Mega Lucario EX #228, Ultra Rare, MEGA Dream ex
Japanese edition
- Card number: #228
- ·Finish: Holo
A PSA 10 Mega Lucario EX #228 Ultra Rare from MEGA Dream ex has a TCGBerg fair value of $38 as of Nov 15, 2026. TCGBerg has recorded 978 PSA 10 sales of this card, the latest on Nov 12, 2026. PSA has graded 24,132 copies at PSA 10.
TCGBerg Algorithm (estimated from recorded sales).
- Population · PSA 10
- 24,132
- Market cap
- $916.3K
- Volatility
- 4.3%
- YTD
- -
- Sales evidence
- Very strong
TCGBerg fair value · PSA 10
$38
Price history
Weekly fair value over time, plus a confidence band around it: how precisely we can pin the value, which tightens as more sales confirm it. Dots mark individual sales, snapped to their week: red when above fair value (a premium), green when below (a deal), hollow when flagged as an outlier. Switch the active grade with the selector above.Weekly fair value for PSA 10. Shaded area is the confidence band: how precisely we can pin the value; it tightens as more sales confirm it. Dots are individual sales. Confidence band: how precisely we can pin the fair value. It widens when sales scatter and narrows as more sales back the value up. The dots show the actual sale prices.
What the evidence says
The last PSA 10 sale, $24 on Nov 12, 2026, sits 36.4% below the $38 fair value. The value weighs 30 PSA 10 sales from the past year, not the latest one alone. The latest sale ran below the recent run: the last 5 PSA 10 sales averaged $34, within 9.2% of the value. Its confidence band runs from $36 to $40. A PSA 10 ($38) is worth 1.3 times a PSA 9 ($29).
TCGBerg fair value by grade
Side-by-side comparison of value across every grade and ungraded condition we track for this printing. The bar chart uses a log scale so raw and gem-mint fit on one axis. Solid bars are the TCGBerg fair value, modelled from recorded sales. Hatched bars are the latest market price instead, shown for ungraded conditions that trade too rarely for us to price one honestly.Value at each grade and ungraded condition. Log scale. Tap a row to switch the whole page.
- Raw LP$8.26Ungraded · market price
- Raw MP$6.65Ungraded · market price
- Raw Damaged$6.00Ungraded · market price
- Raw NM$5.93Ungraded · market price
Behind the scenes
How the published fair value for this grade was produced: the sales it rests on, how they were put together, and every recorded change afterwards. It describes one saved calculation, not a live recomputation.What goes into this price, and how much we know.
Recent sales
20 trackedEach sale against the grade's fair value on the day it sold.
| Date | Grade | Venue | Price | vs fair value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2026 | CGC Gem Mint 10 | Fanatics Collect | $20 | above fair value by +10.4% |
| Nov 12, 2026 | PSA10 | eBay | $24 | below fair value by -36.4% |
| Nov 12, 2026 | PSA10 | eBay | $29 | below fair value by -24.4% |
| Nov 12, 2026 | PSA10 | eBay | $55 | above fair value by +46.1% |
| Nov 12, 2026 | PSA10 | eBay | $37 | below fair value by -2.6% |
- $20Nov 13, 2026 · via Fanatics CollectCGC Gem Mint 10↑above fair value by 10.4%
- $24Nov 12, 2026 · via eBayPSA10↓below fair value by 36.4%
- $29Nov 12, 2026 · via eBayPSA10↓below fair value by 24.4%
- $55Nov 12, 2026 · via eBayPSA10↑above fair value by 46.1%
- $37Nov 12, 2026 · via eBayPSA10↓below fair value by 2.6%
| Nov 12, 2026 | PSA10 | eBay | $27 | below fair value by -28.9% |
| Nov 11, 2026 | CGC Gem Mint 10 | Fanatics Collect | $18 | below fair value by -0.7% |
| Nov 11, 2026 | PSA10 | eBay | $40 | above fair value by +5.3% |
- $27PSA10↓below fair value by 28.9%
- $18CGC Gem Mint 10↓below fair value by 0.7%
- $40PSA10↑above fair value by 5.3%
15 more sales with Pro
Up to 20 recent sales, each with its venue and its gap to fair value.
↓Includes a sale 34.0% below fair value
All grades matrix
Every grade we track for this printing. Click any column header to sort; the rightmost column jumps you to listings for that grade.
- CGC Pristine 10$211d -7d -30d -
- Pop
- 6,219
- Mcap
- $128.7K
- Evidence
- Very strong
- Last
- $18
- CGC Gem Mint 10$181d -7d -30d -
- Pop
- 7,187
- Mcap
- $130.2K
- Evidence
- Very strong
- Last
- $20
- CGC9.5$111d -7d -30d -
- Pop
- 498
- Mcap
- $5.4K
- Evidence
- Sparse
- Last
- $11
| CGC Pristine 10 | $21 | 6,219 | $128.7K | - | - | - | - | Very strong | $186d ago |
| CGC Gem Mint 10 | $18 | 7,187 | $130.2K | - | - | - | - | Very strong | $202d ago |
| CGC9.5 | $11 | 498 | $5.4K | - | - | - | - | Sparse | $112w ago |
| BGS9.5 | $11 | 159 | $1.8K | - | - | - | - | Sparse | $163mo ago |
| PSA10 | $38 | 24,132 | $916.3K | ↓down 0.2% | ↓down 3.3% | - | - | Very strong | $243d ago |
| PSA9 | $29 | 1,488 | $43.2K | 0.0% | ↓down 1.8% | - | - | Very strong | $301w ago |
| PSA8 | $24 | 204 | $4.9K | 0.0% | ↓down 1.4% | - | - | Strong | $222mo ago |
| PSA7 | $13 | 46 | $614 | ↓down 0.2% | ↑up 0.5% | - | - | Sparse | $125mo ago |
| PSA6 | $11 | 27 | $304 | ↑up 0.3% | ↓down 0.4% | - | - | Sparse | $135mo ago |
| Raw | $5.93 | - | - | ↓down 0.8% | ↓down 4.8% | ↓down 13.4% | ↓down 26.3% | - | - |
Graded population report
How Mega Lucario EX's graded copies are spread across grades. Each bar is the number of copies graded at that grade; the percentage is that grade's share of the total graded population. These are recorded graded copies, not the total print run. A smaller population alone does not establish a price premium.43,261 graded copies of Mega Lucario EX Ultra Rare across 29 grades. The selected grade is highlighted.
PSA 10 makes up 56% of graded copies: 24,132 of 43,261. It’s the most common grade for this card.
Analysis
Mega Lucario EX - Ultra Rare at PSA 10 carries a TCGBerg fair value of $38 as of 2026-11-14. We track a TCGBerg fair value across 9 grades from MEGA Dream ex, from CGC 9.5 up to PSA 10. A graded population of 24,132 copies sits behind the PSA 10 grade. The PSA 10 valuation rests on very strong sales evidence.