Noctowl #78, Holo, Prismatic Evolutions
- Card number: #78/131
- ·Rarity: Rare
A CGC 9.5 Noctowl #78 Holo from Prismatic Evolutions has a TCGBerg fair value of $6.16 as of Nov 15, 2026. It rests on 1 recorded sale, the latest on Jul 27, 2026. CGC has graded 5 copies at CGC 9.5. Sales evidence is sparse, so treat this value as a rough estimate.
TCGBerg Algorithm (estimated from recorded sales).
1 sale · latest Jul 27, 2026
- Population · CGC 9.5
- 5
- Market cap
- $31
- Volatility
- -
- YTD
- -
- Sales evidence
- Sparse
TCGBerg fair value · CGC 9.5
$6.16
Based on 1 recorded sale. Latest sale: Jul 27, 2026.
Price history
Weekly fair value over time, plus a confidence band around it: how precisely we can pin the value, which tightens as more sales confirm it. Dots mark individual sales, snapped to their week: red when above fair value (a premium), green when below (a deal), hollow when flagged as an outlier. Switch the active grade with the selector above.Weekly fair value for CGC 9.5. Shaded area is the confidence band: how precisely we can pin the value; it tightens as more sales confirm it. Dots are individual sales. Confidence band: how precisely we can pin the fair value. It widens when sales scatter and narrows as more sales back the value up. The dots show the actual sale prices.
What the evidence says
The last CGC 9.5 sale, $7.20 on Jul 27, 2026, sits 16.9% above the $6.16 fair value. The value rests on 1 recorded CGC 9.5 sale. With so few CGC 9.5 sales on record, a single sale can sit far from the value. Its confidence band runs from $4.62 to $7.70. With sparse sales evidence, read the gap and the band as rough guides.
TCGBerg fair value by grade
Side-by-side comparison of value across every grade and ungraded condition we track for this printing. The bar chart uses a log scale so raw and gem-mint fit on one axis. Solid bars are the TCGBerg fair value, modelled from recorded sales. Hatched bars are the latest market price instead, shown for ungraded conditions that trade too rarely for us to price one honestly.Value at each grade and ungraded condition. Log scale. Tap a row to switch the whole page.
- Raw LP$0.28Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value
- Raw MP$0.27Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value
- Raw NM$0.25Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value
- Raw HP$0.18Ungraded · market price
Behind the scenes
How the published fair value for this grade was produced: the sales it rests on, how they were put together, and every recorded change afterwards. It describes one saved calculation, not a live recomputation.What goes into this price, and how much we know.
Recent sales
20 trackedEach sale against the grade's fair value on the day it sold.
| Date | Grade | Venue | Price | vs fair value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $0.23 | below fair value by -8.0% |
| Nov 10, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $0.20 | below fair value by -20.0% |
| Nov 10, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $0.12 | below fair value by -52.0% |
| Nov 10, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $0.21 | below fair value by -16.0% |
| Nov 8, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $0.34 | below fair value by -2.9% |
- $0.23Nov 11, 2026 · via tcgplayerRaw↓below fair value by 8.0%
- $0.20Nov 10, 2026 · via tcgplayerRaw↓below fair value by 20.0%
- $0.12Nov 10, 2026 · via tcgplayerRaw↓below fair value by 52.0%
- $0.21Nov 10, 2026 · via tcgplayerRaw↓below fair value by 16.0%
- $0.34Nov 8, 2026 · via tcgplayerRaw↓below fair value by 2.9%
| Nov 8, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $0.50 | above fair value by +42.9% |
| Nov 8, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $0.15 | below fair value by -57.1% |
| Nov 4, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $0.69 | above fair value by +97.1% |
- $0.50Raw↑above fair value by 42.9%
- $0.15Raw↓below fair value by 57.1%
- $0.69Raw↑above fair value by 97.1%
15 more sales with Pro
Up to 20 recent sales, each with its venue and its gap to fair value.
↓Includes a sale 71.4% below fair value
All grades matrix
Every grade we track for this printing. Click any column header to sort; the rightmost column jumps you to listings for that grade.
- CGC Gem Mint 10$111d -7d -30d -
- Pop
- 12
- Mcap
- $129
- Evidence
- Sparse
- Last
- -
- CGC9.5$6.161d -7d -30d -
- Pop
- 5
- Mcap
- $31
- Evidence
- Sparse
- Last
- $7.20
- Raw$0.251d -7d ↓28.6%30d ↓24.2%
- Pop
- -
- Mcap
- -
- Evidence
- Strong
- Last
- $0.23
| CGC Gem Mint 10 | $11 | 12 | $129 | - | - | - | - | Sparse | - |
| CGC9.5 | $6.16 | 5 | $31 | - | - | - | - | Sparse | $7.204mo ago |
| Raw | $0.25 | - | - | - | ↓down 28.6% | ↓down 24.2% | - | Strong | $0.234d ago |
Graded population report
How Noctowl's graded copies are spread across grades. Each bar is the number of copies graded at that grade; the percentage is that grade's share of the total graded population. These are recorded graded copies, not the total print run. A smaller population alone does not establish a price premium.68 graded copies of Noctowl Holo across 13 grades. The selected grade is highlighted.
CGC 9.5 makes up 7.4% of graded copies: 5 of 68. One of the scarcer grades for this card. PSA 9 is the most common grade (25%).
Analysis
Noctowl - Holo at CGC Gem Mint 10 carries a TCGBerg fair value of $11 as of 2026-11-14. We track a TCGBerg fair value across 2 grades from Prismatic Evolutions, from CGC 9.5 up to CGC Gem Mint 10. A graded population of 12 copies sits behind the CGC Gem Mint 10 grade. The CGC Gem Mint 10 valuation rests on sparse sales evidence.