Shiinotic #194, Illustration Rare, Surging Sparks
- Card number: #194/191
- ·Finish: Holo
A CGC Gem Mint 10 Shiinotic #194 Illustration Rare from Surging Sparks has a TCGBerg fair value of $19 as of Nov 15, 2026. TCGBerg has recorded 6 CGC Gem Mint 10 sales of this card, the latest on Oct 4, 2026.
TCGBerg Algorithm (estimated from recorded sales).
- Population · CGC Gem Mint 10
- -
- Market cap
- -
- Volatility
- 0.7%
- YTD
- -
- Sales evidence
- Strong
TCGBerg fair value · CGC Gem Mint 10
$19
Price history
Weekly fair value over time, plus a confidence band around it: how precisely we can pin the value, which tightens as more sales confirm it. Dots mark individual sales, snapped to their week: red when above fair value (a premium), green when below (a deal), hollow when flagged as an outlier. Switch the active grade with the selector above.Weekly fair value for CGC Gem Mint 10. Shaded area is the confidence band: how precisely we can pin the value; it tightens as more sales confirm it. Dots are individual sales. Confidence band: how precisely we can pin the fair value. It widens when sales scatter and narrows as more sales back the value up. The dots show the actual sale prices.
What the evidence says
The last CGC Gem Mint 10 sale, $23 on Oct 4, 2026, sits 20.0% above the $19 fair value. The value weighs 6 CGC Gem Mint 10 sales from the past year, not the latest one alone. The latest sale ran above the recent run: the last 5 CGC Gem Mint 10 sales averaged $19, within 1.3% of the value. Its confidence band runs from $18 to $20. Over the past 30 days the CGC Gem Mint 10 value has risen 0.5%.
TCGBerg fair value by grade
Side-by-side comparison of value across every grade and ungraded condition we track for this printing. The bar chart uses a log scale so raw and gem-mint fit on one axis. Solid bars are the TCGBerg fair value, modelled from recorded sales. Hatched bars are the latest market price instead, shown for ungraded conditions that trade too rarely for us to price one honestly.Value at each grade and ungraded condition. Log scale. Tap a row to switch the whole page.
- Raw LP$3.76Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value
- Raw Damaged$3.52Ungraded · market price
- Raw NM$3.09Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value
- Raw MP$3.00Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value
- Raw HP$1.65Ungraded · market price
Behind the scenes
How the published fair value for this grade was produced: the sales it rests on, how they were put together, and every recorded change afterwards. It describes one saved calculation, not a live recomputation.What goes into this price, and how much we know.
Recent sales
20 trackedEach sale against the grade's fair value on the day it sold.
| Date | Grade | Venue | Price | vs fair value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $2.99 | below fair value by -3.2% |
| Nov 12, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $2.50 | below fair value by -19.1% |
| Nov 12, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $2.00 | below fair value by -35.3% |
| Nov 5, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $2.70 | below fair value by -15.1% |
| Nov 4, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $3.41 | above fair value by +7.2% |
- $2.99Nov 12, 2026 · via tcgplayerRaw↓below fair value by 3.2%
- $2.50Nov 12, 2026 · via tcgplayerRaw↓below fair value by 19.1%
- $2.00Nov 12, 2026 · via tcgplayerRaw↓below fair value by 35.3%
- $2.70Nov 5, 2026 · via tcgplayerRaw↓below fair value by 15.1%
- $3.41Nov 4, 2026 · via tcgplayerRaw↑above fair value by 7.2%
| Nov 4, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $3.39 | above fair value by +6.6% |
| Nov 4, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $3.34 | above fair value by +5.0% |
| Nov 4, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $3.41 | above fair value by +7.2% |
- $3.39Raw↑above fair value by 6.6%
- $3.34Raw↑above fair value by 5.0%
- $3.41Raw↑above fair value by 7.2%
15 more sales with Pro
Up to 20 recent sales, each with its venue and its gap to fair value.
↓Includes a sale 40.5% below fair value
All grades matrix
Every grade we track for this printing. Click any column header to sort; the rightmost column jumps you to listings for that grade.
- CGC Gem Mint 10$191d ↑1.1%7d ↓1.5%30d ↑0.5%
- Pop
- -
- Mcap
- -
- Evidence
- Strong
- Last
- $23
- PSA10$291d ↑16.4%7d ↑17.2%30d ↑15.5%
- Pop
- 0
- Mcap
- -
- Evidence
- Sparse
- Last
- -
- PSA9$201d ↑0.1%7d ↑0.3%30d ↑1.9%
- Pop
- 5
- Mcap
- $98
- Evidence
- Sparse
- Last
- $20
| Listings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CGC Gem Mint 10 | $19 | - | - | ↑up 1.1% | ↓down 1.5% | ↑up 0.5% | - | Strong | $231mo ago | |
| PSA10 | $29 | 0 | - | ↑up 16.4% | ↑up 17.2% | ↑up 15.5% | - | Sparse | - | |
| PSA9 | $20 | 5 | $98 | ↑up 0.1% | ↑up 0.3% | ↑up 1.9% | - | Sparse | $201mo ago | |
| PSA8 | $13 | 1 | $13 | ↓down 13.9% | ↓down 14.3% | ↓down 10.1% | - | Sparse | - | |
| PSA7 | $8.68 | 0 | - | ↓down 26.1% | ↓down 26.8% | ↓down 20.7% | - | Sparse | - | |
| PSA6 | $5.79 | 0 | - | ↓down 36.4% | ↓down 37.3% | ↓down 30.0% | - | Sparse | - | |
| Raw | $3.09 | - | - | - | ↓down 2.8% | ↓down 14.6% | - | Very strong | $2.993d ago |
PSA population report
How Shiinotic's graded copies are spread across grades. Each bar is the number of copies graded at that grade; the percentage is that grade's share of the total graded population. These are recorded graded copies, not the total print run. A smaller population alone does not establish a price premium.6 graded copies of Shiinotic Illustration Rare across 2 grades.
PSA 9 is the most common grade (83%).
Analysis
Shiinotic - Illustration Rare at PSA 10 carries a TCGBerg fair value of $29 as of 2026-11-15. We track a TCGBerg fair value across 6 grades from Surging Sparks, from PSA 6 up to PSA 10. The PSA 10 valuation rests on sparse sales evidence. Over the past 30 days, the PSA 10 TCGBerg fair value has risen 15.5%.