Ponyta #012, Normal, XY Starter Pack 2016
Japanese edition
- Card number: #012
- ·Rarity: Promo
- ·Finish: Promo
A PSA 10 Ponyta #012 Normal from XY Starter Pack 2016 has a TCGBerg fair value of $99 as of Nov 15, 2026. TCGBerg has recorded 6 PSA 10 sales of this card, the latest on Oct 30, 2026. PSA has graded 44 copies at PSA 10.
TCGBerg Algorithm (estimated from recorded sales).
- Population · PSA 10
- 44
- Market cap
- $4.4K
- Volatility
- 3.4%
- YTD
- -
- Sales evidence
- Strong
TCGBerg fair value · PSA 10
$99
Price history
Weekly fair value over time, plus a confidence band around it: how precisely we can pin the value, which tightens as more sales confirm it. Dots mark individual sales, snapped to their week: red when above fair value (a premium), green when below (a deal), hollow when flagged as an outlier. Switch the active grade with the selector above.Weekly fair value for PSA 10. Shaded area is the confidence band: how precisely we can pin the value; it tightens as more sales confirm it. Dots are individual sales. Confidence band: how precisely we can pin the fair value. It widens when sales scatter and narrows as more sales back the value up. The dots show the actual sale prices.
What the evidence says
The last PSA 10 sale, $100 on Oct 30, 2026, is in line with the $99 fair value (1.0% above). The value weighs 4 PSA 10 sales from the past year, not the latest one alone. Its confidence band runs from $95 to $103. A PSA 10 ($99) is worth 3.5 times a PSA 9 ($28). Over the past 30 days the PSA 10 value has risen 10.7%.
TCGBerg fair value by grade
Side-by-side comparison of value across every grade and ungraded condition we track for this printing. The bar chart uses a log scale so raw and gem-mint fit on one axis. Solid bars are the TCGBerg fair value, modelled from recorded sales. Hatched bars are the latest market price instead, shown for ungraded conditions that trade too rarely for us to price one honestly.Value at each grade and ungraded condition. Log scale. Tap a row to switch the whole page.
Behind the scenes
How the published fair value for this grade was produced: the sales it rests on, how they were put together, and every recorded change afterwards. It describes one saved calculation, not a live recomputation.What goes into this price, and how much we know.
Recent sales
6 trackedEach sale against the grade's fair value on the day it sold.
| Date | Grade | Venue | Price | vs fair value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | PSA10 | eBay | $100 | above fair value by +1.3% |
| Oct 26, 2026 | PSA10 | Fanatics Collect | $144 | above fair value by +45.8% |
| Aug 28, 2026 | PSA10 | eBay | $100 | below fair value by -0.6% |
| May 23, 2026 | PSA10 | eBay | $96 | below fair value by -2.0% |
| Mar 14, 2026 | PSA10 | eBay | $80 | below fair value by -18.6% |
- $100Oct 30, 2026 · via eBayPSA10↑above fair value by 1.3%
- $144Oct 26, 2026 · via Fanatics CollectPSA10↑above fair value by 45.8%
- $100Aug 28, 2026 · via eBayPSA10↓below fair value by 0.6%
- $96May 23, 2026 · via eBayPSA10↓below fair value by 2.0%
- $80Mar 14, 2026 · via eBayPSA10↓below fair value by 18.6%
| Feb 9, 2026 | PSA10 | eBay | $46 | below fair value by -53.2% |
- $46PSA10↓below fair value by 53.2%
1 more sale with Pro
Up to 20 recent sales, each with its venue and its gap to fair value.
↓Includes a sale 53.2% below fair value
All grades matrix
Every grade we track for this printing. Click any column header to sort; the rightmost column jumps you to listings for that grade.
- PSA10$991d ↑0.3%7d ↓0.5%30d ↑10.7%
- Pop
- 44
- Mcap
- $4.4K
- Evidence
- Strong
- Last
- $100
- PSA9$281d ↓1.5%7d ↑5.0%30d ↑19.8%
- Pop
- 3
- Mcap
- $85
- Evidence
- Sparse
- Last
- -
- PSA8$9.401d ↓1.6%7d ↑5.0%30d ↑19.7%
- Pop
- 0
- Mcap
- -
- Evidence
- Sparse
- Last
- -
| PSA10 | $99 | 44 | $4.4K | ↑up 0.3% | ↓down 0.5% | ↑up 10.7% | ↓down 6.7% | Strong | $1002w ago |
| PSA9 | $28 | 3 | $85 | ↓down 1.5% | ↑up 5.0% | ↑up 19.8% | ↑up 22.9% | Sparse | - |
| PSA8 | $9.40 | 0 | - | ↓down 1.6% | ↑up 5.0% | ↑up 19.7% | ↑up 22.9% | Sparse | - |
| PSA7 | $9.40 | 0 | - | ↓down 1.6% | ↑up 5.0% | ↑up 19.7% | ↑up 22.9% | Sparse | - |
| PSA6 | $9.40 | 0 | - | ↓down 1.6% | ↑up 5.0% | ↑up 19.7% | ↑up 22.9% | Sparse | - |
PSA population report
How Ponyta's graded copies are spread across grades. Each bar is the number of copies graded at that grade; the percentage is that grade's share of the total graded population. These are recorded graded copies, not the total print run. A smaller population alone does not establish a price premium.47 graded copies of Ponyta Normal across 2 grades. The selected grade is highlighted.
PSA 10 makes up 94% of graded copies: 44 of 47. It’s the most common grade for this card.
Analysis
Ponyta at PSA 10 carries a TCGBerg fair value of $99 as of 2026-11-14. We track a TCGBerg fair value across 5 grades from XY Starter Pack 2016, from PSA 8 up to PSA 10. A graded population of 44 copies sits behind the PSA 10 grade. The PSA 10 valuation rests on strong sales evidence. Over the past 30 days, the PSA 10 TCGBerg fair value has risen 10.7%.