TCGBerg fair value· PSA 10Estimated value from recent sales using TCGBerg's adaptive blend methodology: a weighted mix of time-decayed EWMA, trimmed median, and recent-window robust estimators.Learn more →
$4,394
Our estimate of a fair value of this card based on our proprietary pricing algorithm and recent verified sales.
Data quality excellent86/100
30D performance↓5.1%
30D↓ 5.1%
YTD↑ 79.8%
MCAP$1.42M
VOL2.9%
Last sale
$3,438
PSA 10 · May 27, 2026
21.8% below TCGBerg fair value
5-sale avg
$4,308
last 5 sales
Population · PSA 10
322
graded copies
Price spectrum
The bar shades green (below fair) to red (above), saturating at ±25%: the statistical band where most sales and listings cluster.
No price-spectrum data for this grade yet.
Price historyWeekly fair value over time, plus a confidence band around it: how precisely we can pin the value, which tightens as more sales confirm it. Dots mark individual sales, snapped to their week: red when above fair value (a premium), green when below (a deal), hollow when flagged as an outlier. Switch the active grade with the selector above.
Showing weekly fair value for PSA 10. Shaded area is the confidence band: how precisely we can pin the value; it tightens as more sales confirm it. Dots are individual sales. Confidence band: how precisely we can pin the fair value. It widens when sales scatter and narrows as more sales back the value up. The dots show the actual sale prices.
tcgberg.com
TCGBerg fair value · PSA 10Sale below fairSale above fairOutlier
Jun 22, 202552 weekly points · 45 salesJun 12, 2026
TCGBerg fair value by gradeSide-by-side comparison of fair value across every grade we track for this printing. The bar chart uses a log scale so raw and gem-mint fit on one axis.
Implied fair value at each grade, on a log scale that spans the full range from raw at $124 up to gem-mint at $4.4K.
tcgberg.com
All grades matrix
Every grade we track for this printing. Click any column header to sort; the rightmost column jumps you to listings for that grade.
Listings
PSA10
$4,394
322
$1.42M
·0.0%
↑0.8%
↓5.1%
↓5.1%
—
86
$3,4382w ago
PSA9
$621
2,038
$1.27M
·0.0%
↑1.5%
↑13.1%
↑65.1%
—
93
$5256d ago
PSA8
$223
1,566
$349.9K
↑0.5%
↓1.2%
↑7.6%
↑27.4%
—
96
$1825d ago
PSA7
$157
759
$119.4K
·0.0%
↓0.3%
↑9.6%
↑27.4%
—
93
$1611w ago
PSA6
$124
530
$65.9K
·0.0%
↑3.7%
↓5.0%
↑21.6%
—
91
$1405d ago
Active listings on eBayLive asking prices from eBay sellers. The delta shows how each ask compares to TCGBerg's quoted fair value for that grade. Verified deals are marked from the published analytics feed.
No active listings tracked for this printing yet.
About Fossil
This printing in the context of its parent set: total set cap and this printing's share of it.
Most recent transactions from public auction comps and dealer reporting. Showing 10 of 20; delta vs fair value is the difference between the sale price and the grade's quoted fair value on that date.
Date
Grade
Price
Source
vs TCGBerg FV
May 27, 2026
PSA10
$3,438
ebay
↓21.8%
May 23, 2026
PSA10
$4,102
ebay
↓6.7%
May 4, 2026
PSA10
$4,440
fanatics_collect
↑1.0%
Apr 27, 2026
PSA10
$5,000
ebay
↑13.8%
Apr 20, 2026
PSA10
$4,560
fanatics_collect
↑3.8%
Apr 19, 2026
PSA10
$3,939
ebay
↓10.4%
Apr 13, 2026
PSA10
$4,839
ebay
↑10.1%
Apr 3, 2026
PSA10
$4,651
ebay
↑5.8%
Mar 30, 2026
PSA10
$5,880
fanatics_collect
↑33.8%
Mar 16, 2026
PSA10
$100
ebay
↓97.7%
May 27, 2026PSA10
$3,438↓21.8%
via ebay
May 23, 2026PSA10
$4,102↓6.7%
via ebay
May 4, 2026PSA10
$4,440↑1.0%
via fanatics_collect
Apr 27, 2026PSA10
$5,000↑13.8%
via ebay
Apr 20, 2026PSA10
$4,560↑3.8%
via fanatics_collect
Apr 19, 2026PSA10
$3,939↓10.4%
via ebay
Apr 13, 2026PSA10
$4,839↑10.1%
via ebay
Apr 3, 2026PSA10
$4,651↑5.8%
via ebay
Mar 30, 2026PSA10
$5,880↑33.8%
via fanatics_collect
Mar 16, 2026PSA10
$100↓97.7%
via ebay
Population & rarityHow Moltres's graded copies are spread across grades. Each bar is the number of copies graded at that grade; the percentage is that grade's share of the total graded population. Fewer copies at a grade = scarcer = a scarcity premium.
5,215 graded copies of Moltres 1st Edition Galaxy across 5 grades. The selected grade is highlighted.
PSA 10
322 · 6.2%
PSA 9
2,038 · 39%
PSA 8
1,566 · 30%
PSA 7
759 · 15%
PSA 6
530 · 10%
PSA 10 makes up 6.2% of graded copies: 322 of 5,215. It’s the scarcest grade tracked: a strong scarcity signal.
Relative valuation vs. indexBoth series are indexed to 100 at May 10, 2026, the index’s inception date, not the start of the selected range. A divergence means the card has outperformed or underperformed the index since then, by exactly the percentage-point gap.
How PSA 10 has moved relative to Fossil · 1st Edition Galaxy · Composite since May 10, 2026. Both indexed to 100 at the index’s inception. Card underperformed by 10.4 pp.
tcgberg.com
Analysis
Moltres - 1st Edition Galaxy Holo at PSA 10 carries a TCGBerg fair value of $4,394 as of 2026-06-09. We track a TCGBerg fair value across 5 grades from Fossil, from PSA 6 up to PSA 10. A graded population of 322 copies sits behind the PSA 10 grade. The PSA 10 valuation carries very high confidence (a confidence score of 86). Over the past 30 days, the PSA 9 TCGBerg fair value has risen 13.1%.
Show more analysis
PSA 10 commentary
The TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 10 Moltres - 1st Edition Galaxy Holo is $4,394 as of 2026-06-09. 322 copies have been graded at this level. This valuation carries very high confidence (a confidence score of 86). Over the past 30 days the TCGBerg fair value has fallen 5.1%. The most recent recorded sale was $3,438 on 2026-05-27.
PSA 10 — frequently asked
What is the TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 10 Moltres - 1st Edition Galaxy Holo?
$4,394 as of 2026-06-09, our model-derived fair value for a PSA 10 Moltres - 1st Edition Galaxy Holo based on recent graded sales.
How rare is a PSA 10 Moltres - 1st Edition Galaxy Holo?
322 copies have been graded at PSA 10, the graded population behind this atom.
How has the PSA 10 Moltres - 1st Edition Galaxy Holo price moved recently?
Its TCGBerg fair value has fallen 5.1% over the past 30 days.
PSA 9 commentary
The TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 9 Moltres - 1st Edition Galaxy Holo is $621 as of 2026-06-09. 2,038 copies have been graded at this level. This valuation carries very high confidence (a confidence score of 93). Over the past 30 days the TCGBerg fair value has risen 13.1%. The most recent recorded sale was $525 on 2026-06-06.
PSA 9 — frequently asked
What is the TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 9 Moltres - 1st Edition Galaxy Holo?
$621 as of 2026-06-09, our model-derived fair value for a PSA 9 Moltres - 1st Edition Galaxy Holo based on recent graded sales.
How rare is a PSA 9 Moltres - 1st Edition Galaxy Holo?
2,038 copies have been graded at PSA 9, the graded population behind this atom.
How has the PSA 9 Moltres - 1st Edition Galaxy Holo price moved recently?
Its TCGBerg fair value has risen 13.1% over the past 30 days.
PSA 8 commentary
The TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 8 Moltres - 1st Edition Galaxy Holo is $223 as of 2026-06-09. 1,566 copies have been graded at this level. This valuation carries very high confidence (a confidence score of 96). Over the past 30 days the TCGBerg fair value has risen 7.6%. The most recent recorded sale was $182 on 2026-06-07.
PSA 8 — frequently asked
What is the TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 8 Moltres - 1st Edition Galaxy Holo?
$223 as of 2026-06-09, our model-derived fair value for a PSA 8 Moltres - 1st Edition Galaxy Holo based on recent graded sales.
How rare is a PSA 8 Moltres - 1st Edition Galaxy Holo?
1,566 copies have been graded at PSA 8, the graded population behind this atom.
How has the PSA 8 Moltres - 1st Edition Galaxy Holo price moved recently?
Its TCGBerg fair value has risen 7.6% over the past 30 days.
PSA 7 commentary
The TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 7 Moltres - 1st Edition Galaxy Holo is $157 as of 2026-06-09. 759 copies have been graded at this level. This valuation carries very high confidence (a confidence score of 93). Over the past 30 days the TCGBerg fair value has risen 9.6%. The most recent recorded sale was $160 on 2026-06-04.
PSA 7 — frequently asked
What is the TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 7 Moltres - 1st Edition Galaxy Holo?
$157 as of 2026-06-09, our model-derived fair value for a PSA 7 Moltres - 1st Edition Galaxy Holo based on recent graded sales.
How rare is a PSA 7 Moltres - 1st Edition Galaxy Holo?
759 copies have been graded at PSA 7, the graded population behind this atom.
How has the PSA 7 Moltres - 1st Edition Galaxy Holo price moved recently?
Its TCGBerg fair value has risen 9.6% over the past 30 days.
PSA 6 commentary
The TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 6 Moltres - 1st Edition Galaxy Holo is $124 as of 2026-06-09. 530 copies have been graded at this level. This valuation carries very high confidence (a confidence score of 91). Over the past 30 days the TCGBerg fair value has fallen 5.0%. The most recent recorded sale was $140 on 2026-06-07.
PSA 6 — frequently asked
What is the TCGBerg fair value of a PSA 6 Moltres - 1st Edition Galaxy Holo?
$124 as of 2026-06-09, our model-derived fair value for a PSA 6 Moltres - 1st Edition Galaxy Holo based on recent graded sales.
How rare is a PSA 6 Moltres - 1st Edition Galaxy Holo?
530 copies have been graded at PSA 6, the graded population behind this atom.
How has the PSA 6 Moltres - 1st Edition Galaxy Holo price moved recently?
Its TCGBerg fair value has fallen 5.0% over the past 30 days.
Related
Other printings of Moltres and indices that include this card in their constituent basket.
