Numel #198, Illustration Rare, MEGA Dream ex
Japanese edition
- Card number: #198
- ·Finish: Holo
A PSA 10 Numel #198 Illustration Rare from MEGA Dream ex has a TCGBerg fair value of $27 as of Nov 14, 2026. TCGBerg has recorded 140 PSA 10 sales of this card, the latest on Nov 8, 2026. PSA has graded 9,690 copies at PSA 10.
TCGBerg Algorithm (estimated from recorded sales).
- Population · PSA 10
- 9,690
- Market cap
- $264.4K
- Volatility
- 3.2%
- YTD
- -
- Sales evidence
- Very strong
TCGBerg fair value · PSA 10
$27
Price history
Weekly fair value over time, plus a confidence band around it: how precisely we can pin the value, which tightens as more sales confirm it. Dots mark individual sales, snapped to their week: red when above fair value (a premium), green when below (a deal), hollow when flagged as an outlier. Switch the active grade with the selector above.Weekly fair value for PSA 10. Shaded area is the confidence band: how precisely we can pin the value; it tightens as more sales confirm it. Dots are individual sales. Confidence band: how precisely we can pin the fair value. It widens when sales scatter and narrows as more sales back the value up. The dots show the actual sale prices.
What the evidence says
The last PSA 10 sale, $39 on Nov 8, 2026, sits 42.9% above the $27 fair value. The value weighs 30 PSA 10 sales from the past year, not the latest one alone. The latest sale ran above the recent run: the last 5 PSA 10 sales averaged $31, within 12.6% of the value. Its confidence band runs from $26 to $29. A PSA 10 ($27) is worth 1.3 times a PSA 9 ($20).
TCGBerg fair value by grade
Side-by-side comparison of value across every grade and ungraded condition we track for this printing. The bar chart uses a log scale so raw and gem-mint fit on one axis. Solid bars are the TCGBerg fair value, modelled from recorded sales. Hatched bars are the latest market price instead, shown for ungraded conditions that trade too rarely for us to price one honestly.Value at each grade and ungraded condition. Log scale. Tap a row to switch the whole page.
- Raw NM$1.43Ungraded · market price
- Raw MP$1.43Ungraded · market price
- Raw LP$1.40Ungraded · market price
- Raw Damaged$1.00Ungraded · market price
Behind the scenes
How the published fair value for this grade was produced: the sales it rests on, how they were put together, and every recorded change afterwards. It describes one saved calculation, not a live recomputation.What goes into this price, and how much we know.
Recent sales
20 trackedEach sale against the grade's fair value on the day it sold.
| Date | Grade | Venue | Price | vs fair value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | PSA9 | Fanatics Collect | $20 | below fair value by -5.7% |
| Nov 8, 2026 | PSA10 | eBay | $39 | above fair value by +35.2% |
| Nov 4, 2026 | PSA9 | eBay | $20 | below fair value by -5.7% |
| Nov 4, 2026 | PSA10 | eBay | $35 | above fair value by +21.4% |
| Nov 2, 2026 | CGC Pristine 10 | Fanatics Collect | $16 | below fair value by -12.5% |
- $20Nov 8, 2026 · via Fanatics CollectPSA9↓below fair value by 5.7%
- $39Nov 8, 2026 · via eBayPSA10↑above fair value by 35.2%
- $20Nov 4, 2026 · via eBayPSA9↓below fair value by 5.7%
- $35Nov 4, 2026 · via eBayPSA10↑above fair value by 21.4%
- $16Nov 2, 2026 · via Fanatics CollectCGC Pristine 10↓below fair value by 12.5%
| Nov 2, 2026 | CGC Pristine 10 | Fanatics Collect | $17 | below fair value by -5.7% |
| Nov 2, 2026 | CGC Pristine 10 | Fanatics Collect | $18 | above fair value by +1.0% |
| Nov 2, 2026 | CGC Pristine 10 | Fanatics Collect | $17 | below fair value by -5.7% |
- $17CGC Pristine 10↓below fair value by 5.7%
- $18CGC Pristine 10↑above fair value by 1.0%
- $17CGC Pristine 10↓below fair value by 5.7%
15 more sales with Pro
Up to 20 recent sales, each with its venue and its gap to fair value.
↓Includes a sale 50.3% below fair value
All grades matrix
Every grade we track for this printing. Click any column header to sort; the rightmost column jumps you to listings for that grade.
- CGC Pristine 10$181d -7d -30d -
- Pop
- 2,171
- Mcap
- $38.7K
- Evidence
- Very strong
- Last
- $16
- CGC Gem Mint 10$111d -7d -30d -
- Pop
- 2,909
- Mcap
- $31.8K
- Evidence
- Very strong
- Last
- $11
- BGS 10 Pristine$281d -7d -30d -
- Pop
- 3
- Mcap
- $83
- Evidence
- Sparse
- Last
- $28
| CGC Pristine 10 | $18 | 2,171 | $38.7K | - | - | - | - | Very strong | $162w ago |
| CGC Gem Mint 10 | $11 | 2,909 | $31.8K | - | - | - | - | Very strong | $112w ago |
| BGS 10 Pristine | $28 | 3 | $83 | - | - | - | - | Sparse | $288mo ago |
| BGS9.5 | $15 | 15 | $225 | - | - | - | - | Sparse | $161mo ago |
| PSA10 | $27 | 9,690 | $264.4K | ↓down 0.1% | ↓down 0.6% | - | - | Very strong | $396d ago |
| PSA9 | $20 | 1,675 | $33.9K | ↓down 0.5% | ↓down 3.3% | - | - | Strong | $206d ago |
| PSA8 | $19 | 377 | $7.3K | ↓down 0.4% | ↑up 1.1% | - | - | Moderate | $292mo ago |
| PSA7 | $14 | 47 | $642 | ↓down 1.4% | ↑up 1.3% | - | - | Sparse | - |
| PSA6 | $11 | 19 | $206 | ↑up 0.4% | ↓down 1.7% | - | - | Sparse | - |
| Raw | $1.43 | - | - | ↓down 1.4% | ↓down 5.3% | ↓down 16.9% | ↓down 12.8% | - | - |
Graded population report
How Numel's graded copies are spread across grades. Each bar is the number of copies graded at that grade; the percentage is that grade's share of the total graded population. These are recorded graded copies, not the total print run. A smaller population alone does not establish a price premium.21,114 graded copies of Numel Illustration Rare across 28 grades. The selected grade is highlighted.
PSA 10 makes up 46% of graded copies: 9,690 of 21,114. It’s the most common grade for this card.
Analysis
Numel - Illustration Rare at BGS 10 Pristine carries a TCGBerg fair value of $28 as of 2026-11-14. We track a TCGBerg fair value across 9 grades from MEGA Dream ex, from PSA 6 up to BGS 10 Pristine. A graded population of 3 copies sits behind the BGS 10 Pristine grade. The BGS 10 Pristine valuation rests on sparse sales evidence.