Sceptile GX #196, Ultra Rare, Sun & Moon - Lost Thunder
- LT

- ·Card number: #196/214
- ·Finish: Holo
A PSA 10 Sceptile GX #196 Ultra Rare from Sun & Moon - Lost Thunder has a TCGBerg fair value of $731 as of Nov 15, 2026. TCGBerg has recorded 19 PSA 10 sales of this card, the latest on Oct 24, 2026. PSA has graded 92 copies at PSA 10.
TCGBerg Algorithm (estimated from recorded sales).
- Population · PSA 10
- 92
- Market cap
- $67.3K
- Volatility
- 9.5%
- YTD
- ↑ 221.6%
- Sales evidence
- Moderate
TCGBerg fair value · PSA 10
$731
Price history
Weekly fair value over time, plus a confidence band around it: how precisely we can pin the value, which tightens as more sales confirm it. Dots mark individual sales, snapped to their week: red when above fair value (a premium), green when below (a deal), hollow when flagged as an outlier. Switch the active grade with the selector above.Weekly fair value for PSA 10. Shaded area is the confidence band: how precisely we can pin the value; it tightens as more sales confirm it. Dots are individual sales. Confidence band: how precisely we can pin the fair value. It widens when sales scatter and narrows as more sales back the value up. The dots show the actual sale prices.
What the evidence says
The latest recorded PSA 10 sale ($1,200 on Oct 24, 2026) sits 64.1% above the $731 fair value, too far off to read as this grade's price. The value weighs 19 PSA 10 sales from the past year, not the latest one alone. The latest sale ran above the recent run: the last 5 PSA 10 sales averaged $788, within 7.8% of the value. Its confidence band runs from $671 to $792. A PSA 10 ($731) is worth 6.7 times a PSA 9 ($109). Over the past 30 days the PSA 10 value has risen 25.3%.
TCGBerg fair value by grade
Side-by-side comparison of value across every grade and ungraded condition we track for this printing. The bar chart uses a log scale so raw and gem-mint fit on one axis. Solid bars are the TCGBerg fair value, modelled from recorded sales. Hatched bars are the latest market price instead, shown for ungraded conditions that trade too rarely for us to price one honestly.Value at each grade and ungraded condition. Log scale. Tap a row to switch the whole page.
- Raw NM$24Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value
- Raw LP$20Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value
- Raw MP$14Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value
- Raw HP$6.73Ungraded · market price
- Raw Damaged$5.00Ungraded · market price
Behind the scenes
How the published fair value for this grade was produced: the sales it rests on, how they were put together, and every recorded change afterwards. It describes one saved calculation, not a live recomputation.What goes into this price, and how much we know.
Recent sales
20 trackedEach sale against the grade's fair value on the day it sold.
| Date | Grade | Venue | Price | vs fair value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $24 | below fair value by -0.2% |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $24 | below fair value by -0.2% |
| Oct 27, 2026 | PSA8 | eBay | $45 | below fair value by -6.3% |
| Oct 25, 2026 | PSA8 | Fanatics Collect | $83 | above fair value by +112.0% |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $24 | above fair value by +0.2% |
- $24Nov 7, 2026 · via tcgplayerRaw↓below fair value by 0.2%
- $24Nov 7, 2026 · via tcgplayerRaw↓below fair value by 0.2%
- $45Oct 27, 2026 · via eBayPSA8↓below fair value by 6.3%
- $83Oct 25, 2026 · via Fanatics CollectPSA8↑above fair value by 112.0%
- $24Oct 25, 2026 · via tcgplayerRaw↑above fair value by 0.2%
| Oct 24, 2026 | PSA10 | eBay | $1,200 | above fair value by +64.7% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $22 | below fair value by -6.8% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $39 | above fair value by +63.3% |
- $1,200PSA10↑above fair value by 64.7%
- $22Raw↓below fair value by 6.8%
- $39Raw↑above fair value by 63.3%
15 more sales with Pro
Up to 20 recent sales, each with its venue and its gap to fair value.
↓Includes a sale 9.2% below fair value
All grades matrix
Every grade we track for this printing. Click any column header to sort; the rightmost column jumps you to listings for that grade.
- CGC Gem Mint 10$311d ↓4.6%7d ↓4.6%30d ↓4.6%
- Pop
- -
- Mcap
- -
- Evidence
- Sparse
- Last
- $31
- PSA10$7311d ·0.0%7d ↑0.4%30d ↑25.3%
- Pop
- 92
- Mcap
- $67.3K
- Evidence
- Moderate
- Last
- $1,200
- PSA9$1091d ·0.0%7d ↓1.2%30d ↑22.0%
- Pop
- 153
- Mcap
- $16.6K
- Evidence
- Limited
- Last
- $90
| CGC Gem Mint 10 | $31 | - | - | ↓down 4.6% | ↓down 4.6% | ↓down 4.6% | ↓down 4.6% | Sparse | $314mo ago |
| PSA10 | $731 | 92 | $67.3K | 0.0% | ↑up 0.4% | ↑up 25.3% | ↑up 103.7% | Moderate | $1,2003w ago |
| PSA9 | $109 | 153 | $16.6K | 0.0% | ↓down 1.2% | ↑up 22.0% | ↑up 27.1% | Limited | $901mo ago |
| PSA8 | $47 | 44 | $2.1K | ↑up 0.8% | ↓down 2.1% | ↑up 32.7% | ↑up 60.8% | Limited | $453w ago |
| PSA7 | $33 | 7 | $230 | 0.0% | 0.0% | ↓down 2.8% | ↑up 19.4% | Sparse | $274mo ago |
| PSA6 | $33 | 8 | $262 | 0.0% | 0.0% | ↑up 8.1% | ↑up 19.6% | Sparse | $371y ago |
| Raw | $24 | - | - | - | ↓down 0.5% | ↓down 1.0% | - | Very strong | $241w ago |
Graded population report
How Sceptile GX's graded copies are spread across grades. Each bar is the number of copies graded at that grade; the percentage is that grade's share of the total graded population. These are recorded graded copies, not the total print run. A smaller population alone does not establish a price premium.307 graded copies of Sceptile GX Ultra Rare across 7 grades. The selected grade is highlighted.
PSA 10 makes up 30% of graded copies: 92 of 307. PSA 9 is the most common grade (50%).
Analysis
Sceptile GX - Ultra Rare at PSA 10 carries a TCGBerg fair value of $731 as of 2026-11-14. We track a TCGBerg fair value across 6 grades from Sun & Moon - Lost Thunder, from CGC Gem Mint 10 up to PSA 10. A graded population of 92 copies sits behind the PSA 10 grade. The PSA 10 valuation rests on moderate sales evidence. Over the past 30 days, the PSA 10 TCGBerg fair value has risen 25.3%.