Celebrations · Holo

Palkia #4, Holo, Celebrations

Card number: #4
Rarity: Rare

Celebrations HoloCEL4:EN

TKRCEL4:EN-P9

Grading toolPro

TCGBerg fair value· PSA 9

$17

Our estimate of this card's fair value, calculated from recorded sales.

Sales evidenceStrong

30D performance

30D: -
YTD: -
Market cap: $11.1K
Volatility: 8.4%

Last sale (Sep 23, 2026)Last sale

$14

PSA 9 · Sep 23, 2026

20.0% below TCGBerg fair value

5-sale avg

$21

last 5 sales

Population · PSA 9

644

graded copies

TCGBerg fair value · PSA 9

$17

Sales evidenceStrong

Market cap

$11.1K

fair value x population

Population

644

graded copies

Last sale

$14

-20.0% vs fair

5-sale avg

$21

recent sales

GradingPro

Price history

Open terminalPro

Weekly fair value for PSA 9. Shaded area is the confidence band: how precisely we can pin the value; it tightens as more sales confirm it. Dots are individual sales.

TCGBerg fair value · PSA 9Sale below fairSale above fairOutlier

Sep 6, 20264 weekly points · 55 salesSep 27, 2026

Active listings on eBay

PSA 9 · eBay

Affiliate links: TCGBerg may earn a commission on purchases made through these listings.

Behind the scenes

What goes into this price, and how much we know.

Recent sales10 tracked

Most recent transactions. From public auction comps and dealer reporting. Showing 10 of 10; delta vs fair value is the difference between the sale price and the grade's quoted fair value on that date.

Date	Grade	Price	Source	vs TCGBerg FV
Sep 27, 2026	Raw	$2	tcgplayer	856.0%
Sep 27, 2026	Raw	$0	tcgplayer	20.0%
Sep 26, 2026	Raw	$153	tcgplayer	60956.0%
Sep 26, 2026	Raw	$0	tcgplayer	80.0%
Sep 26, 2026	Raw	$153	tcgplayer	60956.0%
Sep 26, 2026	Raw	$0	tcgplayer	8.0%
Sep 26, 2026	Raw	$154	tcgplayer	61352.0%
Sep 25, 2026	Raw	$0	tcgplayer	28.0%
Sep 25, 2026	Raw	$146	tcgplayer	58300.0%
Sep 25, 2026	Raw	$151	tcgplayer	60444.0%

$2
Sep 27, 2026 · via tcgplayer
Rawversus fair value, up 856.0%
$0
Sep 27, 2026 · via tcgplayer
Rawversus fair value, up 20.0%
$153
Sep 26, 2026 · via tcgplayer
Rawversus fair value, up 60956.0%
$0
Sep 26, 2026 · via tcgplayer
Rawversus fair value, down 80.0%
$153
Sep 26, 2026 · via tcgplayer
Rawversus fair value, up 60956.0%
$0
Sep 26, 2026 · via tcgplayer
Rawversus fair value, up 8.0%
$154
Sep 26, 2026 · via tcgplayer
Rawversus fair value, up 61352.0%
$0
Sep 25, 2026 · via tcgplayer
Rawversus fair value, up 28.0%
$146
Sep 25, 2026 · via tcgplayer
Rawversus fair value, up 58300.0%
$151
Sep 25, 2026 · via tcgplayer
Rawversus fair value, up 60444.0%

All grades matrix

Every grade we track for this printing. Click any column header to sort; the rightmost column jumps you to listings for that grade.

PSA10$177
1d 0.0%7d 6.3%30d -
Pop
148
Mcap
$26.2K
Evidence
Very strong
Last
$250
PSA9$17
1d 0.1%7d 6.4%30d -
Pop
644
Mcap
$11.1K
Evidence
Strong
Last
$14
PSA8$17
1d 0.1%7d 3.2%30d -
Pop
436
Mcap
$7.3K
Evidence
Strong
Last
$20


PSA10	$177	148	$26.2K	0.0%	6.3%	-	-	-	Very strong	$2502w ago
PSA9	$17	644	$11.1K	0.1%	6.4%	-	-	-	Strong	$145d ago
PSA8	$17	436	$7.3K	0.1%	3.2%	-	-	-	Strong	$201w ago
PSA7	$16	108	$1.8K	0.2%	0.5%	-	-	-	Very strong	$171w ago
PSA6	$9	41	$361	5.4%	5.3%	-	-	-	Strong	$101mo ago
Raw	$0	-	-	-	10.7%	3.8%	-	-	Very strong	$2yesterday

Price spectrum

Where the current price sits relative to recent sales and active listings, and how each reference point compares to TCGBerg fair value. The bar spans $10 to $48; it shades green below fair value to red above, saturating at ±25%.

TCGBerg fair value

$17

−25%

$13

$17

+25%

$22

+176%

$48

$10$17$48

LowFairHigh

Last sale
$14
20.0% below fairSep 23, 2026
Lowest ask
$32
83.0% above fairlowest active ask
Median ask
$41
138.2% above fairmedian active ask
Highest ask
$45
161.4% above fairhighest active ask

Last sale was 20.0% below TCGBerg fair value, the best listing right now sits 83.0% above fair.

TCGBerg fair value by grade

Value at each grade and ungraded condition, on a log scale that spans the full range from raw (Heavily Played) at $0.16 up to gem-mint at $177. Log scale. Tap a row to switch the whole page.

Raw Damaged$72Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value
Raw LP$0.27Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value
Raw NM$0.25Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value
Raw MP$0.16Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value
Raw HP$0.16Ungraded · market price

hatched = market price, not a TCGBerg fair value

Population & rarity

1,377 graded copies of Palkia Holo across 5 grades. The selected grade is highlighted.

PSA 10

148 · 11%

PSA 9

644 · 47%

PSA 8

436 · 32%

PSA 7

108 · 7.8%

PSA 6

41 · 3.0%

PSA 9 makes up 47% of graded copies: 644 of 1,377. It’s the most common grade for this card.

Relative valuation vs. index

How PSA 9 has moved relative to Celebrations · Holo · Composite since Sep 13, 2026. Both indexed to 100 at the index’s inception. Card underperformed by 7.8 pp.

About CelebrationsParent set

This printing in the context of its parent set: total set cap and this printing's share of it.

Browse all sets →

Set total cap

$58.27M

across all printings

This printing's share

0.1%

of total set cap

Implied printing cap

$46.7K

share × set cap

Browse all sets →

Palkia - Holo at PSA 10 carries a TCGBerg fair value of $177 as of 2026-09-27. We track a TCGBerg fair value across 5 grades from Celebrations, from PSA 6 up to PSA 10. A graded population of 148 copies sits behind the PSA 10 grade. The PSA 10 valuation rests on very strong sales evidence.

Show more analysisAnalysis, commentary & FAQ

PSA 10 commentary

The TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 10 Palkia - Holo is $177 as of 2026-09-27. 148 copies have been graded at this level. This valuation rests on very strong sales evidence. The most recent recorded sale was $250 on 2026-09-13.

PSA 10 - frequently asked

What is the TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 10 Palkia - Holo?

$177 as of 2026-09-27, our model-derived fair value for a PSA 10 Palkia - Holo based on recent graded sales.

How rare is a PSA 10 Palkia - Holo?

148 copies have been graded at PSA 10, the graded population behind this atom.

Frequently asked

What is the TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 10 Palkia - Holo?: $177 as of 2026-09-27, our model-derived fair value for a PSA 10 Palkia - Holo based on recent graded sales.
How rare is a PSA 10 Palkia - Holo?: 148 copies have been graded at PSA 10, the graded population behind this atom.

PSA 9 commentary

The TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 9 Palkia - Holo is $17 as of 2026-09-27. 644 copies have been graded at this level. This valuation rests on strong sales evidence. The most recent recorded sale was $14 on 2026-09-23.

PSA 9 - frequently asked

What is the TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 9 Palkia - Holo?

$17 as of 2026-09-27, our model-derived fair value for a PSA 9 Palkia - Holo based on recent graded sales.

How rare is a PSA 9 Palkia - Holo?

644 copies have been graded at PSA 9, the graded population behind this atom.

Frequently asked

What is the TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 9 Palkia - Holo?: $17 as of 2026-09-27, our model-derived fair value for a PSA 9 Palkia - Holo based on recent graded sales.
How rare is a PSA 9 Palkia - Holo?: 644 copies have been graded at PSA 9, the graded population behind this atom.

PSA 8 commentary

The TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 8 Palkia - Holo is $17 as of 2026-09-27. 436 copies have been graded at this level. This valuation rests on strong sales evidence. The most recent recorded sale was $20 on 2026-09-20.

PSA 8 - frequently asked

What is the TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 8 Palkia - Holo?

$17 as of 2026-09-27, our model-derived fair value for a PSA 8 Palkia - Holo based on recent graded sales.

How rare is a PSA 8 Palkia - Holo?

436 copies have been graded at PSA 8, the graded population behind this atom.

Frequently asked

What is the TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 8 Palkia - Holo?: $17 as of 2026-09-27, our model-derived fair value for a PSA 8 Palkia - Holo based on recent graded sales.
How rare is a PSA 8 Palkia - Holo?: 436 copies have been graded at PSA 8, the graded population behind this atom.

PSA 7 commentary

The TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 7 Palkia - Holo is $16 as of 2026-09-27. 108 copies have been graded at this level. This valuation rests on very strong sales evidence. The most recent recorded sale was $17 on 2026-09-21.

PSA 7 - frequently asked

What is the TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 7 Palkia - Holo?

$16 as of 2026-09-27, our model-derived fair value for a PSA 7 Palkia - Holo based on recent graded sales.

How rare is a PSA 7 Palkia - Holo?

108 copies have been graded at PSA 7, the graded population behind this atom.

Frequently asked

What is the TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 7 Palkia - Holo?: $16 as of 2026-09-27, our model-derived fair value for a PSA 7 Palkia - Holo based on recent graded sales.
How rare is a PSA 7 Palkia - Holo?: 108 copies have been graded at PSA 7, the graded population behind this atom.

PSA 6 commentary

The TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 6 Palkia - Holo is $9 as of 2026-09-27. 41 copies have been graded at this level. This valuation rests on strong sales evidence. The most recent recorded sale was $10 on 2026-08-27.

PSA 6 - frequently asked

What is the TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 6 Palkia - Holo?

$9 as of 2026-09-27, our model-derived fair value for a PSA 6 Palkia - Holo based on recent graded sales.

How rare is a PSA 6 Palkia - Holo?

41 copies have been graded at PSA 6, the graded population behind this atom.

Frequently asked

What is the TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 6 Palkia - Holo?: $9 as of 2026-09-27, our model-derived fair value for a PSA 6 Palkia - Holo based on recent graded sales.
How rare is a PSA 6 Palkia - Holo?: 41 copies have been graded at PSA 6, the graded population behind this atom.

Every printing of Palkia and the indices that include this card in their constituent basket.

Indices containing this card

Parent set

Celebrations

Set total cap

$58.26M

Date

Grade

Price

Source

vs TCGBerg FV

Sep 27, 2026

Raw

tcgplayer

856.0%

Sep 27, 2026

Raw

tcgplayer

20.0%

Sep 26, 2026

Raw

$153

tcgplayer

60956.0%

Sep 26, 2026

Raw

tcgplayer

80.0%

Sep 26, 2026

Raw

$153

tcgplayer

60956.0%

Sep 26, 2026

Raw

tcgplayer

8.0%

Sep 26, 2026

Raw

$154

tcgplayer

61352.0%

Sep 25, 2026

Raw

tcgplayer

28.0%

Sep 25, 2026

Raw

$146

tcgplayer

58300.0%

Sep 25, 2026

Raw

$151

tcgplayer

60444.0%

PSA10

$177

148

$26.2K

0.0%

6.3%

Very strong

$2502w ago

PSA9

$17

644

$11.1K

0.1%

6.4%

Strong

$145d ago

PSA8

$17

436

$7.3K

0.1%

3.2%

Strong

$201w ago

PSA7

$16

108

$1.8K

0.2%

0.5%

Very strong

$171w ago

PSA6

$361

5.4%

5.3%

Strong

$101mo ago

Raw

10.7%

3.8%

Very strong

$2yesterday

Palkia #4, Holo, Celebrations

Active listings on eBayLive asking prices from eBay sellers. The delta shows how each ask compares to TCGBerg's quoted fair value for that grade. Verified deals are marked from the published analytics feed.

Behind the scenesHow the published fair value for this grade was produced: the estimates that fed it, their share of the starting mix, and every recorded change afterwards. It describes one saved calculation, not a live recomputation.

Recent sales10 tracked

All grades matrix

Price spectrum

Population & rarityHow Palkia's graded copies are spread across grades. Each bar is the number of copies graded at that grade; the percentage is that grade's share of the total graded population. Fewer copies at a grade = scarcer = a scarcity premium.

Relative valuation vs. indexBoth series are indexed to 100 at Sep 13, 2026, the index’s inception date, not the start of the selected range. A divergence means the card has outperformed or underperformed the index since then, by exactly the percentage-point gap.

About CelebrationsParent set

Analysis

PSA 10 commentary

PSA 10 - frequently asked

PSA 9 commentary

PSA 9 - frequently asked

PSA 8 commentary

PSA 8 - frequently asked

PSA 7 commentary

PSA 7 - frequently asked

PSA 6 commentary

PSA 6 - frequently asked

Related

Indices containing this card

Parent set

Active listings on eBayLive asking prices from eBay sellers. The delta shows how each ask compares to TCGBerg's quoted fair value for that grade. Verified deals are marked from the published analytics feed.

Behind the scenesHow the published fair value for this grade was produced: the estimates that fed it, their share of the starting mix, and every recorded change afterwards. It describes one saved calculation, not a live recomputation.

Recent sales10 tracked

All grades matrix

Price spectrum

Population & rarityHow Palkia's graded copies are spread across grades. Each bar is the number of copies graded at that grade; the percentage is that grade's share of the total graded population. Fewer copies at a grade = scarcer = a scarcity premium.

Relative valuation vs. indexBoth series are indexed to 100 at Sep 13, 2026, the index’s inception date, not the start of the selected range. A divergence means the card has outperformed or underperformed the index since then, by exactly the percentage-point gap.

About CelebrationsParent set

Analysis

PSA 10 commentary

PSA 10 - frequently asked

PSA 9 commentary

PSA 9 - frequently asked

PSA 8 commentary

PSA 8 - frequently asked

PSA 7 commentary

PSA 7 - frequently asked

PSA 6 commentary

PSA 6 - frequently asked

Related

Indices containing this card

Parent set

Active listings on eBay

Behind the scenes

Population & rarity

Relative valuation vs. index

Active listings on eBay

Behind the scenes

Population & rarity

Relative valuation vs. index