Paldean Fates · Holo

Pidgeot ex #221, Holo, Paldean Fates

Card number: #221/91
Rarity: Shiny Ultra Rare

Paldean Fates HoloPAF221:EN

TKRPAF221:EN-P10

Grading toolPro

TCGBerg fair value· PSA 10

$83

Our estimate of this card's fair value, calculated from recorded sales.

Sales evidenceStrong

30D performance4.4%

30D: ↓ 4.4%
YTD: ↑ 49.8%
Market cap: $29.0K
Volatility: 3.0%

Last sale (Sep 14, 2026)Last sale

$62

PSA 10 · Sep 14, 2026

24.9% below TCGBerg fair value

5-sale avg

$79

last 5 sales

Population · PSA 10

351

graded copies

TCGBerg fair value · PSA 10

$83

30D4.4%YTD49.8%

Sales evidenceStrong

Market cap

$29.0K

fair value x population

Population

351

graded copies

Last sale

$62

-24.9% vs fair

5-sale avg

$79

recent sales

GradingPro

Price history

Open terminalPro

Weekly fair value for PSA 10. Shaded area is the confidence band: how precisely we can pin the value; it tightens as more sales confirm it. Dots are individual sales.

TCGBerg fair value · PSA 10Sale below fairSale above fairOutlier

Oct 12, 202552 weekly points · 33 salesSep 28, 2026

Active listings on eBay

PSA 10 · eBay

Affiliate links: TCGBerg may earn a commission on purchases made through these listings.

Behind the scenes

What goes into this price, and how much we know.

Recent sales10 tracked

Most recent transactions. From public auction comps and dealer reporting. Showing 10 of 10; delta vs fair value is the difference between the sale price and the grade's quoted fair value on that date.

Date	Grade	Price	Source	vs TCGBerg FV
Sep 27, 2026	Raw	$3	tcgplayer	10.1%
Sep 27, 2026	Raw	$1	tcgplayer	64.4%
Sep 26, 2026	Raw	$5	tcgplayer	79.5%
Sep 26, 2026	Raw	$3	tcgplayer	16.5%
Sep 26, 2026	Raw	$3	tcgplayer	4.3%
Sep 26, 2026	Raw	$3	tcgplayer	0.7%
Sep 26, 2026	Raw	$2	tcgplayer	13.3%
Sep 25, 2026	Raw	$3	tcgplayer	2.9%
Sep 25, 2026	Raw	$3	tcgplayer	0.7%
Sep 25, 2026	Raw	$3	tcgplayer	2.9%

$3
Sep 27, 2026 · via tcgplayer
Rawversus fair value, down 10.1%
$1
Sep 27, 2026 · via tcgplayer
Rawversus fair value, down 64.4%
$5
Sep 26, 2026 · via tcgplayer
Rawversus fair value, up 79.5%
$3
Sep 26, 2026 · via tcgplayer
Rawversus fair value, up 16.5%
$3
Sep 26, 2026 · via tcgplayer
Rawversus fair value, up 4.3%
$3
Sep 26, 2026 · via tcgplayer
Rawversus fair value, up 0.7%
$2
Sep 26, 2026 · via tcgplayer
Rawversus fair value, down 13.3%
$3
Sep 25, 2026 · via tcgplayer
Rawversus fair value, up 2.9%
$3
Sep 25, 2026 · via tcgplayer
Rawversus fair value, up 0.7%
$3
Sep 25, 2026 · via tcgplayer
Rawversus fair value, down 2.9%

All grades matrix

Every grade we track for this printing. Click any column header to sort; the rightmost column jumps you to listings for that grade.

PSA10$83
1d 0.2%7d 0.2%30d 4.4%
Pop
351
Mcap
$29.0K
Evidence
Strong
Last
$62
PSA9$18
1d 0.1%7d 0.7%30d 6.1%
Pop
425
Mcap
$7.5K
Evidence
Strong
Last
$19
PSA8$15
1d 0.0%7d 0.2%30d 4.1%
Pop
52
Mcap
$758
Evidence
Moderate
Last
$8


PSA10	$83	351	$29.0K	0.2%	0.2%	4.4%	12.4%	64.9%	Strong	$622w ago
PSA9	$18	425	$7.5K	0.1%	0.7%	6.1%	12.8%	42.2%	Strong	$194w ago
PSA8	$15	52	$758	0.0%	0.2%	4.1%	0.7%	18.1%	Moderate	$81mo ago
PSA7	$13	9	$117	0.0%	0.1%	2.3%	29.2%	88.4%	Sparse	$163mo ago
PSA6	$11	2	$21	0.0%	0.0%	1.3%	9.7%	171.3%	Sparse	$112mo ago
Raw	$3	-	-	-	0.7%	4.5%	-	-	Very strong	$3yesterday

Price spectrum

Where the current price sits relative to recent sales and active listings, and how each reference point compares to TCGBerg fair value. The bar spans $50 to $217; it shades green below fair value to red above, saturating at ±25%.

TCGBerg fair value

$83

−25%

$62

$83

+25%

$103

+163%

$217

$50$83$217

LowFairHigh

Last sale
$62
24.9% below fairSep 14, 2026
Lowest ask
$116
40.4% above fairlowest active ask
Median ask
$161
94.7% above fairmedian active ask
Highest ask
$206
149.0% above fairhighest active ask

Last sale was 24.9% below TCGBerg fair value, the best listing right now sits 40.4% above fair.

TCGBerg fair value by grade

Value at each grade and ungraded condition, on a log scale that spans the full range from raw (Damaged) at $1.82 up to gem-mint at $83. Log scale. Tap a row to switch the whole page.

Raw NM$2.78Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value
Raw MP$2.67Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value
Raw LP$2.45Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value
Raw HP$2.00Ungraded · market price
Raw Damaged$1.82Ungraded · market price

hatched = market price, not a TCGBerg fair value

Population & rarity

839 graded copies of Pidgeot ex Holo across 5 grades. The selected grade is highlighted.

PSA 10

351 · 42%

PSA 9

425 · 51%

PSA 8

52 · 6.2%

PSA 7

9 · 1.1%

PSA 6

2 · 0.2%

PSA 10 makes up 42% of graded copies: 351 of 839. PSA 9 is the most common grade (51%).

Relative valuation vs. index

How PSA 10 has moved relative to Paldean Fates · Holo · Composite since May 17, 2026. Both indexed to 100 at the index’s inception. Card outperformed by 31.7 pp.

About Paldean FatesParent set

This printing in the context of its parent set: total set cap and this printing's share of it.

Browse all sets →

Set total cap

$108.14M

across all printings

This printing's share

0.0%

of total set cap

Implied printing cap

$37.3K

share × set cap

Browse all sets →

Pidgeot ex - Holo at PSA 10 carries a TCGBerg fair value of $83 as of 2026-09-28. We track a TCGBerg fair value across 5 grades from Paldean Fates, from PSA 6 up to PSA 10. A graded population of 351 copies sits behind the PSA 10 grade. The PSA 10 valuation rests on strong sales evidence. Over the past 30 days, the PSA 9 TCGBerg fair value has risen 6.1%.

Show more analysisAnalysis, commentary & FAQ

PSA 10 commentary

The TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 10 Pidgeot ex - Holo is $83 as of 2026-09-28. 351 copies have been graded at this level. This valuation rests on strong sales evidence. Over the past 30 days the TCGBerg fair value has fallen 4.4%. The most recent recorded sale was $62 on 2026-09-14.

PSA 10 - frequently asked

What is the TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 10 Pidgeot ex - Holo?

$83 as of 2026-09-28, our model-derived fair value for a PSA 10 Pidgeot ex - Holo based on recent graded sales.

How rare is a PSA 10 Pidgeot ex - Holo?

351 copies have been graded at PSA 10, the graded population behind this atom.

How has the PSA 10 Pidgeot ex - Holo price moved recently?

Its TCGBerg fair value has fallen 4.4% over the past 30 days.

Frequently asked

What is the TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 10 Pidgeot ex - Holo?: $83 as of 2026-09-28, our model-derived fair value for a PSA 10 Pidgeot ex - Holo based on recent graded sales.
How rare is a PSA 10 Pidgeot ex - Holo?: 351 copies have been graded at PSA 10, the graded population behind this atom.
How has the PSA 10 Pidgeot ex - Holo price moved recently?: Its TCGBerg fair value has fallen 4.4% over the past 30 days.

PSA 9 commentary

The TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 9 Pidgeot ex - Holo is $18 as of 2026-09-28. 425 copies have been graded at this level. This valuation rests on strong sales evidence. Over the past 30 days the TCGBerg fair value has risen 6.1%. The most recent recorded sale was $19 on 2026-08-30.

PSA 9 - frequently asked

What is the TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 9 Pidgeot ex - Holo?

$18 as of 2026-09-28, our model-derived fair value for a PSA 9 Pidgeot ex - Holo based on recent graded sales.

How rare is a PSA 9 Pidgeot ex - Holo?

425 copies have been graded at PSA 9, the graded population behind this atom.

How has the PSA 9 Pidgeot ex - Holo price moved recently?

Its TCGBerg fair value has risen 6.1% over the past 30 days.

Frequently asked

What is the TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 9 Pidgeot ex - Holo?: $18 as of 2026-09-28, our model-derived fair value for a PSA 9 Pidgeot ex - Holo based on recent graded sales.
How rare is a PSA 9 Pidgeot ex - Holo?: 425 copies have been graded at PSA 9, the graded population behind this atom.
How has the PSA 9 Pidgeot ex - Holo price moved recently?: Its TCGBerg fair value has risen 6.1% over the past 30 days.

PSA 8 commentary

The TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 8 Pidgeot ex - Holo is $15 as of 2026-09-28. 52 copies have been graded at this level. This valuation rests on moderate sales evidence. Over the past 30 days the TCGBerg fair value has risen 4.1%. The most recent recorded sale was $8 on 2026-08-23.

PSA 8 - frequently asked

What is the TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 8 Pidgeot ex - Holo?

$15 as of 2026-09-28, our model-derived fair value for a PSA 8 Pidgeot ex - Holo based on recent graded sales.

How rare is a PSA 8 Pidgeot ex - Holo?

52 copies have been graded at PSA 8, the graded population behind this atom.

How has the PSA 8 Pidgeot ex - Holo price moved recently?

Its TCGBerg fair value has risen 4.1% over the past 30 days.

Frequently asked

What is the TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 8 Pidgeot ex - Holo?: $15 as of 2026-09-28, our model-derived fair value for a PSA 8 Pidgeot ex - Holo based on recent graded sales.
How rare is a PSA 8 Pidgeot ex - Holo?: 52 copies have been graded at PSA 8, the graded population behind this atom.
How has the PSA 8 Pidgeot ex - Holo price moved recently?: Its TCGBerg fair value has risen 4.1% over the past 30 days.

PSA 7 commentary

The TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 7 Pidgeot ex - Holo is $13 as of 2026-09-28. 9 copies have been graded at this level. This valuation rests on sparse sales evidence. Over the past 30 days the TCGBerg fair value has risen 2.3%. The most recent recorded sale was $16 on 2026-07-01.

PSA 7 - frequently asked

What is the TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 7 Pidgeot ex - Holo?

$13 as of 2026-09-28, our model-derived fair value for a PSA 7 Pidgeot ex - Holo based on recent graded sales.

How rare is a PSA 7 Pidgeot ex - Holo?

9 copies have been graded at PSA 7, the graded population behind this atom.

How has the PSA 7 Pidgeot ex - Holo price moved recently?

Its TCGBerg fair value has risen 2.3% over the past 30 days.

Frequently asked

What is the TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 7 Pidgeot ex - Holo?: $13 as of 2026-09-28, our model-derived fair value for a PSA 7 Pidgeot ex - Holo based on recent graded sales.
How rare is a PSA 7 Pidgeot ex - Holo?: 9 copies have been graded at PSA 7, the graded population behind this atom.
How has the PSA 7 Pidgeot ex - Holo price moved recently?: Its TCGBerg fair value has risen 2.3% over the past 30 days.

PSA 6 commentary

The TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 6 Pidgeot ex - Holo is $10 as of 2026-09-28. 2 copies have been graded at this level. This valuation rests on sparse sales evidence. Over the past 30 days the TCGBerg fair value has fallen 1.3%. The most recent recorded sale was $10 on 2026-07-16.

PSA 6 - frequently asked

What is the TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 6 Pidgeot ex - Holo?

$10 as of 2026-09-28, our model-derived fair value for a PSA 6 Pidgeot ex - Holo based on recent graded sales.

How rare is a PSA 6 Pidgeot ex - Holo?

2 copies have been graded at PSA 6, the graded population behind this atom.

How has the PSA 6 Pidgeot ex - Holo price moved recently?

Its TCGBerg fair value has fallen 1.3% over the past 30 days.

Frequently asked

What is the TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 6 Pidgeot ex - Holo?: $10 as of 2026-09-28, our model-derived fair value for a PSA 6 Pidgeot ex - Holo based on recent graded sales.
How rare is a PSA 6 Pidgeot ex - Holo?: 2 copies have been graded at PSA 6, the graded population behind this atom.
How has the PSA 6 Pidgeot ex - Holo price moved recently?: Its TCGBerg fair value has fallen 1.3% over the past 30 days.

Every printing of Pidgeot ex and the indices that include this card in their constituent basket.

Indices containing this card

Parent set

Paldean Fates

Set total cap

$107.92M

Date

Grade

Price

Source

vs TCGBerg FV

Sep 27, 2026

Raw

tcgplayer

10.1%

Sep 27, 2026

Raw

tcgplayer

64.4%

Sep 26, 2026

Raw

tcgplayer

79.5%

Sep 26, 2026

Raw

tcgplayer

16.5%

Sep 26, 2026

Raw

tcgplayer

4.3%

Sep 26, 2026

Raw

tcgplayer

0.7%

Sep 26, 2026

Raw

tcgplayer

13.3%

Sep 25, 2026

Raw

tcgplayer

2.9%

Sep 25, 2026

Raw

tcgplayer

0.7%

Sep 25, 2026

Raw

tcgplayer

2.9%

PSA10

$83

351

$29.0K

0.2%

4.4%

Strong

$622w ago

PSA9

$18

425

$7.5K

0.1%

0.7%

6.1%

Strong

$194w ago

PSA8

$15

$758

0.0%

0.2%

4.1%

Moderate

$81mo ago

PSA7

$13

$117

0.0%

0.1%

2.3%

Sparse

$163mo ago

PSA6

$11

$21

0.0%

1.3%

Sparse

$112mo ago

Raw

0.7%

4.5%

Very strong

$3yesterday

Pidgeot ex #221, Holo, Paldean Fates

Active listings on eBayLive asking prices from eBay sellers. The delta shows how each ask compares to TCGBerg's quoted fair value for that grade. Verified deals are marked from the published analytics feed.

Behind the scenesHow the published fair value for this grade was produced: the estimates that fed it, their share of the starting mix, and every recorded change afterwards. It describes one saved calculation, not a live recomputation.

Recent sales10 tracked

All grades matrix

Price spectrum

Population & rarityHow Pidgeot ex's graded copies are spread across grades. Each bar is the number of copies graded at that grade; the percentage is that grade's share of the total graded population. Fewer copies at a grade = scarcer = a scarcity premium.

Relative valuation vs. indexBoth series are indexed to 100 at May 17, 2026, the index’s inception date, not the start of the selected range. A divergence means the card has outperformed or underperformed the index since then, by exactly the percentage-point gap.

About Paldean FatesParent set

Analysis

PSA 10 commentary

PSA 10 - frequently asked

PSA 9 commentary

PSA 9 - frequently asked

PSA 8 commentary

PSA 8 - frequently asked

PSA 7 commentary

PSA 7 - frequently asked

PSA 6 commentary

PSA 6 - frequently asked

Related

Indices containing this card

Parent set

Active listings on eBayLive asking prices from eBay sellers. The delta shows how each ask compares to TCGBerg's quoted fair value for that grade. Verified deals are marked from the published analytics feed.

Behind the scenesHow the published fair value for this grade was produced: the estimates that fed it, their share of the starting mix, and every recorded change afterwards. It describes one saved calculation, not a live recomputation.

Recent sales10 tracked

All grades matrix

Price spectrum

Population & rarityHow Pidgeot ex's graded copies are spread across grades. Each bar is the number of copies graded at that grade; the percentage is that grade's share of the total graded population. Fewer copies at a grade = scarcer = a scarcity premium.

Relative valuation vs. indexBoth series are indexed to 100 at May 17, 2026, the index’s inception date, not the start of the selected range. A divergence means the card has outperformed or underperformed the index since then, by exactly the percentage-point gap.

About Paldean FatesParent set

Analysis

PSA 10 commentary

PSA 10 - frequently asked

PSA 9 commentary

PSA 9 - frequently asked

PSA 8 commentary

PSA 8 - frequently asked

PSA 7 commentary

PSA 7 - frequently asked

PSA 6 commentary

PSA 6 - frequently asked

Related

Indices containing this card

Parent set

Active listings on eBay

Behind the scenes

Population & rarity

Relative valuation vs. index

Active listings on eBay

Behind the scenes

Population & rarity

Relative valuation vs. index