Lugia BREAK #79, Ultra Rare, XY - Fates Collide
- Card number: #79/124
- Finish: Holo
A PSA 10 Lugia BREAK #79 Ultra Rare from XY - Fates Collide has a TCGBerg fair value of $1,630 as of Nov 15, 2026. TCGBerg has recorded 120 PSA 10 sales of this card, the latest on Nov 12, 2026. PSA has graded 549 copies at PSA 10.
TCGBerg Algorithm (estimated from recorded sales).
- Population · PSA 10
- 549
- Market cap
- $895.1K
- Volatility
- 7.0%
- YTD
- ↑ 368.6%
- Sales evidence
- Strong
TCGBerg fair value · PSA 10
$1,630
Price history
Weekly fair value for PSA 10. Shaded area is the confidence band: how precisely we can pin the value; it tightens as more sales confirm it. Dots are individual sales.
What the evidence says
The last PSA 10 sale, $1,345 on Nov 12, 2026, sits 17.5% below the $1,630 fair value. The value weighs 29 PSA 10 sales from the past year, not the latest one alone. Its confidence band runs from $1,498 to $1,763. A PSA 10 ($1,630) is worth 4.3 times a PSA 9 ($377). Over the past 30 days the PSA 10 value has fallen 0.4%.
TCGBerg fair value by grade
Value at each grade and ungraded condition. Log scale. Tap a row to switch the whole page.
- Raw NM$49Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value
- Raw LP$18Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value
- Raw MP$10Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value
- Raw HP$6.28Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value
- Raw Damaged$5.00Ungraded · TCGBerg fair value
Behind the scenes
What goes into this price, and how much we know.
Recent sales
20 trackedEach sale against the grade's fair value on the day it sold.
- $1,345Nov 12, 2026 · via eBaybelow fair value by 17.5%
- $1,375Nov 12, 2026 · via eBaybelow fair value by 15.7%
- $51Nov 12, 2026 · via tcgplayerRawabove fair value by 3.3%
- $51Nov 12, 2026 · via tcgplayerRawabove fair value by 3.3%
- $49Nov 11, 2026 · via tcgplayerRawbelow fair value by 1.3%
15 more sales with Pro
Up to 20 recent sales, each with its venue and its gap to fair value.
Includes a sale 53.4% below fair value
All grades matrix
Every grade we track for this printing. Click any column header to sort; the rightmost column jumps you to listings for that grade.
- CGC Gem Mint 10$4181d -7d -30d -
- Pop
- -
- Mcap
- -
- Evidence
- Moderate
- Last
- $530
- CGC9.5$1651d -7d -30d -
- Pop
- -
- Mcap
- -
- Evidence
- Limited
- Last
- $179
- BGS9.5$781d -7d -30d -
- Pop
- -
- Mcap
- -
- Evidence
- Sparse
- Last
- $79
| Listings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CGC Gem Mint 10 | $418 | - | - | - | - | - | - | Moderate | $5301mo ago | |
| CGC9.5 | $165 | - | - | - | - | - | - | Limited | $1793mo ago | |
| BGS9.5 | $78 | - | - | - | - | - | - | Sparse | $791y ago | |
| $1,630 | 549 | $895.1K | down 7.2% | down 13.8% | down 0.4% | up 74.9% | Strong | $1,3453d ago | ||
| $377 | 664 | $250.3K | up 1.3% | down 0.7% | up 45.5% | up 304.3% | Strong | $1765d ago | ||
| $169 | 365 | $61.5K | down 0.3% | up 0.5% | up 66.1% | up 185.5% | Strong | $1952w ago | ||
| $56 | 155 | $8.8K | 0.0% | up 8.3% | up 29.2% | up 70.3% | Limited | $401mo ago | ||
| $35 | 70 | $2.5K | down 0.3% | down 0.8% | up 0.4% | up 34.2% | Moderate | $402mo ago | ||
| $33 | 27 | - | 0.0% | 0.0% | down 2.4% | up 26.8% | Sparse | $257mo ago | ||
| Raw | $49 | - | - | - | up 3.7% | up 11.8% | - | Very strong | $513d ago |
Graded population report
1,863 graded copies of Lugia BREAK Ultra Rare across 11 grades. The selected grade is highlighted.
PSA 10 makes up 29% of graded copies: 549 of 1,863. PSA 9 is the most common grade (36%).
Analysis
Lugia BREAK - Ultra Rare at PSA 10 carries a TCGBerg fair value of $1,630 as of 2026-11-14. We track a TCGBerg fair value across 9 grades from XY - Fates Collide, from PSA 5 up to PSA 10. A graded population of 549 copies sits behind the PSA 10 grade. The PSA 10 valuation rests on strong sales evidence. Over the past 30 days, the PSA 10 TCGBerg fair value has fallen 0.4%.