Ursaring #016, 1st Edition, Shiny Collection
Japanese edition
- Card number: #016
- ·Rarity: Holo Rare
- ·Finish: Holo
A PSA 9 Ursaring #016 1st Edition from Shiny Collection has a TCGBerg fair value of $39 as of Nov 15, 2026. TCGBerg has recorded 11 PSA 9 sales of this card, the latest on Oct 29, 2026. PSA has graded 86 copies at PSA 9.
TCGBerg Algorithm (estimated from recorded sales).
- Population · PSA 9
- 86
- Market cap
- $3.3K
- Volatility
- 11.2%
- YTD
- ↑ 50.3%
- Sales evidence
- Moderate
TCGBerg fair value · PSA 9
$39
Price history
Weekly fair value over time, plus a confidence band around it: how precisely we can pin the value, which tightens as more sales confirm it. Dots mark individual sales, snapped to their week: red when above fair value (a premium), green when below (a deal), hollow when flagged as an outlier. Switch the active grade with the selector above.Weekly fair value for PSA 9. Shaded area is the confidence band: how precisely we can pin the value; it tightens as more sales confirm it. Dots are individual sales. Confidence band: how precisely we can pin the fair value. It widens when sales scatter and narrows as more sales back the value up. The dots show the actual sale prices.
What the evidence says
The last PSA 9 sale, $55 on Oct 29, 2026, sits 41.4% above the $39 fair value. The value weighs 11 PSA 9 sales from the past year, not the latest one alone. The latest sale ran above the recent run: the last 5 PSA 9 sales averaged $38, within 3.4% of the value. Its confidence band runs from $34 to $43. A PSA 10 ($171) is worth 4.4 times a PSA 9 ($39). Over the past 30 days the PSA 9 value has risen 30.4%.
TCGBerg fair value by grade
Side-by-side comparison of value across every grade and ungraded condition we track for this printing. The bar chart uses a log scale so raw and gem-mint fit on one axis. Solid bars are the TCGBerg fair value, modelled from recorded sales. Hatched bars are the latest market price instead, shown for ungraded conditions that trade too rarely for us to price one honestly.Value at each grade and ungraded condition. Log scale. Tap a row to switch the whole page.
- Raw NM$15Ungraded · market price
- Raw LP$13Ungraded · market price
- Raw MP$12Ungraded · market price
- Raw HP$9.99Ungraded · market price
- Raw Damaged$5.00Ungraded · market price
Behind the scenes
How the published fair value for this grade was produced: the sales it rests on, how they were put together, and every recorded change afterwards. It describes one saved calculation, not a live recomputation.What goes into this price, and how much we know.
Recent sales
20 trackedEach sale against the grade's fair value on the day it sold.
| Date | Grade | Venue | Price | vs fair value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2026 | PSA9 | eBay | $55 | above fair value by +41.7% |
| Oct 25, 2026 | PSA9 | eBay | $46 | above fair value by +46.2% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | PSA9 | eBay | $30 | below fair value by -4.7% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | PSA10 | eBay | $228 | above fair value by +35.1% |
| Oct 12, 2026 | PSA9 | eBay | $26 | below fair value by -14.1% |
- $55Oct 29, 2026 · via eBayPSA9↑above fair value by 41.7%
- $46Oct 25, 2026 · via eBayPSA9↑above fair value by 46.2%
- $30Oct 19, 2026 · via eBayPSA9↓below fair value by 4.7%
- $228Oct 15, 2026 · via eBayPSA10↑above fair value by 35.1%
- $26Oct 12, 2026 · via eBayPSA9↓below fair value by 14.1%
| Oct 3, 2026 | PSA9 | eBay | $31 | above fair value by +5.9% |
| Sep 23, 2026 | PSA10 | eBay | $148 | below fair value by -5.0% |
| Sep 11, 2026 | PSA10 | eBay | $201 | above fair value by +26.4% |
- $31PSA9↑above fair value by 5.9%
- $148PSA10↓below fair value by 5.0%
- $201PSA10↑above fair value by 26.4%
15 more sales with Pro
Up to 20 recent sales, each with its venue and its gap to fair value.
↓Includes a sale 24.9% below fair value
All grades matrix
Every grade we track for this printing. Click any column header to sort; the rightmost column jumps you to listings for that grade.
- CGC Pristine 10$391d -7d -30d -
- Pop
- -
- Mcap
- -
- Evidence
- Moderate
- Last
- $41
- CGC Gem Mint 10$181d -7d -30d -
- Pop
- -
- Mcap
- -
- Evidence
- Moderate
- Last
- $24
- CGC9.5$121d -7d -30d -
- Pop
- -
- Mcap
- -
- Evidence
- Sparse
- Last
- $12
| CGC Pristine 10 | $39 | - | - | - | - | - | - | Moderate | $413mo ago |
| CGC Gem Mint 10 | $18 | - | - | - | - | - | - | Moderate | $245mo ago |
| CGC9.5 | $12 | - | - | - | - | - | - | Sparse | $123mo ago |
| PSA10 | $171 | 124 | $21.2K | ↑up 1.9% | ↑up 1.6% | ↑up 0.8% | ↓down 8.2% | Limited | $2281mo ago |
| PSA9 | $39 | 86 | $3.3K | 0.0% | ↓down 0.2% | ↑up 30.4% | ↑up 22.4% | Moderate | $552w ago |
| PSA8 | $25 | 21 | $523 | 0.0% | ↑up 0.3% | ↑up 41.5% | ↑up 10.5% | Limited | $252mo ago |
| PSA7 | $15 | 8 | $119 | 0.0% | 0.0% | ↓down 1.3% | ↑up 21.2% | Sparse | - |
| PSA6 | $11 | 3 | $33 | 0.0% | 0.0% | ↓down 4.2% | ↑up 11.7% | Sparse | - |
| PSA5 | $9.72 | 1 | - | 0.0% | 0.0% | ↓down 5.8% | ↑up 5.7% | Sparse | - |
| Raw | $15 | - | - | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ↑up 2.4% | - | $183mo ago |
Graded population report
How Ursaring's graded copies are spread across grades. Each bar is the number of copies graded at that grade; the percentage is that grade's share of the total graded population. These are recorded graded copies, not the total print run. A smaller population alone does not establish a price premium.243 graded copies of Ursaring 1st Edition across 6 grades. The selected grade is highlighted.
PSA 9 makes up 35% of graded copies: 86 of 243. PSA 10 is the most common grade (51%).
Analysis
Ursaring - 1st Edition at PSA 10 carries a TCGBerg fair value of $171 as of 2026-11-14. We track a TCGBerg fair value across 9 grades from Shiny Collection, from PSA 5 up to PSA 10. A graded population of 124 copies sits behind the PSA 10 grade. The PSA 10 valuation rests on limited sales evidence. Over the past 30 days, the PSA 10 TCGBerg fair value has risen 0.8%.