Surfing Pikachu #111, Secret, XY - Evolutions
- EVO

- ·Card number: #111/108
- ·Rarity: Secret Rare
- ·Finish: Holo
A PSA 10 Surfing Pikachu #111 Secret from XY - Evolutions has a TCGBerg fair value of $496 as of Nov 14, 2026. TCGBerg has recorded 44 PSA 10 sales of this card, the latest on Nov 11, 2026. PSA has graded 1,957 copies at PSA 10.
TCGBerg Algorithm (estimated from recorded sales).
- Population · PSA 10
- 1,957
- Market cap
- $970.6K
- Volatility
- 2.5%
- YTD
- -
- Sales evidence
- Very strong
TCGBerg fair value · PSA 10
$496
Price history
Weekly fair value over time, plus a confidence band around it: how precisely we can pin the value, which tightens as more sales confirm it. Dots mark individual sales, snapped to their week: red when above fair value (a premium), green when below (a deal), hollow when flagged as an outlier. Switch the active grade with the selector above.Weekly fair value for PSA 10. Shaded area is the confidence band: how precisely we can pin the value; it tightens as more sales confirm it. Dots are individual sales. Confidence band: how precisely we can pin the fair value. It widens when sales scatter and narrows as more sales back the value up. The dots show the actual sale prices.
What the evidence says
The last PSA 10 sale, $565 on Nov 11, 2026, sits 13.9% above the $496 fair value. The value weighs 30 PSA 10 sales from the past year, not the latest one alone. The latest sale ran above the recent run: the last 5 PSA 10 sales averaged $482, within 2.8% of the value. Its confidence band runs from $484 to $508. A PSA 10 ($496) is worth 6.6 times a PSA 9 ($75). Over the past 30 days the PSA 10 value has risen 2.7%.
TCGBerg fair value by grade
Side-by-side comparison of value across every grade and ungraded condition we track for this printing. The bar chart uses a log scale so raw and gem-mint fit on one axis. Solid bars are the TCGBerg fair value, modelled from recorded sales. Hatched bars are the latest market price instead, shown for ungraded conditions that trade too rarely for us to price one honestly.Value at each grade and ungraded condition. Log scale. Tap a row to switch the whole page.
- Raw NM$9.75Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value
- Raw LP$7.37Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value
- Raw MP$4.99Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value
- Raw HP$4.91Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value
- Raw Damaged$3.39Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value
Behind the scenes
How the published fair value for this grade was produced: the sales it rests on, how they were put together, and every recorded change afterwards. It describes one saved calculation, not a live recomputation.What goes into this price, and how much we know.
Recent sales
20 trackedEach sale against the grade's fair value on the day it sold.
| Date | Grade | Venue | Price | vs fair value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2026 | PSA9 | eBay | $66 | below fair value by -12.2% |
| Nov 12, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $8.33 | below fair value by -14.6% |
| Nov 12, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $8.33 | below fair value by -14.6% |
| Nov 12, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $8.00 | below fair value by -17.9% |
| Nov 12, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $8.35 | below fair value by -14.4% |
- $66Nov 12, 2026 · via eBayPSA9↓below fair value by 12.2%
- $8.33Nov 12, 2026 · via tcgplayerRaw↓below fair value by 14.6%
- $8.33Nov 12, 2026 · via tcgplayerRaw↓below fair value by 14.6%
- $8.00Nov 12, 2026 · via tcgplayerRaw↓below fair value by 17.9%
- $8.35Nov 12, 2026 · via tcgplayerRaw↓below fair value by 14.4%
| Nov 12, 2026 | Raw | tcgplayer | $6.89 | below fair value by -29.3% |
| Nov 11, 2026 | PSA9 | eBay | $75 | above fair value by +0.5% |
| Nov 11, 2026 | PSA9 | eBay | $53 | below fair value by -29.0% |
- $6.89Raw↓below fair value by 29.3%
- $75PSA9↑above fair value by 0.5%
- $53PSA9↓below fair value by 29.0%
15 more sales with Pro
Up to 20 recent sales, each with its venue and its gap to fair value.
↓Includes a sale 29.3% below fair value
All grades matrix
Every grade we track for this printing. Click any column header to sort; the rightmost column jumps you to listings for that grade.
- CGC Gem Mint 10$2251d ·0.0%7d ↓0.5%30d ↑2.5%
- Pop
- -
- Mcap
- -
- Evidence
- Sparse
- Last
- $150
- PSA10$4961d ↑0.1%7d ↓2.2%30d ↑2.7%
- Pop
- 1,957
- Mcap
- $970.6K
- Evidence
- Very strong
- Last
- $565
- PSA9$751d ↓0.1%7d ↓4.4%30d ↑8.1%
- Pop
- 4,938
- Mcap
- $368.5K
- Evidence
- Very strong
- Last
- $66
| Listings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CGC Gem Mint 10 | $225 | - | - | 0.0% | ↓down 0.5% | ↑up 2.5% | - | Sparse | $1507mo ago | |
| PSA10 | $496 | 1,957 | $970.6K | ↑up 0.1% | ↓down 2.2% | ↑up 2.7% | ↓down 11.2% | Very strong | $5653d ago | |
| PSA9 | $75 | 4,938 | $368.5K | ↓down 0.1% | ↓down 4.4% | ↑up 8.1% | ↑up 3.8% | Very strong | $662d ago | |
| PSA8 | $46 | 1,642 | $75.4K | ↓down 1.8% | ↓down 16.7% | ↓down 9.8% | ↑up 46.5% | Very strong | $564d ago | |
| PSA7 | $25 | 444 | $10.9K | 0.0% | ↓down 8.4% | ↓down 8.4% | ↓down 20.6% | Strong | $184d ago | |
| PSA6 | $23 | 232 | $5.4K | ↓down 0.1% | ↓down 7.0% | ↑up 1.9% | ↑up 15.9% | Strong | $302w ago | |
| PSA5 | $23 | 86 | - | ↓down 0.1% | ↓down 7.0% | ↑up 1.9% | ↑up 28.6% | Sparse | $312mo ago | |
| Raw | $9.75 | - | - | - | ↓down 11.7% | ↓down 7.8% | - | Very strong | $8.332d ago |
Graded population report
How Surfing Pikachu's graded copies are spread across grades. Each bar is the number of copies graded at that grade; the percentage is that grade's share of the total graded population. These are recorded graded copies, not the total print run. A smaller population alone does not establish a price premium.9,362 graded copies of Surfing Pikachu Secret across 13 grades. The selected grade is highlighted.
PSA 10 makes up 21% of graded copies: 1,957 of 9,362. PSA 9 is the most common grade (53%).
Analysis
Surfing Pikachu - Secret at PSA 10 carries a TCGBerg fair value of $496 as of 2026-11-14. We track a TCGBerg fair value across 7 grades from XY - Evolutions, from PSA 6 up to PSA 10. A graded population of 1,957 copies sits behind the PSA 10 grade. The PSA 10 valuation rests on very strong sales evidence. Over the past 30 days, the PSA 10 TCGBerg fair value has risen 2.7%.