Pikachu ex #238, Special Illustration Rare, Surging Sparks
- Card number: #238/191
- ·Finish: Holo
A PSA 10 Pikachu ex #238 Special Illustration Rare from Surging Sparks has a TCGBerg fair value of $1,006 as of Nov 15, 2026. TCGBerg has recorded 43 PSA 10 sales of this card, the latest on Nov 8, 2026. PSA has graded 178 copies at PSA 10.
TCGBerg Algorithm (estimated from recorded sales).
- Population · PSA 10
- 178
- Market cap
- $179.1K
- Volatility
- 0.5%
- YTD
- ↑ 26.2%
- Sales evidence
- Strong
TCGBerg fair value · PSA 10
$1,006
Price history
Weekly fair value over time, plus a confidence band around it: how precisely we can pin the value, which tightens as more sales confirm it. Dots mark individual sales, snapped to their week: red when above fair value (a premium), green when below (a deal), hollow when flagged as an outlier. Switch the active grade with the selector above.Weekly fair value for PSA 10. Shaded area is the confidence band: how precisely we can pin the value; it tightens as more sales confirm it. Dots are individual sales. Confidence band: how precisely we can pin the fair value. It widens when sales scatter and narrows as more sales back the value up. The dots show the actual sale prices.
What the evidence says
The last PSA 10 sale, $511 on Nov 8, 2026, sits 49.2% below the $1,006 fair value. The value weighs 25 PSA 10 sales from the past year, not the latest one alone. Its confidence band runs from $977 to $1,035. A PSA 10 ($1,006) is worth 4.2 times a PSA 9 ($237). Over the past 30 days the PSA 10 value has fallen 0.3%.
TCGBerg fair value by grade
Side-by-side comparison of value across every grade and ungraded condition we track for this printing. The bar chart uses a log scale so raw and gem-mint fit on one axis. Solid bars are the TCGBerg fair value, modelled from recorded sales. Hatched bars are the latest market price instead, shown for ungraded conditions that trade too rarely for us to price one honestly.Value at each grade and ungraded condition. Log scale. Tap a row to switch the whole page.
- Raw LP$266Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value
- Raw NM$238Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value
- Raw HP$225Ungraded · market price
- Raw MP$220Ungraded · market price
- Raw Damaged$200Ungraded · market price
Behind the scenes
How the published fair value for this grade was produced: the sales it rests on, how they were put together, and every recorded change afterwards. It describes one saved calculation, not a live recomputation.What goes into this price, and how much we know.
Recent sales
20 trackedEach sale against the grade's fair value on the day it sold.
| Date | Grade | Venue | Price | vs fair value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | CGC Gem Mint 10 | Fanatics Collect | $320 | below fair value by -1.9% |
| Nov 11, 2026 | CGC Gem Mint 10 | Fanatics Collect | $350 | above fair value by +7.3% |
| Nov 8, 2026 | PSA10 | eBay | $511 | below fair value by -49.2% |
| Nov 5, 2026 | CGC Gem Mint 10 | eBay | $224 | below fair value by -25.7% |
| Nov 4, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $241 | above fair value by +0.9% |
- $320Nov 14, 2026 · via Fanatics CollectCGC Gem Mint 10↓below fair value by 1.9%
- $350Nov 11, 2026 · via Fanatics CollectCGC Gem Mint 10↑above fair value by 7.3%
- $511Nov 8, 2026 · via eBayPSA10↓below fair value by 49.2%
- $224Nov 5, 2026 · via eBayCGC Gem Mint 10↓below fair value by 25.7%
- $241Nov 4, 2026 · via tcgplayerRaw↑above fair value by 0.9%
| Nov 3, 2026 | CGC Pristine 10 | eBay | $834 | below fair value by -16.7% |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $230 | below fair value by -3.8% |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $243 | above fair value by +1.5% |
- $834CGC Pristine 10↓below fair value by 16.7%
- $230Raw↓below fair value by 3.8%
- $243Raw↑above fair value by 1.5%
15 more sales with Pro
Up to 20 recent sales, each with its venue and its gap to fair value.
↓Includes a sale 40.2% below fair value
All grades matrix
Every grade we track for this printing. Click any column header to sort; the rightmost column jumps you to listings for that grade.
- CGC Pristine 10$1,0091d ·0.0%7d ↑0.7%30d ↓7.5%
- Pop
- -
- Mcap
- -
- Evidence
- Very strong
- Last
- $834
- CGC Gem Mint 10$3261d ·0.0%7d ↑8.0%30d ↑5.7%
- Pop
- -
- Mcap
- -
- Evidence
- Very strong
- Last
- $320
- CGC9.5$2631d ·0.0%7d ↑0.3%30d ↓0.9%
- Pop
- -
- Mcap
- -
- Evidence
- Strong
- Last
- $250
| Listings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CGC Pristine 10 | $1,009 | - | - | 0.0% | ↑up 0.7% | ↓down 7.5% | - | Very strong | $8342w ago | |
| CGC Gem Mint 10 | $326 | - | - | 0.0% | ↑up 8.0% | ↑up 5.7% | - | Very strong | $320yesterday | |
| CGC9.5 | $263 | - | - | 0.0% | ↑up 0.3% | ↓down 0.9% | - | Strong | $2501mo ago | |
| BGS 10 Black Label | $23,552 | - | - | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | - | Sparse | $23,5526mo ago | |
| BGS 10 Pristine | $1,841 | - | - | 0.0% | ↓down 1.2% | ↓down 12.2% | - | Strong | $1,3382w ago | |
| BGS9.5 | $432 | - | - | 0.0% | ↑up 1.1% | ↑up 5.3% | - | Strong | $3854w ago | |
| PSA10 | $1,006 | 178 | $179.1K | ↑up 0.4% | 0.0% | ↓down 0.3% | ↓down 12.4% | Strong | $5111w ago | |
| PSA9 | $237 | 368 | $87.3K | ↑up 0.6% | ↑up 0.8% | ↑up 3.2% | ↓down 6.2% | Strong | $1961mo ago | |
| PSA8 | $202 | 76 | $15.4K | ↓down 3.8% | ↓down 3.8% | ↓down 0.6% | ↑up 2.4% | Limited | $2364mo ago | |
| PSA7 | $173 | 13 | $2.2K | ↓down 8.1% | ↓down 8.2% | ↓down 4.3% | ↑up 11.7% | Sparse | - | |
| PSA6 | $147 | 1 | $147 | ↓down 12.2% | ↓down 12.4% | ↓down 7.8% | ↑up 21.8% | Sparse | - | |
| Raw | $238 | - | - | - | ↑up 0.2% | ↓down 10.5% | - | Very strong | $2412w ago |
Graded population report
How Pikachu ex's graded copies are spread across grades. Each bar is the number of copies graded at that grade; the percentage is that grade's share of the total graded population. These are recorded graded copies, not the total print run. A smaller population alone does not establish a price premium.645 graded copies of Pikachu ex Special Illustration Rare across 10 grades. The selected grade is highlighted.
PSA 10 makes up 28% of graded copies: 178 of 645. PSA 9 is the most common grade (57%).
Analysis
Pikachu ex - Special Illustration Rare at BGS 10 Black Label carries a TCGBerg fair value of $23,552 as of 2026-11-15. We track a TCGBerg fair value across 11 grades from Surging Sparks, from PSA 6 up to BGS 10 Black Label. The BGS 10 Black Label valuation rests on sparse sales evidence.
