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Sceptile GX #196, Ultra Rare, Sun & Moon - Lost Thunder

  • Card number: #196/214
  • Finish: Holo

A PSA 10 Sceptile GX #196 Ultra Rare from Sun & Moon - Lost Thunder has a TCGBerg fair value of $731 as of Nov 15, 2026. TCGBerg has recorded 19 PSA 10 sales of this card, the latest on Oct 24, 2026. PSA has graded 92 copies at PSA 10.

TCGBerg fair valuePSA 10
As of Nov 15, 2026
$731up 25.3%30-day change

TCGBerg Algorithm (estimated from recorded sales).

Fair value3 months
Last sale$1,200Oct 24, 202664.1% above fair
5-sale avg$788Sep 4Oct 24
Population · PSA 10
92
Market cap
$67.3K
Volatility
9.5%
YTD
↑ 221.6%
Sales evidence
Moderate

TCGBerg fair value · PSA 10

$731

30D25.3%YTD221.6%
Sales evidenceModerate
Market cap
$67.3K
fair value x population
Population
92
graded copies
Last sale
$1,200
+64.1% vs fair
5-sale avg
$788
recent sales
Grading

Price history

Open terminalPro

Weekly fair value for PSA 10.

What the evidence says

The latest recorded PSA 10 sale ($1,200 on Oct 24, 2026) sits 64.1% above the $731 fair value, too far off to read as this grade's price. The value weighs 19 PSA 10 sales from the past year, not the latest one alone. The latest sale ran above the recent run: the last 5 PSA 10 sales averaged $788, within 7.8% of the value. Its confidence band runs from $671 to $792. A PSA 10 ($731) is worth 6.7 times a PSA 9 ($109). Over the past 30 days the PSA 10 value has risen 25.3%.

TCGBerg fair value by grade

Value at each grade and ungraded condition. Log scale. Tap a row to switch the whole page.

  • Raw NM$24Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value
  • Raw LP$20Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value
  • Raw MP$14Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value
  • Raw HP$6.73Ungraded · market price
  • Raw Damaged$5.00Ungraded · market price
hatched = market price, not a TCGBerg fair value

Behind the scenes

What goes into this price, and how much we know.

Recent sales

20 tracked

Each sale against the grade's fair value on the day it sold.

  • $24
    Nov 7, 2026 · via tcgplayer
    Rawbelow fair value by 0.2%
  • $24
    Nov 7, 2026 · via tcgplayer
    Rawbelow fair value by 0.2%
  • $45
    Oct 27, 2026 · via eBay
    PSA8below fair value by 6.3%
  • $83
    Oct 25, 2026 · via Fanatics Collect
    PSA8above fair value by 112.0%
  • $24
    Oct 25, 2026 · via tcgplayer
    Rawabove fair value by 0.2%

15 more sales with Pro

Up to 20 recent sales, each with its venue and its gap to fair value.

Includes a sale 9.2% below fair value

All grades matrix

Every grade we track for this printing.

  • CGC Gem Mint 10$31
    1d 4.6%7d 4.6%30d 4.6%
    Pop
    -
    Mcap
    -
    Evidence
    Sparse
    Last
    $31
  • PSA10$731
    1d 0.0%7d 0.4%30d 25.3%
    Pop
    92
    Mcap
    $67.3K
    Evidence
    Moderate
    Last
    $1,200
  • PSA9$109
    1d 0.0%7d 1.2%30d 22.0%
    Pop
    153
    Mcap
    $16.6K
    Evidence
    Limited
    Last
    $90
CGC Gem Mint 10$31--down 4.6%down 4.6%down 4.6%Sparse$314mo ago
PSA10$73192$67.3Kup 0.4%up 25.3%up 103.7%Moderate$1,2003w ago
PSA9$109153$16.6Kdown 1.2%up 22.0%up 27.1%Limited$901mo ago
PSA8$4744$2.1Kdown 2.1%up 32.7%up 60.8%Limited$453w ago
PSA7$337$2300.0%down 2.8%up 19.4%Sparse$274mo ago
PSA6$338$2620.0%up 8.1%up 19.6%Sparse$371y ago
Raw$24--down 0.5%down 1.0%-Very strong$241w ago

Graded population report

307 graded copies of Sceptile GX Ultra Rare across 7 grades.

PSA 10
92 · 30%
PSA 9
153 · 50%
PSA 8
44 · 14%
PSA 7
7 · 2.3%
PSA 6
8 · 2.6%
PSA 5
1 · 0.3%
PSA 1
2 · 0.7%

PSA 10 makes up 30% of graded copies: 92 of 307. PSA 9 is the most common grade (50%).

Analysis

Sceptile GX - Ultra Rare at PSA 10 carries a TCGBerg fair value of $731 as of 2026-11-14. We track a TCGBerg fair value across 6 grades from Sun & Moon - Lost Thunder, from CGC Gem Mint 10 up to PSA 10. A graded population of 92 copies sits behind the PSA 10 grade. The PSA 10 valuation rests on moderate sales evidence. Over the past 30 days, the PSA 10 TCGBerg fair value has risen 25.3%.

PSA 10 - frequently asked

How much is a PSA 10 Sceptile GX - Ultra Rare from Sun & Moon - Lost Thunder worth?
$731 as of 2026-11-14, the model-derived TCGBerg fair value for a PSA 10 Sceptile GX - Ultra Rare from Sun & Moon - Lost Thunder. It rests on moderate sales evidence. This estimate is not a guaranteed sale price.
What is the graded population of a PSA 10 Sceptile GX - Ultra Rare from Sun & Moon - Lost Thunder?
92 copies have been graded at PSA 10, the recorded graded population, not the number of copies printed.
How has the PSA 10 Sceptile GX - Ultra Rare from Sun & Moon - Lost Thunder price moved recently?
Its TCGBerg fair value has risen 25.3% over the past 30 days.