Pikachu V #TG16, Ultra Rare, Sword & Shield - Lost Origin
- LO

- ·Card number: #TG16
- ·Finish: Holo
A PSA 10 Pikachu V #TG16 Ultra Rare from Sword & Shield - Lost Origin has a TCGBerg fair value of $385 as of Nov 15, 2026. TCGBerg has recorded 668 PSA 10 sales of this card, the latest on Nov 10, 2026. PSA has graded 8,632 copies at PSA 10.
TCGBerg Algorithm (estimated from recorded sales).
- Population · PSA 10
- 8,632
- Market cap
- $3.33M
- Volatility
- 2.0%
- YTD
- ↑ 89.7%
- Sales evidence
- Very strong
TCGBerg fair value · PSA 10
$385
Price history
Weekly fair value over time, plus a confidence band around it: how precisely we can pin the value, which tightens as more sales confirm it. Dots mark individual sales, snapped to their week: red when above fair value (a premium), green when below (a deal), hollow when flagged as an outlier. Switch the active grade with the selector above.Weekly fair value for PSA 10. Shaded area is the confidence band: how precisely we can pin the value; it tightens as more sales confirm it. Dots are individual sales. Confidence band: how precisely we can pin the fair value. It widens when sales scatter and narrows as more sales back the value up. The dots show the actual sale prices.
What the evidence says
The latest recorded PSA 10 sale ($660 on Nov 10, 2026) sits 71.2% above the $385 fair value, too far off to read as this grade's price. The value weighs 28 PSA 10 sales from the past year, not the latest one alone. The latest sale ran above the recent run: the last 5 PSA 10 sales averaged $417, within 8.2% of the value. Its confidence band runs from $380 to $391. A PSA 10 ($385) is worth 3.6 times a PSA 9 ($106). Over the past 30 days the PSA 10 value has fallen 2.6%.
TCGBerg fair value by grade
Side-by-side comparison of value across every grade and ungraded condition we track for this printing. The bar chart uses a log scale so raw and gem-mint fit on one axis. Solid bars are the TCGBerg fair value, modelled from recorded sales. Hatched bars are the latest market price instead, shown for ungraded conditions that trade too rarely for us to price one honestly.Value at each grade and ungraded condition. Log scale. Tap a row to switch the whole page.
- Raw NM$104Ungraded · market price
- Raw LP$99Ungraded · market price
- Raw MP$93Ungraded · market price
- Raw HP$86Ungraded · market price
- Raw Damaged$58Ungraded · market price
Behind the scenes
How the published fair value for this grade was produced: the sales it rests on, how they were put together, and every recorded change afterwards. It describes one saved calculation, not a live recomputation.What goes into this price, and how much we know.
Recent sales
20 trackedEach sale against the grade's fair value on the day it sold.
| Date | Grade | Venue | Price | vs fair value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2026 | PSA9 | eBay | $91 | below fair value by -14.1% |
| Nov 10, 2026 | PSA8 | eBay | $86 | below fair value by -12.7% |
| Nov 10, 2026 | PSA9 | eBay | $90 | below fair value by -15.0% |
| Nov 10, 2026 | PSA9 | eBay | $108 | above fair value by +2.0% |
| Nov 10, 2026 | PSA10 | eBay | $660 | above fair value by +71.2% |
- $91Nov 12, 2026 · via eBayPSA9↓below fair value by 14.1%
- $86Nov 10, 2026 · via eBayPSA8↓below fair value by 12.7%
- $90Nov 10, 2026 · via eBayPSA9↓below fair value by 15.0%
- $108Nov 10, 2026 · via eBayPSA9↑above fair value by 2.0%
- $660Nov 10, 2026 · via eBayPSA10↑above fair value by 71.2%
| Nov 9, 2026 | PSA9 | eBay | $103 | below fair value by -3.2% |
| Nov 9, 2026 | PSA10 | Fanatics Collect | $348 | below fair value by -9.7% |
| Nov 9, 2026 | PSA10 | eBay | $318 | below fair value by -17.5% |
- $103PSA9↓below fair value by 3.2%
- $348PSA10↓below fair value by 9.7%
- $318PSA10↓below fair value by 17.5%
15 more sales with Pro
Up to 20 recent sales, each with its venue and its gap to fair value.
↓Includes a sale 17.5% below fair value
All grades matrix
Every grade we track for this printing. Click any column header to sort; the rightmost column jumps you to listings for that grade.
- CGC Pristine 10$3881d -7d -30d -
- Pop
- 122
- Mcap
- $47.3K
- Evidence
- Strong
- Last
- $384
- CGC Gem Mint 10$1401d -7d -30d -
- Pop
- 605
- Mcap
- $84.5K
- Evidence
- Strong
- Last
- $144
- CGC9.5$1221d -7d -30d -
- Pop
- 98
- Mcap
- $12.0K
- Evidence
- Limited
- Last
- $75
| Listings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CGC Pristine 10 | $388 | 122 | $47.3K | - | - | - | - | Strong | $3842mo ago | |
| CGC Gem Mint 10 | $140 | 605 | $84.5K | - | - | - | - | Strong | $1442mo ago | |
| CGC9.5 | $122 | 98 | $12.0K | - | - | - | - | Limited | $757mo ago | |
| BGS 10 Pristine | $290 | 16 | $4.6K | - | - | - | - | Sparse | $2902y ago | |
| BGS9.5 | $179 | 159 | $28.4K | - | - | - | - | Moderate | $2112mo ago | |
| PSA10 | $385 | 8,632 | $3.33M | ↑up 0.1% | ↓down 3.3% | ↓down 2.6% | ↓down 18.2% | Very strong | $6605d ago | |
| PSA9 | $106 | 6,308 | $668.1K | ↓down 0.6% | ↓down 5.0% | ↓down 17.5% | ↓down 28.6% | Very strong | $913d ago | |
| PSA8 | $98 | 1,272 | $125.3K | ↓down 0.1% | ↓down 1.2% | ↓down 0.2% | ↓down 23.9% | Very strong | $865d ago | |
| PSA7 | $71 | 233 | $16.5K | ↓down 0.1% | ↑up 2.0% | ↓down 2.6% | ↓down 14.2% | Moderate | $751mo ago | |
| PSA6 | $29 | 124 | $3.5K | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | Sparse | $272y ago | |
| Raw | $104 | - | - | 0.0% | ↓down 1.4% | ↓down 9.3% | ↓down 18.8% | - | - |
Graded population report
How Pikachu V's graded copies are spread across grades. Each bar is the number of copies graded at that grade; the percentage is that grade's share of the total graded population. These are recorded graded copies, not the total print run. A smaller population alone does not establish a price premium.18,805 graded copies of Pikachu V Ultra Rare across 38 grades. The selected grade is highlighted.
PSA 10 makes up 46% of graded copies: 8,632 of 18,805. It’s the most common grade for this card.
Analysis
Pikachu V - Ultra Rare at CGC Pristine 10 carries a TCGBerg fair value of $388 as of 2026-11-14. We track a TCGBerg fair value across 10 grades from Sword & Shield - Lost Origin, from PSA 6 up to CGC Pristine 10. A graded population of 122 copies sits behind the CGC Pristine 10 grade. The CGC Pristine 10 valuation rests on strong sales evidence.
