Swampert #016, Holo, ADV Expansion Pack
Japanese edition
- Card number: #016
- ·Rarity: Holo Rare
A PSA 9 Swampert #016 Holo from ADV Expansion Pack has a TCGBerg fair value of $201 as of Nov 15, 2026. TCGBerg has recorded 8 PSA 9 sales of this card, the latest on Nov 9, 2026. PSA has graded 43 copies at PSA 9.
TCGBerg Algorithm (estimated from recorded sales).
- Population · PSA 9
- 43
- Market cap
- $8.7K
- Volatility
- 11.6%
- YTD
- ↑ 152.1%
- Sales evidence
- Strong
TCGBerg fair value · PSA 9
$201
Price history
Weekly fair value over time, plus a confidence band around it: how precisely we can pin the value, which tightens as more sales confirm it. Dots mark individual sales, snapped to their week: red when above fair value (a premium), green when below (a deal), hollow when flagged as an outlier. Switch the active grade with the selector above.Weekly fair value for PSA 9. Shaded area is the confidence band: how precisely we can pin the value; it tightens as more sales confirm it. Dots are individual sales. Confidence band: how precisely we can pin the fair value. It widens when sales scatter and narrows as more sales back the value up. The dots show the actual sale prices.
What the evidence says
The latest recorded PSA 9 sale ($78 on Nov 9, 2026) sits 61.2% below the $201 fair value, too far off to read as this grade's price. The value weighs 8 PSA 9 sales from the past year, not the latest one alone. The latest sale ran below the recent run: the last 5 PSA 9 sales averaged $214, within 6.5% of the value. Its confidence band runs from $180 to $223. A PSA 10 ($1,271) is worth 6.3 times a PSA 9 ($201). Over the past 30 days the PSA 9 value has fallen 12.4%.
TCGBerg fair value by grade
Side-by-side comparison of value across every grade and ungraded condition we track for this printing. The bar chart uses a log scale so raw and gem-mint fit on one axis. Solid bars are the TCGBerg fair value, modelled from recorded sales. Hatched bars are the latest market price instead, shown for ungraded conditions that trade too rarely for us to price one honestly.Value at each grade and ungraded condition. Log scale. Tap a row to switch the whole page.
- Raw NM$40Ungraded · market price
- Raw HP$14Ungraded · market price
- Raw MP$12Ungraded · market price
- Raw LP$12Ungraded · market price
- Raw Damaged$3.99Ungraded · market price
Behind the scenes
How the published fair value for this grade was produced: the sales it rests on, how they were put together, and every recorded change afterwards. It describes one saved calculation, not a live recomputation.What goes into this price, and how much we know.
Recent sales
18 trackedEach sale against the grade's fair value on the day it sold.
| Date | Grade | Venue | Price | vs fair value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2026 | PSA9 | eBay | $78 | below fair value by -61.2% |
| Nov 7, 2026 | PSA9 | eBay | $204 | below fair value by -12.3% |
| Nov 5, 2026 | PSA10 | eBay | $1,325 | above fair value by +5.4% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | PSA9 | eBay | $300 | above fair value by +38.5% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | PSA9 | Fanatics Collect | $245 | above fair value by +13.1% |
- $78Nov 9, 2026 · via eBayPSA9↓below fair value by 61.2%
- $204Nov 7, 2026 · via eBayPSA9↓below fair value by 12.3%
- $1,325Nov 5, 2026 · via eBayPSA10↑above fair value by 5.4%
- $300Oct 23, 2026 · via eBayPSA9↑above fair value by 38.5%
- $245Oct 21, 2026 · via Fanatics CollectPSA9↑above fair value by 13.1%
| Oct 21, 2026 | PSA9 | Fanatics Collect | $245 | above fair value by +13.1% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | PSA9 | eBay | $190 | above fair value by +25.1% |
| Oct 11, 2026 | PSA10 | eBay | $2,000 | above fair value by +68.5% |
- $245PSA9↑above fair value by 13.1%
- $190PSA9↑above fair value by 25.1%
- $2,000PSA10↑above fair value by 68.5%
13 more sales with Pro
Up to 20 recent sales, each with its venue and its gap to fair value.
All grades matrix
Every grade we track for this printing. Click any column header to sort; the rightmost column jumps you to listings for that grade.
- PSA10$1,2711d ↑0.9%7d ↑1.5%30d ↑6.7%
- Pop
- 33
- Mcap
- $41.9K
- Evidence
- Moderate
- Last
- $1,325
- PSA9$2011d ·0.0%7d ↓13.3%30d ↓12.4%
- Pop
- 43
- Mcap
- $8.7K
- Evidence
- Strong
- Last
- $78
- PSA8$1611d ↓8.8%7d ↓7.5%30d ↑10.8%
- Pop
- 14
- Mcap
- $2.3K
- Evidence
- Sparse
- Last
- $144
| PSA10 | $1,271 | 33 | $41.9K | ↑up 0.9% | ↑up 1.5% | ↑up 6.7% | ↑up 72.1% | Moderate | $1,3251w ago |
| PSA9 | $201 | 43 | $8.7K | 0.0% | ↓down 13.3% | ↓down 12.4% | ↓down 7.2% | Strong | $786d ago |
| PSA8 | $161 | 14 | $2.3K | ↓down 8.8% | ↓down 7.5% | ↑up 10.8% | ↑up 482.5% | Sparse | $1443mo ago |
| PSA7 | $49 | 10 | $489 | 0.0% | ↑up 4.0% | ↑up 16.0% | ↑up 197.6% | Sparse | $511mo ago |
| PSA6 | $23 | 2 | $45 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ↑up 56.5% | Sparse | $238mo ago |
| Raw | $40 | - | - | - | - | 0.0% | 0.0% | - | - |
PSA population report
How Swampert's graded copies are spread across grades. Each bar is the number of copies graded at that grade; the percentage is that grade's share of the total graded population. These are recorded graded copies, not the total print run. A smaller population alone does not establish a price premium.102 graded copies of Swampert Holo across 5 grades. The selected grade is highlighted.
PSA 9 makes up 42% of graded copies: 43 of 102. It’s the most common grade for this card.
Analysis
Swampert at PSA 10 carries a TCGBerg fair value of $1,271 as of 2026-11-14. We track a TCGBerg fair value across 5 grades from ADV Expansion Pack, from PSA 6 up to PSA 10. A graded population of 33 copies sits behind the PSA 10 grade. The PSA 10 valuation rests on moderate sales evidence. Over the past 30 days, the PSA 10 TCGBerg fair value has risen 6.7%.