate of this card's fair value, calculated from recorded sales.

Sales evidenceVery strong

30D performance7.0%

30D: ↓ 7.0%
YTD: ↓ 52.7%
Market cap: $488.3K
Volatility: 2.0%

Last sale (Sep 24, 2026)Last sale

$70

PSA 10 · Sep 24, 2026

6.4% below TCGBerg fair value

5-sale avg

$76

last 5 sales

Population · PSA 10

6,532

graded copies

TCGBerg fair value · PSA 10

$75

30D7.0%YTD52.7%

Sales evidenceVery strong

Market cap

$488.3K

fair value x population

Population

6,532

graded copies

Last sale

$70

-6.4% vs fair

5-sale avg

$76

recent sales

GradingPro

Price history

Open terminalPro

Weekly fair value for PSA 10. Shaded area is the confidence band: how precisely we can pin the value; it tightens as more sales confirm it. Dots are individual sales.

TCGBerg fair value · PSA 10Sale below fairSale above fairOutlier

Oct 12, 202552 weekly points · 880 salesSep 28, 2026

Active listings on eBay

PSA 10 · eBay

Affiliate links: TCGBerg may earn a commission on purchases made through these listings.

No active PSA 10 listings right now. Try “All grades”.

No active PSA 10 listings right now. Try another grade above.

Behind the scenes

What goes into this price, and how much we know.

Recent sales10 tracked

Most recent transactions. From public auction comps and dealer reporting. Showing 10 of 10; delta vs fair value is the difference between the sale price and the grade's quoted fair value on that date.

Date	Grade	Price	Source	vs TCGBerg FV
Sep 27, 2026	Raw	$14	tcgplayer	20.6%
Sep 27, 2026	Raw	$14	tcgplayer	20.6%
Sep 27, 2026	Raw	$11	tcgplayer	0.7%
Sep 27, 2026	Raw	$11	tcgplayer	2.3%
Sep 27, 2026	Raw	$11	tcgplayer	0.4%
Sep 27, 2026	Raw	$11	tcgplayer	1.9%
Sep 27, 2026	Raw	$11	tcgplayer	1.2%
Sep 27, 2026	Raw	$11	tcgplayer	0.5%
Sep 26, 2026	Raw	$12	tcgplayer	3.5%
Sep 26, 2026	Raw	$11	tcgplayer	1.0%

$14
Sep 27, 2026 · via tcgplayer
Rawversus fair value, up 20.6%
$14
Sep 27, 2026 · via tcgplayer
Rawversus fair value, up 20.6%
$11
Sep 27, 2026 · via tcgplayer
Rawversus fair value, down 0.7%
$11
Sep 27, 2026 · via tcgplayer
Rawversus fair value, up 2.3%
$11
Sep 27, 2026 · via tcgplayer
Rawversus fair value, down 0.4%
$11
Sep 27, 2026 · via tcgplayer
Rawversus fair value, down 1.9%
$11
Sep 27, 2026 · via tcgplayer
Rawversus fair value, up 1.2%
$11
Sep 27, 2026 · via tcgplayer
Rawversus fair value, down 0.5%
$12
Sep 26, 2026 · via tcgplayer
Rawversus fair value, up 3.5%
$11
Sep 26, 2026 · via tcgplayer
Rawversus fair value, down 1.0%

All grades matrix

Every grade we track for this printing. Click any column header to sort; the rightmost column jumps you to listings for that grade.

CGC6-
1d -7d -30d -
Pop
-
Mcap
-
Evidence
Sparse
Last
-
PSA10$75
1d 0.0%7d 0.5%30d 7.0%
Pop
6,532
Mcap
$488.3K
Evidence
Very strong
Last
$70
PSA9$25
1d 0.4%7d 2.0%30d 2.8%
Pop
4,471
Mcap
$112.1K
Evidence
Very strong
Last
$21


CGC6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	Sparse	-
PSA10	$75	6,532	$488.3K	0.0%	0.5%	7.0%	23.1%	-	Very strong	$704d ago
PSA9	$25	4,471	$112.1K	0.4%	2.0%	2.8%	12.7%	-	Very strong	$215d ago
PSA8	$18	655	$12.0K	0.4%	1.7%	5.0%	6.6%	-	Strong	$131mo ago
PSA7	$17	88	$1.5K	1.2%	1.9%	4.2%	3.2%	-	Limited	$424mo ago
PSA6	$17	51	$849	1.1%	1.3%	7.6%	2.1%	-	Sparse	-
Raw	$11	-	-	-	3.1%	10.4%	-	-	Very strong	$14yesterday

Price spectrum

Where the current price sits relative to recent sales and active listings, and how each reference point compares to TCGBerg fair value. The bar spans $53 to $104; it shades green below fair value to red above, saturating at ±25%.

TCGBerg fair value

$75

−25%

$56

$75

+25%

$93

+38%

$104

$53$75$104

LowFairHigh

Last sale
$70
6.4% below fairSep 24, 2026
Lowest / median / highest ask
$100
33.8% above fairlowest active ask

Last sale was 6.4% below TCGBerg fair value, the best listing right now sits 33.8% above fair.

TCGBerg fair value by grade

Value at each grade and ungraded condition, on a log scale that spans the full range from raw (Heavily Played) at $11 up to gem-mint at $75. Log scale. Tap a row to switch the whole page.

Raw MP$13Ungraded · market price
Raw Damaged$12Ungraded · market price
Raw LP$11Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value
Raw NM$11Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value
Raw HP$11Ungraded · market price

hatched = market price, not a TCGBerg fair value

Population & rarity

11,830 graded copies of Mega Lucario ex Ultra Rare across 8 grades. The selected grade is highlighted.

PSA 10

6,532 · 55%

PSA 9

4,471 · 38%

PSA 8

655 · 5.5%

PSA 7

88 · 0.7%

PSA 6

51 · 0.4%

PSA 5

21 · 0.2%

PSA 4

11 · 0.1%

PSA 3

1 · 0.0%

PSA 10 makes up 55% of graded copies: 6,532 of 11,830. It’s the most common grade for this card.

Relative valuation vs. index

How PSA 10 has moved relative to Mega Evolution · Holo · Composite since May 17, 2026. Both indexed to 100 at the index’s inception. Card outperformed by 1.5 pp.

About Mega EvolutionParent set

This printing in the context of its parent set: total set cap and this printing's share of it.

Browse all sets →

Set total cap

$41.92M

across all printings

This printing's share

1.5%

of total set cap

Implied printing cap

$614.4K

share × set cap

Browse all sets →

Mega Lucario ex - Ultra Rare at PSA 10 carries a TCGBerg fair value of $75 as of 2026-09-28. We track a TCGBerg fair value across 5 grades from Mega Evolution, from PSA 6 up to PSA 10. A graded population of 6,532 copies sits behind the PSA 10 grade. The PSA 10 valuation rests on very strong sales evidence. Over the past 30 days, the PSA 6 TCGBerg fair value has risen 7.6%.

Show more analysisAnalysis, commentary & FAQ

PSA 10 commentary

The TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 10 Mega Lucario ex - Ultra Rare is $75 as of 2026-09-28. 6,532 copies have been graded at this level. This valuation rests on very strong sales evidence. Over the past 30 days the TCGBerg fair value has fallen 7.0%. The most recent recorded sale was $70 on 2026-09-24.

PSA 10 - frequently asked

What is the TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 10 Mega Lucario ex - Ultra Rare?

$75 as of 2026-09-28, our model-derived fair value for a PSA 10 Mega Lucario ex - Ultra Rare based on recent graded sales.

How rare is a PSA 10 Mega Lucario ex - Ultra Rare?

6,532 copies have been graded at PSA 10, the graded population behind this atom.

How has the PSA 10 Mega Lucario ex - Ultra Rare price moved recently?

Its TCGBerg fair value has fallen 7.0% over the past 30 days.

Frequently asked

What is the TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 10 Mega Lucario ex - Ultra Rare?: $75 as of 2026-09-28, our model-derived fair value for a PSA 10 Mega Lucario ex - Ultra Rare based on recent graded sales.
How rare is a PSA 10 Mega Lucario ex - Ultra Rare?: 6,532 copies have been graded at PSA 10, the graded population behind this atom.
How has the PSA 10 Mega Lucario ex - Ultra Rare price moved recently?: Its TCGBerg fair value has fallen 7.0% over the past 30 days.

PSA 9 commentary

The TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 9 Mega Lucario ex - Ultra Rare is $25 as of 2026-09-28. 4,471 copies have been graded at this level. This valuation rests on very strong sales evidence. Over the past 30 days the TCGBerg fair value has fallen 2.8%. The most recent recorded sale was $20 on 2026-09-23.

PSA 9 - frequently asked

What is the TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 9 Mega Lucario ex - Ultra Rare?

$25 as of 2026-09-28, our model-derived fair value for a PSA 9 Mega Lucario ex - Ultra Rare based on recent graded sales.

How rare is a PSA 9 Mega Lucario ex - Ultra Rare?

4,471 copies have been graded at PSA 9, the graded population behind this atom.

How has the PSA 9 Mega Lucario ex - Ultra Rare price moved recently?

Its TCGBerg fair value has fallen 2.8% over the past 30 days.

Frequently asked

What is the TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 9 Mega Lucario ex - Ultra Rare?: $25 as of 2026-09-28, our model-derived fair value for a PSA 9 Mega Lucario ex - Ultra Rare based on recent graded sales.
How rare is a PSA 9 Mega Lucario ex - Ultra Rare?: 4,471 copies have been graded at PSA 9, the graded population behind this atom.
How has the PSA 9 Mega Lucario ex - Ultra Rare price moved recently?: Its TCGBerg fair value has fallen 2.8% over the past 30 days.

PSA 8 commentary

The TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 8 Mega Lucario ex - Ultra Rare is $18 as of 2026-09-28. 655 copies have been graded at this level. This valuation rests on strong sales evidence. Over the past 30 days the TCGBerg fair value has risen 5.0%. The most recent recorded sale was $13 on 2026-08-23.

PSA 8 - frequently asked

What is the TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 8 Mega Lucario ex - Ultra Rare?

$18 as of 2026-09-28, our model-derived fair value for a PSA 8 Mega Lucario ex - Ultra Rare based on recent graded sales.

How rare is a PSA 8 Mega Lucario ex - Ultra Rare?

655 copies have been graded at PSA 8, the graded population behind this atom.

How has the PSA 8 Mega Lucario ex - Ultra Rare price moved recently?

Its TCGBerg fair value has risen 5.0% over the past 30 days.

Frequently asked

What is the TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 8 Mega Lucario ex - Ultra Rare?: $18 as of 2026-09-28, our model-derived fair value for a PSA 8 Mega Lucario ex - Ultra Rare based on recent graded sales.
How rare is a PSA 8 Mega Lucario ex - Ultra Rare?: 655 copies have been graded at PSA 8, the graded population behind this atom.
How has the PSA 8 Mega Lucario ex - Ultra Rare price moved recently?: Its TCGBerg fair value has risen 5.0% over the past 30 days.

PSA 7 commentary

The TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 7 Mega Lucario ex - Ultra Rare is $17 as of 2026-09-28. 88 copies have been graded at this level. This valuation rests on limited sales evidence. Over the past 30 days the TCGBerg fair value has risen 4.2%.

PSA 7 - frequently asked

What is the TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 7 Mega Lucario ex - Ultra Rare?

$17 as of 2026-09-28, our model-derived fair value for a PSA 7 Mega Lucario ex - Ultra Rare based on recent graded sales.

How rare is a PSA 7 Mega Lucario ex - Ultra Rare?

88 copies have been graded at PSA 7, the graded population behind this atom.

How has the PSA 7 Mega Lucario ex - Ultra Rare price moved recently?

Its TCGBerg fair value has risen 4.2% over the past 30 days.

Frequently asked

What is the TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 7 Mega Lucario ex - Ultra Rare?: $17 as of 2026-09-28, our model-derived fair value for a PSA 7 Mega Lucario ex - Ultra Rare based on recent graded sales.
How rare is a PSA 7 Mega Lucario ex - Ultra Rare?: 88 copies have been graded at PSA 7, the graded population behind this atom.
How has the PSA 7 Mega Lucario ex - Ultra Rare price moved recently?: Its TCGBerg fair value has risen 4.2% over the past 30 days.

PSA 6 commentary

The TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 6 Mega Lucario ex - Ultra Rare is $17 as of 2026-09-28. 51 copies have been graded at this level. This valuation rests on sparse sales evidence. Over the past 30 days the TCGBerg fair value has risen 7.6%.

PSA 6 - frequently asked

What is the TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 6 Mega Lucario ex - Ultra Rare?

$17 as of 2026-09-28, our model-derived fair value for a PSA 6 Mega Lucario ex - Ultra Rare based on recent graded sales.

How rare is a PSA 6 Mega Lucario ex - Ultra Rare?

51 copies have been graded at PSA 6, the graded population behind this atom.

How has the PSA 6 Mega Lucario ex - Ultra Rare price moved recently?

Its TCGBerg fair value has risen 7.6% over the past 30 days.

Frequently asked

What is the TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 6 Mega Lucario ex - Ultra Rare?: $17 as of 2026-09-28, our model-derived fair value for a PSA 6 Mega Lucario ex - Ultra Rare based on recent graded sales.
How rare is a PSA 6 Mega Lucario ex - Ultra Rare?: 51 copies have been graded at PSA 6, the graded population behind this atom.
How has the PSA 6 Mega Lucario ex - Ultra Rare price moved recently?: Its TCGBerg fair value has risen 7.6% over the past 30 days.

Every printing of Mega Lucario ex and the indices that include this card in their constituent basket.

Indices containing this card

Parent set

Mega Evolution

Set total cap

$41.84M

Date

Grade

Price

Source

vs TCGBerg FV

Sep 27, 2026

Raw

$14

tcgplayer

20.6%

Sep 27, 2026

Raw

$14

tcgplayer

20.6%

Sep 27, 2026

Raw

$11

tcgplayer

0.7%

Sep 27, 2026

Raw

$11

tcgplayer

2.3%

Sep 27, 2026

Raw

$11

tcgplayer

0.4%

Sep 27, 2026

Raw

$11

tcgplayer

1.9%

Sep 27, 2026

Raw

$11

tcgplayer

1.2%

Sep 27, 2026

Raw

$11

tcgplayer

0.5%

Sep 26, 2026

Raw

$12

tcgplayer

3.5%

Sep 26, 2026

Raw

$11

tcgplayer

1.0%

CGC6

Sparse

PSA10

$75

6,532

$488.3K

0.0%

0.5%

7.0%

Very strong

$704d ago

PSA9

$25

4,471

$112.1K

0.4%

2.0%

2.8%

Very strong

$215d ago

PSA8

$18

655

$12.0K

0.4%

1.7%

5.0%

Strong

$131mo ago

PSA7

$17

$1.5K

1.2%

1.9%

4.2%

Limited

$424mo ago

PSA6

$17

$849

1.1%

1.3%

7.6%

Sparse

Raw

$11

3.1%

10.4%

Very strong

$14yesterday

Mega Lucario ex #160, Ultra Rare, Mega Evolution

Active listings on eBayLive asking prices from eBay sellers. The delta shows how each ask compares to TCGBerg's quoted fair value for that grade. Verified deals are marked from the published analytics feed.

Behind the scenesHow the published fair value for this grade was produced: the estimates that fed it, their share of the starting mix, and every recorded change afterwards. It describes one saved calculation, not a live recomputation.

Recent sales10 tracked

All grades matrix

Price spectrum

Population & rarityHow Mega Lucario ex's graded copies are spread across grades. Each bar is the number of copies graded at that grade; the percentage is that grade's share of the total graded population. Fewer copies at a grade = scarcer = a scarcity premium.

Relative valuation vs. indexBoth series are indexed to 100 at May 17, 2026, the index’s inception date, not the start of the selected range. A divergence means the card has outperformed or underperformed the index since then, by exactly the percentage-point gap.

About Mega EvolutionParent set

Analysis

PSA 10 commentary

PSA 10 - frequently asked

PSA 9 commentary

PSA 9 - frequently asked

PSA 8 commentary

PSA 8 - frequently asked

PSA 7 commentary

PSA 7 - frequently asked

PSA 6 commentary

PSA 6 - frequently asked

Related

Indices containing this card

Parent set

Active listings on eBayLive asking prices from eBay sellers. The delta shows how each ask compares to TCGBerg's quoted fair value for that grade. Verified deals are marked from the published analytics feed.

Behind the scenesHow the published fair value for this grade was produced: the estimates that fed it, their share of the starting mix, and every recorded change afterwards. It describes one saved calculation, not a live recomputation.

Recent sales10 tracked

All grades matrix

Price spectrum

Population & rarityHow Mega Lucario ex's graded copies are spread across grades. Each bar is the number of copies graded at that grade; the percentage is that grade's share of the total graded population. Fewer copies at a grade = scarcer = a scarcity premium.

Relative valuation vs. indexBoth series are indexed to 100 at May 17, 2026, the index’s inception date, not the start of the selected range. A divergence means the card has outperformed or underperformed the index since then, by exactly the percentage-point gap.

About Mega EvolutionParent set

Analysis

PSA 10 commentary

PSA 10 - frequently asked

PSA 9 commentary

PSA 9 - frequently asked

PSA 8 commentary

PSA 8 - frequently asked

PSA 7 commentary

PSA 7 - frequently asked

PSA 6 commentary

PSA 6 - frequently asked

Related

Indices containing this card

Parent set

Active listings on eBay

Behind the scenes

Population & rarity

Relative valuation vs. index

Active listings on eBay

Behind the scenes

Population & rarity

Relative valuation vs. index