Pikachu #018, Normal, XY Starter Pack 2016
Japanese edition
- Card number: #018
- ·Rarity: Promo
- ·Finish: Promo
A PSA 10 Pikachu #018 Normal from XY Starter Pack 2016 has a TCGBerg fair value of $723 as of Nov 15, 2026. TCGBerg has recorded 22 PSA 10 sales of this card, the latest on Nov 7, 2026. PSA has graded 483 copies at PSA 10.
TCGBerg Algorithm (estimated from recorded sales).
- Population · PSA 10
- 483
- Market cap
- $349.4K
- Volatility
- 10.8%
- YTD
- -
- Sales evidence
- Strong
TCGBerg fair value · PSA 10
$723
Price history
Weekly fair value over time, plus a confidence band around it: how precisely we can pin the value, which tightens as more sales confirm it. Dots mark individual sales, snapped to their week: red when above fair value (a premium), green when below (a deal), hollow when flagged as an outlier. Switch the active grade with the selector above.Weekly fair value for PSA 10. Shaded area is the confidence band: how precisely we can pin the value; it tightens as more sales confirm it. Dots are individual sales. Confidence band: how precisely we can pin the fair value. It widens when sales scatter and narrows as more sales back the value up. The dots show the actual sale prices.
What the evidence says
The last PSA 10 sale, $434 on Nov 7, 2026, sits 40.0% below the $723 fair value. The value weighs 23 PSA 10 sales from the past year, not the latest one alone. The latest sale ran below the recent run: the last 5 PSA 10 sales averaged $613, within 15.2% of the value. Its confidence band runs from $645 to $801. A PSA 10 ($723) is worth 4.1 times a PSA 9 ($178). Over the past 30 days the PSA 10 value has fallen 22.8%.
TCGBerg fair value by grade
Side-by-side comparison of value across every grade and ungraded condition we track for this printing. The bar chart uses a log scale so raw and gem-mint fit on one axis. Solid bars are the TCGBerg fair value, modelled from recorded sales. Hatched bars are the latest market price instead, shown for ungraded conditions that trade too rarely for us to price one honestly.Value at each grade and ungraded condition. Log scale. Tap a row to switch the whole page.
Behind the scenes
How the published fair value for this grade was produced: the sales it rests on, how they were put together, and every recorded change afterwards. It describes one saved calculation, not a live recomputation.What goes into this price, and how much we know.
Recent sales
20 trackedEach sale against the grade's fair value on the day it sold.
| Date | Grade | Venue | Price | vs fair value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | PSA9 | eBay | $160 | below fair value by -16.2% |
| Nov 7, 2026 | PSA10 | eBay | $434 | below fair value by -48.1% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | PSA10 | eBay | $675 | below fair value by -17.3% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | PSA10 | eBay | $675 | below fair value by -17.3% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | PSA8 | eBay | $86 | above fair value by +25.3% |
- $160Nov 8, 2026 · via eBayPSA9↓below fair value by 16.2%
- $434Nov 7, 2026 · via eBayPSA10↓below fair value by 48.1%
- $675Oct 22, 2026 · via eBayPSA10↓below fair value by 17.3%
- $675Oct 22, 2026 · via eBayPSA10↓below fair value by 17.3%
- $86Oct 21, 2026 · via eBayPSA8↑above fair value by 25.3%
| Oct 10, 2026 | PSA9 | eBay | $174 | below fair value by -3.5% |
| Oct 10, 2026 | PSA9 | eBay | $182 | above fair value by +1.0% |
| Oct 10, 2026 | PSA9 | eBay | $181 | above fair value by +0.3% |
- $174PSA9↓below fair value by 3.5%
- $182PSA9↑above fair value by 1.0%
- $181PSA9↑above fair value by 0.3%
15 more sales with Pro
Up to 20 recent sales, each with its venue and its gap to fair value.
↓Includes a sale 57.4% below fair value
All grades matrix
Every grade we track for this printing. Click any column header to sort; the rightmost column jumps you to listings for that grade.
- PSA10$7231d ↑1.1%7d ↓13.4%30d ↓22.8%
- Pop
- 483
- Mcap
- $349.4K
- Evidence
- Strong
- Last
- $434
- PSA9$1781d ·0.0%7d ↓6.8%30d ↓1.4%
- Pop
- 136
- Mcap
- $24.2K
- Evidence
- Very strong
- Last
- $160
- PSA8$681d ·0.0%7d ·0.0%30d ↑87.9%
- Pop
- 25
- Mcap
- $1.7K
- Evidence
- Moderate
- Last
- $86
| PSA10 | $723 | 483 | $349.4K | ↑up 1.1% | ↓down 13.4% | ↓down 22.8% | ↓down 36.5% | Strong | $4341w ago |
| PSA9 | $178 | 136 | $24.2K | 0.0% | ↓down 6.8% | ↓down 1.4% | ↑up 267.6% | Very strong | $1601w ago |
| PSA8 | $68 | 25 | $1.7K | 0.0% | 0.0% | ↑up 87.9% | ↑up 87.9% | Moderate | $864w ago |
| PSA7 | $33 | 4 | $131 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | Sparse | $398mo ago |
| PSA6 | $16 | 10 | $156 | 0.0% | 0.0% | ↓down 46.8% | ↓down 46.8% | Sparse | - |
PSA population report
How Pikachu's graded copies are spread across grades. Each bar is the number of copies graded at that grade; the percentage is that grade's share of the total graded population. These are recorded graded copies, not the total print run. A smaller population alone does not establish a price premium.658 graded copies of Pikachu Normal across 5 grades. The selected grade is highlighted.
PSA 10 makes up 73% of graded copies: 483 of 658. It’s the most common grade for this card.
Analysis
Pikachu at PSA 10 carries a TCGBerg fair value of $723 as of 2026-11-14. We track a TCGBerg fair value across 5 grades from XY Starter Pack 2016, from PSA 6 up to PSA 10. A graded population of 483 copies sits behind the PSA 10 grade. The PSA 10 valuation rests on strong sales evidence. Over the past 30 days, the PSA 10 TCGBerg fair value has fallen 22.8%.