The verdict, every grade’s odds and what you clear after every fee, before you send it in.
Three steps, on any card
Live · Nov 13, 2026 · 31,342 graded by PSA
Grade it+$422
Average profit per copy · pay up to $2,524
Pick a card
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Umbreon VMAX #215
Evolving Skies · Alternate Art
Raw today $2,102
Or try one of these
Say its conditionWe have not seen your card. The odds are how every copy PSA has graded came out, moved down the ladder for a worse condition: a base rate, not a grade for yours. Each profit is after the eBay fee, postage and everything you put in, and the answer is an average over many copies.Learn more →
PSA fee
$130
Postage, both ways
$30
You put in
$2,262
with the $130 PSA fee and $30 postage
Get the answerWhat each grade pays
PSA 10PSA 10:70.2%chancesells $3,626+$878
PSA 9PSA 9:21.3%chancesells $1,903-$617
PSA 8PSA 8:5.4%chancesells $1,806-$701
PSA 7-PSA 7-:3.0%chancesells $1,651-$835
Grade it
Average profit per copy,after every fee.Most to pay raw: $2,524
+$422
Chance of a profit
70.2%
Return on your money
+18.6%
PSA 10 vs PSA 9
1.9x
Riding on one grade
82.2%
The math
Where +$422 comes from
Grade 100 copies like this one. Each dot is a copy.
How many 10s does it take?The break-even. With fewer PSA 10s than this, the losses on the lower grades outweigh the wins and grading stops paying. The gap between the two numbers is your room for doubt: you do not need to be sure your card is a 10, only that it is at least as likely to be one as this.Learn more →
Grading pays if 43 in 100 come back a PSA 10. This card gets 70 in 100.
GradeHow oftenIt paysAdds
PSA 1070.2%×+$878=+$617
PSA 921.3%×-$617=-$131
PSA 85.4%×-$701=-$38
PSA 7-3.0%×-$835=-$25
Added up: the average per copy+$422
An estimate from PSA’s record for the card, not a grade for yours. Not investment advice.
How it works
Short answers
Where can I find a PSA Pokémon population report?
Open the exact card and printing on TCGBerg, then look for its population report where graded coverage is available. The chart separates the recorded copies by grade. Population counts graded copies, not every copy printed, and a population share is not a prediction of the grade your card will receive.
How do I know if a Pokémon card is worth grading?
Compare the raw purchase price and all grading and selling costs with the possible graded sale values. A large PSA 10 price alone is not enough: the chance of receiving a lower grade can erase that upside. The calculator uses your condition assessment to compare the outcomes and a break-even purchase price.
Is the grading calculator free?
The three example cards on this page are free and fully live: change the condition and the price and every figure follows. Grading your own card is part of Pro: search any card and get the verdict, every grade’s odds and payout, your own purchase price, the weekly board of cards worth grading, and alerts.
Can this calculator tell me what grade my card will get?
No. It compares possible financial outcomes from your condition assessment and the available market data. It does not inspect or authenticate your card, and it cannot guarantee a PSA grade. The likeliest grade it shows is what most often came back when collectors sent this card in, not a reading of yours.
What is the one number I should take away?
What you would clear by buying a raw copy at today’s market price, grading it and selling it, after every cost. It is an average over many copies rather than a forecast of yours.Underneath it sits the break-even price, the most you could pay before grading stops paying for itself; that one belongs to the card rather than to any listing, so it holds still while the price you test moves.
Which costs are subtracted?
The PSA fee for the service level this card is eligible for, postage to PSA, insured return postage, the marketplace fee on the sale, and postage out to the buyer. That marketplace fee is the real tiered schedule, not a flat percentage.A fee-only calculator, which skips the postage and the selling fee, overstates profit on a typical card by more than half.
Where do the odds come from, and how far can I trust them?
PSA’s own population report for that exact card: the share of every copy ever graded that came back at each grade. A real base rate rather than a guess, with two limits. It is not a scan of your card, so it says nothing about the centring or the edge you are holding.And it is self-selected, because collectors send in their better copies, so it runs optimistic. We label that rather than quietly correcting for it: telling us the card is played is what shifts the whole distribution down the ladder instead.
Why does a grade sometimes show "no sales"?
Because we will not price an outcome we have no evidence for. PSA publishes fair values only for the whole grades from 6 to 10, so the lower rungs and the half grades usually have none. Those grades count as zero toward the expected value, which is deliberately conservative: it can understate the profit, never overstate it.When a large share of the likely outcomes is unpriced the tool drops the evidence rating rather than printing a caveat, because whether to trust the figure is the actual question and a footnote is a poor place to answer it.
What does "buy one already graded" mean?
Somebody is asking less for a slabbed copy than it would cost you to buy this one raw and grade it yourself, and you would take none of the risk of missing the grade. Read from the cheapest clean asking price we track at each grade.
Why does it refuse to answer for some cards?
Below roughly fifty graded copies the distribution is noise rather than signal: one more PSA 10 would swing the odds by percentage points. Rather than dress that up as precision, the tool says it cannot judge the card.
Why does the board rank by return instead of by expected profit?
Because expected profit in dollars rewards expensive cards for being expensive. A $4,000 card with a five percent edge would outrank a $40 card that doubles your money, which is not what someone asking "what should I be grading?" wants to see.So the default list ranks by return on what the whole submission ties up: the card plus the grading fee and postage both ways. Not headroom over the card price alone, which leaves that fee out of the denominator while the profit still subtracts it, and once printed a real 158% return as 7599%. The expected-profit board is one click away for when you want the biggest cheque instead of the best ratio.
What does "not worth grading" mean if I already own the card?
It means grading is expected to destroy value at today’s raw price: the most you should pay is less than the card already costs. If you own one, you net more selling it as it is than paying to slab it.That usually happens when the PSA 10 barely beats the PSA 9, so the upside does not pay for the risk of missing it.
Is this investment advice?
No. It prices the average outcome across many cards, and grading a single card is a gamble. The model can be right about a hundred submissions and still be wrong about the one in your hand.
Population data is sourced from PSA; grading and postage costs are modelled and change over time. Figures are estimates for research, not investment advice.