Tapu Lele #SM152, Lost Thunder Prerelease, SM Black Star Promos
- SBS

- ·Card number: #SM152
- ·Rarity: Promo
- ·Finish: Holo
A PSA 9 Tapu Lele #SM152 Lost Thunder Prerelease from SM Black Star Promos has a TCGBerg fair value of $38 as of Nov 15, 2026. It rests on 7 recorded sales, the latest on Oct 11, 2026. PSA has graded 18 copies at PSA 9. Sales evidence is limited, so treat this value as a rough estimate.
TCGBerg Algorithm (estimated from recorded sales).
7 sales · latest Oct 11, 2026
- Population · PSA 9
- 18
- Market cap
- $689
- Volatility
- 7.0%
- YTD
- ↑ 99.2%
- Sales evidence
- Limited
TCGBerg fair value · PSA 9
$38
Based on 7 recorded sales. Latest sale: Oct 11, 2026.
Price history
Weekly fair value over time, plus a confidence band around it: how precisely we can pin the value, which tightens as more sales confirm it. Dots mark individual sales, snapped to their week: red when above fair value (a premium), green when below (a deal), hollow when flagged as an outlier. Switch the active grade with the selector above.Weekly fair value for PSA 9. Shaded area is the confidence band: how precisely we can pin the value; it tightens as more sales confirm it. Dots are individual sales. Confidence band: how precisely we can pin the fair value. It widens when sales scatter and narrows as more sales back the value up. The dots show the actual sale prices.
What the evidence says
The last PSA 9 sale, $35 on Oct 11, 2026, sits 9.1% below the $38 fair value. The value rests on 7 recorded PSA 9 sales. Its confidence band runs from $31 to $46. A PSA 10 ($222) is worth 5.8 times a PSA 9 ($38). Over the past 30 days the PSA 9 value has risen 18.7%. With limited sales evidence, read the gap and the band as rough guides.
TCGBerg fair value by grade
Side-by-side comparison of value across every grade and ungraded condition we track for this printing. The bar chart uses a log scale so raw and gem-mint fit on one axis. Solid bars are the TCGBerg fair value, modelled from recorded sales. Hatched bars are the latest market price instead, shown for ungraded conditions that trade too rarely for us to price one honestly.Value at each grade and ungraded condition. Log scale. Tap a row to switch the whole page.
Behind the scenes
How the published fair value for this grade was produced: the sales it rests on, how they were put together, and every recorded change afterwards. It describes one saved calculation, not a live recomputation.What goes into this price, and how much we know.
Recent sales
4 trackedEach sale against the grade's fair value on the day it sold.
| Date | Grade | Venue | Price | vs fair value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | PSA9 | eBay | $35 | above fair value by +11.3% |
| Apr 3, 2026 | PSA9 | eBay | $40 | above fair value by +92.3% |
| Dec 6, 2025 | PSA7 | eBay | $7.00 | below fair value by -13.3% |
| Nov 26, 2025 | PSA9 | eBay | $23 | above fair value by +11.2% |
- $35Oct 11, 2026 · via eBayPSA9↑above fair value by 11.3%
- $40Apr 3, 2026 · via eBayPSA9↑above fair value by 92.3%
- $7.00Dec 6, 2025 · via eBayPSA7↓below fair value by 13.3%
- $23Nov 26, 2025 · via eBayPSA9↑above fair value by 11.2%
All grades matrix
Every grade we track for this printing. Click any column header to sort; the rightmost column jumps you to listings for that grade.
- PSA10$2221d ·0.0%7d ·0.0%30d ↓58.1%
- Pop
- 4
- Mcap
- $886
- Evidence
- Sparse
- Last
- -
- PSA9$381d ·0.0%7d ↑0.2%30d ↑18.7%
- Pop
- 18
- Mcap
- $689
- Evidence
- Limited
- Last
- $35
- PSA8$201d ·0.0%7d ·0.0%30d ↑5.5%
- Pop
- 23
- Mcap
- $468
- Evidence
- Sparse
- Last
- $8.00
| PSA10 | $222 | 4 | $886 | 0.0% | 0.0% | ↓down 58.1% | ↓down 52.0% | Sparse | - |
| PSA9 | $38 | 18 | $689 | 0.0% | ↑up 0.2% | ↑up 18.7% | ↑up 5.5% | Limited | $351mo ago |
| PSA8 | $20 | 23 | $468 | 0.0% | 0.0% | ↑up 5.5% | ↑up 49.9% | Sparse | $8.002y ago |
| PSA7 | $14 | 6 | $85 | 0.0% | ↑up 0.4% | ↑up 62.1% | ↑up 62.8% | Sparse | $7.0011mo ago |
| PSA6 | $11 | 2 | $22 | 0.0% | 0.0% | ↑up 180.9% | ↑up 99.6% | Sparse | - |
PSA population report
How Tapu Lele's graded copies are spread across grades. Each bar is the number of copies graded at that grade; the percentage is that grade's share of the total graded population. These are recorded graded copies, not the total print run. A smaller population alone does not establish a price premium.53 graded copies of Tapu Lele Lost Thunder Prerelease across 5 grades. The selected grade is highlighted.
PSA 9 makes up 34% of graded copies: 18 of 53. PSA 8 is the most common grade (43%).
Analysis
Tapu Lele-Holo Lost Thunder Prerelease - Lost Thunder Prerelease at PSA 10 carries a TCGBerg fair value of $222 as of 2026-11-14. We track a TCGBerg fair value across 5 grades from SM Black Star Promos, from PSA 6 up to PSA 10. A graded population of 4 copies sits behind the PSA 10 grade. The PSA 10 valuation rests on sparse sales evidence. Over the past 30 days, the PSA 10 TCGBerg fair value has fallen 58.1%.